ToastAlone

Accurate

Someone placed an $800,000 bet that America is about to invade Iran on the ground. That same wallet correctly predicted the last three military strikes on Iran, every single time, hours before the bombs fell. This is not a coincidence and here is what is really going on. The US has been at war with Iran for over a month and American and Israeli forces struck Iranian nuclear sites in late February. But the uranium is still there and nearly 1,000 pounds of highly enriched uranium, enough to build multiple nuclear weapons is buried deep inside a mountain in Iran. Trump asked the Pentagon for a plan to go in and take it. There is reports that he wants to send soldiers into Iran, build a runway on Iranian soil, airlift in excavation equipment, and physically pull it out of the ground. The military briefed him on the operation and he has not said no. At the same time, the Atlantic reported that military planners have finalized two separate ground assault scenarios inside Iran, waiting only for Trump's green light. The Pentagon just sent 5,000 Marines trained for amphibious landings and 1,000 paratroopers to the Middle East. Now go back to that Polymarket wallet. It joined in January 2026 and it has made 57 predictions. It has an 83% overall win rate and a 93% win rate on bets over $10,000 concerning Iran specifically. It won $297,000 betting that the U.S. would strike Iran by February 28 and those bets were placed hours before the bombs dropped. Its newest bet is $800,000 on a US ground invasion of Iran. A finance professor and former CFTC advisory board member told CNN: "It certainly appears this individual either has extraordinary luck or was engaged in insider trading." Blockchain analysts say the pattern "strongly indicates insider activity." Someone with access to classified military decisions appears to be converting American war plans into personal profit and there is currently no law in the US that clearly makes this illegal, because Polymarket operates offshore.

🇫🇷 France confirms oil crisis, says 30-40% Gulf energy infrastructure destroyed. France's Finance Minister Roland Lescure revealed on Wednesday that between 30 and 40 per cent of Gulf refining capacity has been damaged or destroyed by Iran's retaliatory strikes, leaving a shortage of 11 million barrels a day on global oil markets.