Tony Wang

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Tony Wang

Tony Wang

@TonyW

Managing Partner @500GlobalVC. Tech adviser, investor and executive. Previously: operator at @Google @Twitter @Color

🇹🇼-🇺🇸-🇬🇧-🇺🇸-🇹🇼-🇺🇸 Katılım Ekim 2009
4.6K Takip Edilen16.7K Takipçiler
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
I don't get enough credit for not stepping on my dog.
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Eric Newcomer
Eric Newcomer@EricNewcomer·
"I've never understood why rational people believe in God. It just makes no sense." @vkhosla
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
@m2jr @joshk Legends. Also, very sad that il fornaio is now gone. Home to many inspiring conversations.
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Steve Hou
Steve Hou@stevehou·
@Noahpinion I think you were very excited about this. Have you followed closely?
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
@jiahanjimliu @xiaochuan8688 You can’t just compare yield rates as they are often not apples to apples. Yield on process nodes will be higher than the advanced nodes, so you can pull numbers that show just the opposite if you wanted, depends on what you are picking.
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Jim Liu
Jim Liu@jiahanjimliu·
Structural Problem why Semiconductor Shortage like Memory (SK, Samsung $MU) and Storage ($SNDK) will Persist @xiaochuan8688 is absolutely correct, you cannot get any good semiconductor hires. He details what’s happening when TSMC tries to build a fab in the U.S. Unfortunately, the pay for semiconductor fab engineer is lower compared to software engineer considering semiconductor fab is far more complex. I personally studied computer electrical engineering. Me and everyone with any hint of intelligence/work-ethic from my graduating class and all the graduation classes within 5 years before and after us took the software route. We all knew software paid 3x and was much easier. Brain drain to software means no one smart in the U.S. is in semiconductor fab. All the people with experience are literally retiring soon and don’t need to work hard. Subsidies are going to the wrong place. Semiconductor fab engineer salary is still much lower than SDE and far lower than AI. Where-ever the money is being spent, it ain’t solving the issue.
Mr. 小川@xiaochuan8688

TSMC 亚利桑那厂已经悄悄失败——400 亿美元烧完,良率不到日本厂的一半 主流叙事是"美国半导体回流成功了"。但真实数据完全相反——TSMC 亚利桑那 3 年投了 400 亿美元,2026 Q1 良率仅 52%,对比日本熊本厂 95%、台湾本土 98%,差距大到不能称作工厂。 问题 1:人才训练根本没完成。 TSMC 从台湾调了 1500 名工程师轮班支援,但当地招聘的 6000 名本地员工平均培训周期需要 4-6 年——美国大学根本没有"半导体产线工程师"这个专业方向。 问题 2:供应链没跟上。 高纯度光刻胶、特种气体、超净化学品——80% 在日本、20% 在台湾。亚利桑那厂每片晶圆的综合成本,是台南厂的 1.6 倍。 问题 3:客户开始用脚投票。 苹果、AMD 原本承诺把高端订单转到亚利桑那,2026 Q2 实际只下了 15% 的计划订单——其余全部还在台湾生产。"政治正确"敌不过经济账。 TSMC 内部怎么说? 张忠谋早在 2023 年就警告:"亚利桑那是个浪费。"现任 CEO 魏哲家最近第一次承认"美国厂进展不如预期"——这是台积电高管 30 年来最直白的自我否定。 半导体回流不是美国想做就能做的,这是 50 年产业积累的结果,不是 4000 亿补贴能买到的。

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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
@jhong @Quan I think you are right. I was thinking about Fairchild.
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james hong
james hong@jhong·
@TonyW @Quan I thought it was where that grocery store on the corner was, for a long time. Near the new movie theater
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Hong 關鴻
Hong 關鴻@Quan·
There's a tour of the former Shockley Semiconductor Laboratory, "the birthplace of Silicon Valley" tonight. I bet most tech workers in SV don't even know where that is. (tell me without looking it up)
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
@Quan @jhong Ah I was thinking of this place (Fairchild and the first IC) and not Shockley I guess
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
@jhong @Quan I was thinking San Antonio, middlefield/Charleston area a few blocks from the JCC?
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james hong
james hong@jhong·
@Quan San Antonio x Cal Ave where that grocery store used to be, right?
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
Has anyone noticed how expensive ice cream has become? At $10 per pint, that’s more expensive than copper and comes close to some strategic battery materials like lithium.
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Emmett Shear
Emmett Shear@eshear·
It’s an honor just to be nominated
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
Girlfriends to their friend who asks about who her ex is seeing:
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steve chen
steve chen@stevechen·
Great catching up with @abc7kristensze! It’s astonishing to look back at the last 21 years of YouTube’s growth. From a simple idea to a truly global community, YouTube has come a long way. Check out the interview here: abc7news.com/post/youtube-f…
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Tony Wang
Tony Wang@TonyW·
@jasonschips TSMC margin is more like mid 60s for mature process. What’s the source for Anthropic margin being in the 70s?
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Jason's Chips
Jason's Chips@jasonschips·
This report is the best evidence for compute being severely underpriced relative to the economic value generated. SemiAnalysis uses $8 of tokens to replace $150 of human cognitive work. This is with Anthropic, NVIDIA, TSMC, the memory makers, all taking a 70% margin. Even as hardware advancements push the price per PFLOPs down aggressively every year, the Frontier Labs maintain absolute pricing power and can even hike prices. People will not stop paying for tokens based on price if the value generated is an order of magnitude greater. The amount of consumer surplus that each wafer enables is truly staggering. I wouldn't be surprised if one day, semiconductors make up 50% of the S&P 500. I was, am, and will always be fully allocated to the semiconductor industry.
SemiAnalysis@SemiAnalysis_

AI Value Capture - The Shift To Model Labs Vera Rubin VR NVL72: V for Value - Rubin delivers a step jump in performance per TCO. ROI accruing to users, Neoclouds, Hyperscalers, AI Labs, Memory Vendors or GPU Manufacturers? READ NOW: newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/ai-value-cap…

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