Trade&HoDL

$BTC ATH Cycle Targets 150k March 2027 250k April 2028 - BTC Halving Maybe a deviation pump closer to 300k before the end of Trump's term in July 2028 BTC has a 570- and 1350-day cycle... roughly, front-running has tended to bring periods forward, and deviations after each have blurred the lines. The ATH in July 2025 was the target; the following 2 were deviations and traps through to Oct to help with distribution.

@saylor @Strategy Best guesss more dilution and value loss for shareholders

What's next?

🎬 WORLDWIDE PREMIERE — GODZILLA MARGIN CALL. A 5-minute music video about the reverse carry trade. My greatest achievement. This is Billboard 100 shit. Sound on.

@BitcoinHypers 2013... 9.6%

$BTC gained 20.96%, 18.19%, and 16.8% in July the last three times both May and June closed red

@gulf_news Prove he wrote that message 😂 his written messages are worthless

Khamenei blasts US for breaching Iran peace MoU, calling Trump’s signature worthless amid rising Gulf tensions, missile and drone attacks, and strikes on regional facilities. mrf.lu/2T13N

@ClarksonsFarm1 Fk no

Have you seen The Odyssey? Is it worth a visit to the cinema?

$BTC: Report of the Century: Today I am making one of the biggest announcements since I sold the top in September 2025. I am taking profit on every single crypto short. The Bitcoin short built between $115,000 and $125,000 is closed now with a gigantic gain. The $80,500 short, built between $79,000 and $82,000, is closed with another massive profit. The 100+ altcoin shorts I opened over the last several months are also closed, locking in another enormous win on top. The time of drinking tea is over. Congratulations to everyone who ignored the noise, trusted the framework and followed me from September 2025 until today. Buying Bitcoin Spot: For the first time since September 2025, I am buying Bitcoin spot again. Today, I entered at $64,000 for the absolute long term. For the first time since 9 Months I am buying Bitcoin for the long term! It is the beginning of a structured accumulation strategy, and I will execute it with the same discipline that allowed me to sell the top. The Accumulation Strategy Everyone who followed my strategy at $115,000–$125,000 remembers exactly how it worked. Every day Bitcoin traded inside that zone, I sold 10% of my spot position and added shorts. I did not care whether BTC was at $116,000, $120,000 or $124,000. Now I am doing the exact same thing in reverse. Every day Bitcoin remains between $54,000 and $64,000, I will buy 5% of my allocated capital in spot Bitcoin. Not 10% this time, but 5%, because I want to spread the accumulation across a wider period! If Bitcoin stays at $62,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it drops to $56,000, I buy. If it wicks into $54,000, I become more aggressive. If it returns to $64,000, I still buy. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this zone of 54-64k I am buying every day with 5% of my entire capital limited to 20 days. The Technical Zone and Sentiment Shift The legendary weekly MA200 sits in this region and is now being tested from below. Bitcoin already reached the lower section of this area last week. The top of the 2024 consolidation box also aligns with it. More importantly, sentiment has completely flipped. And I need to say, there are more bears, much more bears than bulls outside, and I dislike being one of many. The same people who were screaming for $150,000 at the top are now desperately waiting for $40,000. X is flooded with targets of $50,000, $45,000, $42,000 and $38,000. Retail is once again standing on one side of the boat, convinced the market owes them the perfect entry. Front-Running the Herd Since I announced the 50-40k region as my deeper bear-market target, most of crypto X has copied the same narrative. They copied everything, The market is not blind. The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below $50,000. They know people are terrified to buy at $64,000 because they have convinced themselves they will receive Bitcoin at $40,000. I am not going to stand behind the herd and beg the market for the same price as everyone else. I am front-running them. And the next that is following is also going to increase the price and so on, and the chain will be continued and those who are waiting for lower can stay there waiting forever. Just because the four-year cycle worked at the top does not mean it will work at the bottom. Right now, everyone is waiting for September or October as if the market has already programmed the bottom into the calendar. Do you understand how insane that is? Ask anyone when they plan to buy and they will tell you September or October. Ask them why and they will repeat the same answer: because of the four-year cycle. That is the 1+1 herd behavior. What if the real cycle is not exactly four years? What if it is three years and nine or ten months? What if the market bottoms before the date the entire crowd is waiting for? Bulls are waiting, bears are waiting, and everyone is using the same indicator to justify the same timing. That alone shold cause panic to all waiting for the 4 years cycle to happen. Markets do not reward the masses for memorizing a calendar. I am betting against the four-year-cycle bottom. It is not happening. The bottom comes earlier. The Structural Shift Around Bitcoin The deeper reason for the change is not technical. It is structural. The environment around Bitcoin is shifting at a speed most people still do not understand. Regulatory clarity, tokenization infrastructure and institutional adoption are all moving forward at the same time, and the legal framework being built right now has the potential to unlock trillions of dollars of institutional capital that has been sitting on the sidelines or parked in the stock market waiting for certainty. Combine that with Coinbase's institutional buildout and BlackRock's fully operational ETF ecosystem, and we are no longer looking at the same Bitcoin market that existed six months ago. The CLARITY Act could go through on August 10 depending on the Senate, and that is not a small event. There is a reason the entire world is now racing to regulate crypto with full speed. BlackRock, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange are already inside the DTCC live tokenization pilot. Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ and US Treasuries are being tested as tokenized securities right now, with the official launch planned for October. Stocks, ETFs and Treasuries are moving on-chain, and the largest institutions in the world are adopting blockchain rails while retail is still debating whether the bear market is over. On top of that, Citadel just invested $400 million directly into Crypto.com at a $20 billion valuation. The biggest players are deploying capital now, at scale, before the crowd understands what is happening. The infrastructure is being built directly in front of everyone, and I move my capital when the biggest capital in the world starts moving, not after In Regards of the Stock Market Crash: I am keeping every single SP500 short open. Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are not at the same point in their cycle. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and continued for nine months while the stock market refused to fall. Bitcoin dropped 52% from 125k to 60k. In the same window the SP500 made new all-time highs. Crypto has already been repriced while stocks remain over valued. Therefore there is a very high probability that the Crypto Market will benefit from a Stock Market crash, as profits will move from over valued assets into under valued assets, and in times of Tokenization Hype, Stablecoin talk and the Clarity Act, these funds will very likely move into the Crypto Market. One More Thing: I called 40-50k as the target and I was clear about it, I called 60k when Bitcoin was at 120k, and at 60k I said 40-50k is coming, But when the entire crowd on X starts waiting for the exact same level, the market almost never delivers it. Six months ago nobody was calling for sub-50k. Today every single account is. That is exactly when the target gets taken off the table. I now believe we will not see 40-50k at all this cycle. The setup that would have delivered that level is dissolving in front of the tokenization revolution, the CLARITY Act, and the biggest capital in the world moving in. Changing my view when the facts change is what a good trader should do. It is exactly why I made massive profits shorting from 120k, and it is why I am accumulating now while others are still waiting for a bottom that will not come the way they want it. That is why I am buying now. The crowd has become aggressively bearish and the conditions required for a much deeper collapse are beginning to weaken in front of the regulatory and tokenization revolution. I would rather begin building a position before the crowd understands the shift than chase Bitcoin after confirmation at much higher prices. Buy earlier before the mass starts to understand.

Fly me to the moon. 🚀🌕 It's coming. Be patient. Frank Sinatra the great.

@stellarman22 @PeteHegseth More people have died this year in the USA by the hand of trans people with guns

@PeteHegseth Died for nothing

Godspeed, heroes. Their sacrifice only stiffens our resolve.

@zaidlikesmstr @Strategy With the aggressive ATM and in bull market an expanding perfs div drag..... we might never see a lew MSTR ATH

$MSTR It’s been 9 months since Bitcoin last made an all-time high. It’s been roughly 20 months since $MSTR made its own. I’ve got to say… @Strategy shareholders are a different breed. Very few investor bases can sit through this much volatility, this much skepticism, and still maintain the level of conviction this community has. To everyone who’s stayed focused, continued doing the work, and kept the conversation rational through all the noise… I genuinely believe the next bull market will make this period worth remembering. The next chapter always belongs to those who stayed for this one. Mission Strategy. bitcoin:native $MSTR $STRC

@Ys0Complicated @GMONEYPEPE The date the strategy started to fail…. they started using ATM instead of loans to buy btc, been downhill ever since.

@TradingAndy008 @GMONEYPEPE Is that the date they started accumulating bitcoin?

Plebs attacking Saylor are the new qtards

@Ys0Complicated @GMONEYPEPE Not since Nov 2024

@TradingAndy008 @GMONEYPEPE And still outperformed Bitcoin.

@zaidlikesmstr @saylor @Strategy Everything else is noise

$MSTR “Don’t make promises you can’t keep but bend heaven and earth to keep the promises you do make” - Michael Saylor One of the hardest things to earn in capital markets is trust. One of the easiest things to lose is credibility. That’s why I found this clip interesting. It made me think: What exactly has @Strategy promised? To me, there are two promises. The first is to $MSTR shareholders. Steward the capital responsibly and continue finding ways to compound Bitcoin per share over the long run. The second is to $STRC shareholders. Build a Digital Credit platform with a capital structure robust enough to meet its short-term obligations while gradually reducing volatility over time. Those promises don’t always pull in the same direction. That’s what makes capital allocation so fascinating. Sometimes strengthening one part of the structure comes at the expense of another in the short term. A recent example was the depletion of the USD Reserve to repurchase the convertible debt. While the objective was to strengthen the broader capital structure, it understandably wasn’t received the same way by $STRC holders, whose investment horizon and priorities are very different. The test, however, is how committed management remains to the promises it’s made, especially when doing so requires adapting, changing course, learning from mistakes, and strengthening the product even further. That’s stewardship. That’s credibility. That’s why public markets ultimately reward consistency over perfection. The promise of Strategy. Mission Strategy. $BTC $MSTR $STRC

@saylor Everything else is noise

Companies enable people to organize under law around a shared mission with greater efficiency, transparency, creditworthiness, scale, resilience, and continuity. For Bitcoin to succeed as a global monetary network, corporate adoption is necessary, inevitable, and welcome.

@F1BigData #FormulaFked

🚨FASTEST TIME IN SPA FP1 2025 - 1:42.022 2026 - 1:47.070 (+5.048s)

@BarakRavid One BM…. One! They are running on fumes

🚨U.S. official: Iran launched a ballistic missile at a U.S. base in Saudi Arabia 🚨Why it matters: This is the first direct Iranian attack on Saudi Arabia in nearly four months

@mattvanswol 1000%

Tell it to me straight… How many of you think the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump?

Do you still believe in michael Saylor?

@MicroStrategy I need an AI gent please to help explain how management lost 60billion in shareholder value: please asssit urgently!?

Your AI needs a semantic control plane. Why? Because the next-gen semantic layer is now the control plane for data and analytics: it centralizes metric definitions, access policies, and business logic, then enforces them across BI tools, data products, and AI agents. 🔗 Learn more now: software.strategy.com/blog/why-is-a-… #EnterpriseAI #SemanticLayer #DataGovernance #AIAgents #DataArchitecture

@saylor This is the problem… everything else is noise

Fiat currency is the problem. Companies, institutions, securities, and technologies that strengthen Bitcoin are part of the solution. We can debate ideas without mistaking allies for enemies.