TradingwithG

The weekend changed a lot. Here's what you missed. 🛢️ THE STRAIT Iran’s new Supreme Leader vowed revenge for his father’s death Saturday. By Sunday the IRGC had fired on vessels and military sites across the Gulf, Kuwait and Bahrain among the targets. The Strait was closed again until further notice. Trump called the ceasefire effectively over. The US Treasury revoked the Iranian oil sanctions waiver. No more Iranian oil after July 17. Brent closed Friday at $76. That was before any of this. Watch Monday open. 📅 TUESDAY: THE BIGGEST DAY OF 2026 CPI, Warsh, and five major bank earnings all land simultaneously. CPI at 8:30 AM ET. Expected to show moderation after oil fell 20% in June. Cool print and rate hike odds ease. Hot print and Warsh’s problem deepens going into the July 28-29 FOMC. Warsh testifies before Congress. First time he takes public questions since taking the chair. He’s been deliberately silent. Tuesday that changes. JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America all report. First real read on what 4 months of war did to corporate America. The S&P 500 is near record highs heading into it. That resilience either gets confirmed or questioned Tuesday. 🏦 THE FED The committee is split 9-9 on whether to hike rates this year. Nine members project at least one hike. Nine project hold or lower. This week’s CPI and Wednesday’s Fed Beige Book, the last qualitative read from businesses before the July meeting, tilt that balance one way or the other. 📉 GOLD AND THE DOLLAR Gold heading into the week with the war premium returning fast. DXY caught between a potentially cooler CPI and fresh geopolitical fear. Watch which force wins. The $4,250 area remains the key level. 🤖 AI Momentum fell 18% last week. But SK Hynix surged nearly 13% Friday on AI memory demand. The AI story isn’t dead. Whether the spending is generating proportional revenue gets answered as earnings season accelerates. 📊 BITCOIN BTC at $64,204 Friday. Recovering. The Strait closure and Gulf strikes this morning test whether that holds. Watch Sunday night before anything else opens. 👁️ THIS WEEK I’M WATCHING • Strait: closed again. Gulf states fired on. Brent gaps Monday • CPI Tuesday: breaks the 9-9 Fed split one way or the other • Warsh Tuesday: first public questioning. Every word will be parsed • Five banks Tuesday: JPM, GS, Citi, WFC, BAC. War impact on corporate America • Bitcoin Sunday night: 24/7 risk thermometer. First read on Monday The ceasefire is over. The biggest data day of the year lands Tuesday. This week has it all. — G

@CoinMarketCap Interesting....the real question is whether they're moving it to hold or to sell. Not every transfer means selling. 👀

LATEST: 🇺🇸 The US government sent $297M in Bitcoin and Ethereum to Coinbase Prime on Monday, combining forfeitures from three separate criminal cases, per Arkham.

@nikitabier Niceee...this would be a big win if it works. Quality conversations > random reach. 👊🏾

We're rolling out a small tweak to boost visibility of your posts to your mutuals (people who you follow back). We noticed this data was missing from the algo and it made your friends appear less in your replies. This resulted in the reply section feeling more like a battleground with people you don't recognize. This should also help clusters form around interests more easily, which many people have asked for.

@DaanCrypto CPI got it there. Now let's see if buyers can actually hold it above the range. 👀

@joseftrades It has in some ways. But there are also some genuinely great traders on here who teach the process, not the flash. Those are the ones worth following. 👊🏾

Sometimes I think trading would've been easier... if social media didn't exist. No screenshots. No million-dollar days. No feeling like you're behind. Just you... and the charts.

@tradertheory Higher timeframe bias, price at a key POI, liquidity taken, confirmation printed, then execute.

Describe your A+ trade setup in one sentence. No images allowed.

@bobbthetrader Hands down. Trading exposes every weakness you didn't know you had.

Is trading the hardest mental game ever?

@aw_trades_ Agree and disagree. It's about quality, not quantity. Follow your plan and the trade count usually takes care of itself.

the 2 trades a day rule is what saves my accounts trade 1 and 2 are setups. trade 3 is my ego trying to get even lol every account i've blown died on trade 3+, never trade 1 if you can't stop at 2, that's not a strategy problem, it's a discipline problem…

@Ceaserfxx Honestly, it is. With cTrader you can even set your partials in advance.....then just walk away. 😎✌🏾

“Set and forget” will always be the best trade management approach. You’re a trader, not a monitoring spirit.

@Crtquinn The market provides so many opportunities.....just have to wait for ours.

You miss one move Don't jump in ... Wait for another Every exit is a new entry

@TQtradesNQ Well said man!

@TradingWith_G Protecting capital gets easier when you remove urgency.

Day 201 No trades today. Nothing worthwhile trading for my strategy before 11:00 AM. Felt a bit of FOMO after that super fast 120-point rip on $NQ at 10:34 AM, but observed it and let it pass instead of giving in. Ran a quick 1-micro test trade on FundedNext last night to see what Tradovate felt like in a live trade. Back at it tomorrow. Ready and locked in. 🫡

@nav_dhand Couldn't agree more. Sometimes it's just buy and forget. That's how you remove emotion and stop interrupting the compounding.

Compounding doesn't reward the clever. It rewards the ones who don't interrupt it. My best decisions weren't brilliant trades, they were the years I did nothing and let a good business do the work.

@EliteOptions2 Valuable reminder. Flat is a position too. 🤝

Day trading doesn’t mean you have to trade every day.

@Jduntrades Love seeing this. Money comes and goes. Moments like this are what make the journey worth it. 🙏🏾

No better feeling than being able to take care of your mom / loved ones $5,000 on a random Tuesday… Thank you for always taking care of us 🤞

@nqvtrades Facts. Nothing worth having comes easy.

"If trading worked everyone would do it." The gym works, now look around you…

@RealSPXSniper Mainly XAUUSD, GER40, UKOIL & BTC bro. You?

@TradingWith_G You got it boss. What instruments do you trade?

Midday Review: Today's price action has been tough, but there have still been plenty of opportunities if you stayed focused on our levels. My anticipation entry on the 7555 calls cost me $1,700. I entered before getting confirmation, and today the market reminded me why patience matters. The best trade came after 10:10 AM, when the 7500 puts triggered below our put level. That trade made $3,449. A smaller confirmed call setup after 11:00 AM added another $637, putting me +$2.4K on the day so far. Today's biggest lesson: Anticipation can work once in a while, but confirmation is what consistently makes money over the long run. Stay patient and let price prove the move first. Follow @RealSPXSniper for daily SPX tactical plan and live entry/exit alert on X.

@notanotherquant Exactly....that wasn't included in that print. So let's see. 🤝

@TradingWith_G Absolutely. Continue to analyze as we get more data. The war getting more active again is going to complicate things 😬

Headline CPI fell 0.4% in June, the largest monthly decline since April 2020. Energy did all of it and then some: energy's effect on the index was −0.44 against a −0.4 print, meaning everything else was net positive. The energy index fell 5.7%, gasoline 9.7%. Core was unchanged, its smallest monthly change since January 2021. Core y/y fell to 2.6% from 2.9%. Volatile lines did some of it. Insurance fell 2.0%, wireless 3.3%, lodging 2.3%. Add all three back and core is still only about 0.15%. The shelter deceleration is the story, and it isn't a volatile line effect. Rent rose 0.1% after 0.4% in May and 0.5% in April. Owners' equivalent rent rose 0.2% after 0.3% and 0.5%. That's 33 points of index weight, slower in each of the last two months. Waller said Monday it would take several months of lower readings on core inflation before he'd believe inflation is turning. He also said a hot core print this week would mean considering a hike in the near term. He got the opposite. The problem is the collection window. June's prices were collected before Brent rose 9.6% on Monday, its biggest day since May 2020. The pump had already turned before the blockade news, and GasBuddy now expects $4 within 7 to 10 days. June says disinflation but July's inputs already say otherwise. Do you think the Fed will hike this year?

@RealSPXSniper Been a slow start to the week, but opportunities will come. Just staying ready bro 🤝

@TradingWith_G Thanks G, how is your trading going boss?

@Brownmoose A doji at ATH definitely gets your attention....but confirmation is everything. Let's see what price does next.

$AAPL TOP SIGNAL? Apple rally came out strong in 2026 and just reached ATH yesterday but closed with a Doji. Volume dropping the whole rally , reaching June TOP and give a potential double top pattern. Id be very careful holding this atm! Ill keep updating on discord !

@KobeissiLetter A simple reminder that no company is immune.....got to keep adapting or get left behind.

It's official: IBM stock, $IBM, is now on track for its biggest daily decline since 1968, down -26%. That's -$70 billion in market cap erased today. The lesson? Don't get comfortable in the AI economy, keep evolving.