Lord Soth

@VolSignals @zerohedge Positioning is ‘market bias in action’... it encompasses market participant investment methodologies in play

@zerohedge at the end of the day, positioning will always drive the markets. Even if "fundamentals" are the source, no price moves until a buy meets a sell

'Market No Longer Driven By Positioning': Citadel Securities Chief Strategist Sees Stocks 'Transitioning Back Toward Fundamentals' zerohedge.com/markets/market…

@RetiredTrader_ @MichaelPBento Spot on

@MichaelPBento You are correct, most people are retarded.

My replies today demonstrate a LOT of you do not understand the difference between Disinflation and Deflation. Disinflation means the inflation number is still positive but lower than the previous month, which means inflation is still present just at a slower pace. Deflation is when the number is negative

@MichaelPBento Most people don’t know that distinction. The macro analysis of the economy is all wrong if you use the wrong inputs…

@TriggerTrades What happened to your epic crash bear market you were predicting for the last 18 months???

$SPX had a perfect reaction off Daily FVG support. Today's low officially COMPLETES the E-wave of the W4 triangle. That builds into a multi-week rally starting tomorrow under W5 — if today's reversal holds. Dips bought against today's low.

@Rekter lol:-) strong confluence / high probability is not positioning for an announcement…

$ASTS Anyone saying they called this or predicted it is lying. Trading is about entering at a high confluence area with multiple data points defending your thesis. Good traders are right 60-65% of the time. It’s placing bets on high probability outcomes, and sometimes you get lucky, like the Japanese government announcement with Rakuten selecting ASTS Monday morning pre-market. That’s the point: positioning yourself to be in spots like this. I entered at $64 and got lucky with the announcement. Now all these furu accounts are coming out of the woodwork claiming they’re Nostradamus, chirping like they called this or foretold it. Loving the ride here! Looking for $150 end of summer.

@Mr_Derivatives It’s clear your not - what a stupid ass question 😂

Not a big soccer guy, but Cape Verde be like forget offense. Just play defense. Lol Is there a term for that?

@WhitakerTA_ He skipped the wedding for security reasons. It’s for his own protection.

WHEN WAS THE LAST TIME A PRESIDENT SKIPPED HIS OWN SON'S WEDDING? Think about that. Trump. White House. May 22, 2026. Bedminster canceled. New York speech done. Straight back to Washington. The last time something like this happened, the world found out why a few days later. This is not a scheduling conflict. This is not bad optics on a family milestone. This is a president who moved the US embassy to Jerusalem after three predecessors signed waivers kicking it down the road. Who ordered the Soleimani strike after years of prior administrations passing. Who does not cancel things for nothing. What is happening right now that required him back in the Situation Room tonight? His own words: "I feel it is important for me to remain in Washington, DC, at the White House during this important period of time." He didn't say what the period was. He didn't say how long. He didn't say what he was waiting on. But he said important twice. Presidents who skip their children's weddings are not doing it because the paperwork piled up. They do it when the thing on the other end of that secure line is the kind of thing that changes what tomorrow looks like. The Iran truce is fragile. The Strait of Hormuz is still contested. Twelve weeks of conflict and counting. And the man running it just turned the motorcade around. This is the moment. Right now. Pay attention. Follow and turn on notifications before it's too late.

@MacroCRG I don’t know why he’s shocked. He’s struggled to hold down a starting place at his own club over the last few seasons.

leaving Harry Maguire out of the World Cup squad is infuriating man he’s a big, solid, aerially dominant centre half who gets stuck the fuck in a real old school, archetypal English centre half he’ll be sorely missed

@FrankCappelleri SPX is a flawed benchmark for mkt breadth readings. NYSE begs to differ…

The headline you won't hear: $SPX - best breadth day of May with 72% advancing stocks.

@Kylechasse @ASchectman You been living in cave for the last 12 months?

🚨 QUANTUM may become Bitcoin’s biggest long-term threat. Not regulation. @ASchectman and I broke this down. After Google’s Willow chip announcement and Anthropic’s “Mythos,” I warned people about the security risks facing crypto and DeFi before most were paying attention. Weeks later, exploits surged across the space. The core asset has not changed. But the system around it is changing fast. Full @MilesFranklinCo video in comments 👇

@McClellanOsc Did you see my comment yesterday? Thanks

My latest Chart In Focus article, "RASI Stalled at the +500 Level" is posted at my Home page. Direct link to follow in a reply.

@McClellanOsc RASI failing 500?

I can top that. Here is 1928-29. And it got worse after this.

@McClellanOsc Tom - what’s your take on RASI?

I have seen it reported elsewhere that there was a Hindenburg Omen signal today, but this is incorrect. Both NH and NL did exceed the number needed, and the McClellan Oscillator was negative. But the $NYA was 0.1% below its level of 50TD ago, missing that criterion by a hair. But you may feel free to go ahead and conclude that it is probably not a great thing to have both NH (110) and NL (114) so high on the same day, with the SP500 at a new ATH, even without an official H.O. signal.

@CyclesFan SPX momentum oscillators are not reliable - concentration issues in index distort the picture.

The $SPX McClellan oscillator peaked at 55 on April 17. Today it closed at -38. SPX has made 10 new all time highs since April 17. The reason for this weak breadth is that on 7 of these 10 days in which SPX made a new ATH, there were more declining stocks than advancing stocks

@Basssem666 While there is calm, the markets will rhyme… no use overthinking it.

$SPY PPI is 6% and CPI is nearly 4%. Yet the market is barely down and any tiny dip gets bought. I don’t know how long this will keep on going but reality will kick in at some point if nothing changes. I think next week price should start correcting a little and work its way towards the 20 dma then we’ll see. If it holds above that’s bullish, and will be a good opportunity to long. Below it risks a deeper correction. I’ll remain in cash aside from scalping until next week.

@DVSignals NDX (that’s right - just the index) has outperformed Silver since April. Markets parabolic on plummeting VIX and USD (reversing soon). Market Melt up topping but Silver finally wants to come to the party? Wait for Fed rate hike murmurs - the rug pull will be epic…

$SILVER is a good example of why trading and investing always needs structure. At 82, I had a bear-flag thesis. That thesis failed. Since then, silver has continued to push higher, and right now this looks more like a small bull flag / bullish consolidation than anything bearish. The only real caution here is that we are pushing into broader resistance, so I still prefer to see how the weekly close develops. It is only Tuesday, and silver loves to fake people out mid/end of-week. That said, some miners are starting to look healthy again. Not all have confirmed or broken out yet, and some are still very depressed but that is exactly why both long-term swing trades and investment positions can have a place here. For longer-term followers, this should not be surprising. Throughout 2025, I posted plenty of bullish (daily) silver structures, bull flags and continuation setups all the way into the highs. The goal is not to marry one thesis. The goal is to update when the chart updates. Could silver go much higher over the coming decade? Virtually guaranteed. But tactically, one step at a time. If silver truly breaks out into a much bigger move, missing a couple of dollars on the metal - or a few cents on a small-cap silver name - is not the end of the world... After all, that’s what backtests are for 😉 Confirmation > chasing. Weekly close > mid-week noise.

@McClellanOsc Tom, I am great admirer of your know-how. I appreciate no single chart expressing conditions is as powerful as a confluence of many but out of curiosity over the long term what’s been one of the most reliable (high conviction) you have followed?

Couple of big differences. First, the NYSE's A-D Line peaked in 1998, so the final bubble stage was one enormous bearish divergence. Second, total Nasdaq issues peaked in late 1996, and were in freefall by the March 2000 price top. Nasdaq issues are still climbing now.

@McClellanOsc Tom, I am great admirer of your know-how. I appreciate no single chart expressing conditions is as powerful as a confluence of many but out of curiosity over the long term what’s been one of the most reliable (high conviction) you have followed?

Direct: mcoscillator.com/learning_cente…

My latest Chart In Focus article, "High Yield Bonds Flash Warning", is posted at my Home page. Direct link to follow in a reply.

@DVSignals H&S 4H

Precious metals strong out of the gate again today... Before people start flooding my replies: no need. I’m still waiting for daily confirmation first and foremost. Yes, I mentioned roughly 77–78 earlier, but that was on the 4H. When in doubt, zoom out. On the daily chart, I can still make the case for slightly higher before this setup is fully decided; will share it after hours. For the immediate bullish case, silver needs to keep pushing and accept above this zone. For the immediate bearish/hedge case, silver needs to start giving way below 80. Otherwise, the short-term bullish case becomes more relevant again. Long term? Still bullish (obviously) Near term? Confirmation first. No need to chase every green candle. Side note: the silver/oil ratio is also sitting at support here. That’s one of the key cross-market indicators I’m watching right now..

@DVSignals What’s concerning is that even with the USD sliding for weeks (which looks to be bottoming now short term) Silver is still in such a weak position (under resistance). The risk is still to the downside not upside.

A few people still asking for a fresh $SILVER chart after today’s action - even in DMs - so here you go. Yes, strong bounce. Yes, impressive intraday move. But zoom out: price is still trading into the upper part of the short-term channel and has not cleanly reclaimed the broader resistance area yet. For me, the line remains simple: proper daily acceptance above ~78 and I reassess. Until then, this is still a strong bounce into resistance.. not confirmation.