TM

It's GAME OVER. This will be what I call a "K Shaped Explosion".

🚨 S&P 500 UPDATE The 2025 manipulation was just a warning But the current Phase III is the real deal Market makers needed more liquidity this time The trap is set and the retail FOMO is peaking > Phase III: Final bull trap > Phase IV: Massive flush loading The fractal is now perfectly aligned Be ready and turn notifs on!

@HayekAndKeynes Tks for sharing. Real great, intuition and insightful plot

Today is OpEx. All the puts below the red line expire worthless today with current spot

To recap, hedge funds were consensus long Emerging Markets when the war started. Then they got consensus monkey hammered when Hormuz was blocked. So they all got consensus short EMs which was the Wall Street call a few weeks ago. And now they are getting consensus monkey hammered to the point that EMs are higher now than BEFORE the war started. Even though the IMF just downgraded EM growth THIS WEEK. In other words, hedge funds are getting obliterated this year.

Today is the DAY. April 17, 2026. The intermediate top before the most difficult time of the presidential cycle. THE BAD NEWS We're entering the mid-term correction phase. Historically, markets correct an average of 16% during this period. It's the weakest part of the 4-year presidential cycle. And it starts NOW. THE CHART SPX Seasonal Composite 4-Year Presidential Cycle (99 years of data): Election Year → Post-Election Year → Mid-Election Year → Pre-Election Year Red line (current cycle): Peaked April 17, 2026 Black line (historical average): Shows consistent mid-term weakness The pattern is clear. Mid-election years are brutal. THE HISTORICAL PATTERN Out of the last 20 presidential cycles, we've witnessed 19 sharp mid-term corrections. Average decline: 16% Timing: Mid-election year (Year 2 of the cycle) This is where markets reset. THE GOOD NEWS After 19 out of 19 sharp mid-term corrections, we've seen a new bull market. Duration: 2 years Phase: Pre-election year + election year (Year 3 and Year 4) This is the most bullish part of the cycle. THE SETUP We're at the top of Year 2. The correction is coming. But the 2-year bull market follows. THE MESSAGE Buy any dip in the coming months. Not now. Not at the top. But when the market corrects 10%, 15%, 20% — that's your entry. Because history says: Mid-term corrections are buying opportunities for the pre-election rally. THE PLAYBOOK 1. We're at the intermediate top (April 17, 2026) 2. Expect a 16% correction over the next 6-9 months 3. Layer in during weakness (-10%, -15%, -20%) 4. Hold through the pre-election year rally (Year 3) 5. Ride the election year momentum (Year 4) THE PATTERN NEVER FAILS 19 out of 19 times, the mid-term correction was followed by a 2-year bull market. That's 100%. THE LESSON Don't panic during the correction. Don't fight the cycle. Buy the dip. Hold for 2 years. That's the presidential cycle playbook. Today is the DAY. The top is in. The correction starts now. The opportunity is coming.

@fabulouskid4u @DeItaone Hope you are right. Sadly, I think though that it will be back in full force as soon as the ceasefire deadline hits next week

@Tx9Mx @DeItaone I totally understand. My happiness stems from the fact that in all this insanity finally no one is losing their life's .

*ARAGHCHI: PASSAGE FOR COMMERCIAL VESSELS OPEN THROUGH HORMUZ

@AndreasSteno No it is not. It will be back in full force next week

The crisis is over

Imagine if someone told you that the Strait of Hormuz would be shut for almost two months. Would you go ALL IN Transports?

@Ross__Hendricks Yes it very likely is

Now, the question becomes whether this is a "sell the news" event...

@MichaelMOTTCM It's hard to predict manipulation

Definitely didn't see this one coming?

@fabulouskid4u @DeItaone That's fair and I agree with this statement. Just frustrated with the madness we are witnessing real time. It's like a massive train wreck in slow motion...

@Tx9Mx @DeItaone Well we all knew what has happened and I would love to look at the positive side right now..

This is now officially the second Y2K Tech bubble top. As of yesterday, Intel is up a record 66% in 12 days. The most in company history. That means the market is about to spontaneously explode.

@fabulouskid4u @DeItaone Really? To maybe open the SofH for a few hours when it was fully open just a few weeks ago? Clown

@DeItaone Very big achievement finally.

⚠️THIS IS ABSOLUTELY INSANE: The Nasdaq 100 index has gone from oversold to OVERBOUGHT levels in just 2 weeks, measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This comes as the Nasdaq 100 has recorded 12 consecutive green sessions, the longest streak in 13 YEARS. This is the 4th-longest stretch in the index’s history. Over this period, the Nasdaq 100 has rallied +14.7%. The market has rarely seen such an explosive short squeeze.

“The war isn’t over, volume is weak, and there’s a $SPY gap at $660 that still needs to be filled.”

CNN confirms Donald Trump was forced to order Israel to halt its bombing of Hezbollah just to get Iran to the negotiating table. The Trump administration is relying entirely on Pakistani generals to save their disastrous diplomatic collapse. Total humiliation for Washington.

S&P 500 hit a new ATH, but the monthly RSI is making a lower high. IMO, SPX will have another correction, which will push $BTC to new lows.

Ladies and gentlemens... dignitaries and distinguished market participants.. The 30-year Treasury bond is coiling. Higher lows are in play, and an ascending triangle looks set to explode higher. A move toward 5% is on approach ..its last line of defence. Yours truly, The Great Martis ✨

@FinanceLancelot Which proves the manipulation

Have you guys ever experienced an 11.7 sigma event before? Well you just did this week, exceeding the top of the dot-com bubble. The cross-sectional standard deviation of annual returns within the S&P 500 Information Technology sector, as of April 15, 2026, dispersion hit 392.93, which sits 11.7 standard deviations above its long-term historical mean (data going back to 1973). For context: The chart draws horizontal lines all the way up to +6 SD. The current spike blows well past the +6 SD line.