Tyler Burch

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Tyler Burch

Tyler Burch

@TylerJBurch

Lead Baseball Analyst @RedSox, recovering physicist. Formerly: @Argonne, @NIU, ATLAS Experiment @CERN, @MurrayStateUniv, STL(area) Native | Tired but hydrated

Peabody, MA Katılım Nisan 2011
1.8K Takip Edilen1.7K Takipçiler
Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
Grant me the serenity to accept the problems where I cannot offload my understanding, courage to let the LLM go burrrr on the problems where I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
The more I do it, the more it feels like there's some misalignment between LLMs and statistical work. Maybe it's over-abstraction leading to making it harder to turn knobs and experiment? Maybe the harnesses are oriented toward shipping code and not sitting on a problem?
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
The better the models get, the more I seem to have to scream "DON'T FORGET YAGNI" and "come on, KISS!" at them.
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Gavin Brown
Gavin Brown@gavinrbrown1·
Gradient descent does not work. I will die on this hill.
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
No company has ever been more relatable than Dunkin giving up on the “healthy” protein menu strategy and hard pivoting directly into putting Oreos on everything.
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
Quick question, does gpt 5.5 still talk to me like it’s trying to prove to me that it’s read every single book on computer programming? “We need to leverage a shim to reduce the risk surface area” got it
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
In case you were wondering how this performed, near-perfect temps meant no weather effect, leaving just the random-walk estimate. Top-3 average was 2:02:30, ~0.7 posterior SDs faster than the 2:05:10 median, inside the 95% interval (1:57:55–2:12:29).
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch

Based on the attire on the Green Line skewing more Hokas and On Cloudmonsters than a typical workday, I can confirm today is the Boston Marathon. Just uploaded a new blog post looking at how much of finish-time variation is attributable to weather. Link in thread

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Boston Globe Pitchbot
Boston Globe Pitchbot@BostonSatire·
Report: Runner who tried to jump on Green Line to cheat way to victory in 2022 Boston Marathon just getting to finish line now
Boston Globe Pitchbot tweet media
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Neil Pierre-Louis
Neil Pierre-Louis@pierreanalytics·
What are people’s thoughts on radar charts?
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
@StatsbyLopez There's actually pretty good availability! At least through 2019 easily available. See: github.com/adrian3/Boston… I scoped it down to top-3 for the sake of grounding to existing work. and to save a bit of sanity for a pedagogical-leaning post. Definitely could be much richer.
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Michael Lopez
Michael Lopez@StatsbyLopez·
@TylerJBurch This is tremendous. Wish there was individual level data available for runners outside top 3, as guessing impact is greater among non-elite runners
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
Based on the attire on the Green Line skewing more Hokas and On Cloudmonsters than a typical workday, I can confirm today is the Boston Marathon. Just uploaded a new blog post looking at how much of finish-time variation is attributable to weather. Link in thread
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
So uh anybody who bought a Mac mini for a clawdbot ready to sell it to me for pennies on the dollar yet? These MCMC chains aren’t gonna sample themselves, and my MacBook Air is starting to struggle.
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Tyler Burch
Tyler Burch@TylerJBurch·
yeah, that's the point
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datascience@uw
datascience@uw@datascience_uw·
Tyler Burch, an analyst for the Boston Red Sox, will present a seminar tomorrow at 11am, 1310 Sterling. His talk will trace how changes in baseball analytics have shaped front office decision-making, on-field strategy, and player development. today.wisc.edu/events/view/22…
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