Dan

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Dan

Dan

@robustus

https://t.co/vYu7T6SiXO https://t.co/KL8jAIlktv https://t.co/JP5mnIuupl

Terran System Katılım Mart 2008
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
To reiterate - because I have a feeling it may come up down the road - it's not bitcoiners' fault that governments over-spent and killed their currencies.
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@levelsio
@levelsio@levelsio·
🇪🇺 The new trend in Europe now is building new houses with tiny windows, so that they stay cool and don't need to install or use AC to cool them "Less sunlight = less heat = less cooling = less energy use" is their thinking But there's a reason people buy modern design villas that are floor to ceiling glass (I did) You want as much sunlight as possible coming in for your health, because your circadian rhythm depends on it, improving your sleep quality so you produce melatonin at the right time and fall asleep easily and stay asleep all night Sunlight also affects your mood of course, it heavily boosts serotonin and decreases symptoms of depression Having wide views of the sky, nature or ocean also have a measurable effect on lowering your stress So Europe is now building houses with tiny windows all so they don't need to install AC, while the new home owner inside will slowly become miserable, stressed, depressed, start sleeping bad and as a second order effects of that become sick (but of course then you can sell them pills) The conclusion is the same I had during the ongoing heatwave in Europe where tens of thousands of people are still dying every month because they're not allowed to install AC: Europe now cares more about energy use than people's lives Degrowth is a completely delusional cult affecting all of Europeans lives now!
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
So that's what, mid 2017-ish equivalent timeframe? I suspect most BTC transactions at the time were people moving money to/from exchanges, or between wallets. I'm a fan of using btc and zec for direct uses, but iirc the data suggests most transactions are usually related to buying/selling the asset. And BTC has high tx count in 2017 cuz: 1) it was the focal point of the ecosystem, and the common rail people used to move value between exchanges, and 2) it was 1-2 orders of mag higher price than current zec, which yields a lot more trading volume and thus related onchain movements. Anyway, I support your effort to get people to directly use zcash more. Just also worth understanding why btc had/has much higher tx count imo
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Jeremiah
Jeremiah@jeremiahrogers·
Zcash: 3,177 tx/day. Bitcoin at the same issuance: 213,575. That's a massive gap. How do you close it? Start engineering the UI for spending in addition to saving. Sell ZEC -> digital Visa. Every top-up is a tx. Make paying friends with ZEC as easy as Venmo. Every active user throws off a few tx/month forever. Higher tx won't pump the price by itself. But it does three things better than "number go up" hopes: - Reminds people the asset is alive - Turns "I hold it" into "I use it everyday", which is how you virally onboard a billion people -Builds a real, recurring buy wall: spend and replace, over and over Digital gold is a story you tell about an asset no one uses. If another hard-capped, high-throughput network comes along and dramatically outpaces "gold" on tx-throughput, the "gold" narrative collapses. Zcash has a real opportunity to close this gap. When Tachyhon ships, Zcash L1 will be able to handle millions of users' daily spending. Bitcoin will never be able to do the same throughput on L1. The wallet software should be ready for millions of people to replace their daily spending with Zcash.
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Viktor Bunin 🛡️🇺🇸
Most people want kids. Even those that don't will likely be happier if they have them. Don't wait. You will never regret having them, but if you miss your fertile years, you'll always regret it and will never have a chance to correct your mistake.
More Births@MoreBirths

The UN just published the results of a massive survey of 108,000 young adults 18-39 in 73 countries. More than 75% of *childless* respondents age 35-39 still ideally wanted to have children. But at 35, just 25% of childless women will ever have children. At 40 it is just 7%.

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threadguy
threadguy@notthreadguy·
my feed just got so much worse
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Bruce Fenton
Bruce Fenton@brucefenton·
Did they change the algo and stop shadow banning people as much?
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Hidden History
Hidden History@HiddenHistoryYT·
In 1945 the USS Indianapolis secretly delivered the parts for the atomic bomb that would hit Hiroshima. Days later, mission done, a Japanese submarine put two torpedoes into her. She sank in 12 minutes. Nearly 900 men made it off the ship alive and into the open ocean. Then it got worse. No one knew they were missing. Three separate Navy stations picked up the distress signals and every one of them ignored it. One officer thought it was a Japanese trap. Another had ordered not to be disturbed. So the men floated. For almost five days. No food, no fresh water, burning by day and freezing at night. Some drank seawater and went insane. And the whole time, the sharks were circling and feeding. It is considered the worst shark attack in human history. When rescue finally came by accident, only 316 of the nearly 1,200 crew were still alive. The Navy needed someone to blame for the disaster. They chose Captain Charles McVay, one of the men who survived it. He became the only U.S. captain in the entire war to be court-martialed for losing his ship to the enemy. At his trial the Navy did something almost unheard of. They brought in the Japanese commander who sank the ship to testify against him. Instead, the enemy captain told the court that zigzagging would have made no difference and that McVay did nothing wrong. They convicted him anyway. For years afterward McVay got hate mail from the families of the dead. Some sent letters every Christmas telling him he murdered their sons. In 1968 he walked onto his front lawn and shot himself, holding a toy sailor he had kept since he was a boy. Case closed. For fifty years. Then in 1996 an 11-year-old named Hunter Scott watched Jaws with his dad and got hooked on the 30 second speech about the Indianapolis. He made it his sixth grade history project. He tracked down and interviewed nearly 150 survivors. He dug through more than 800 documents. And buried in there he found what the Navy had left out, including that they knew enemy subs were operating right on the ship's route and never warned McVay. A kid's school project turned into a national story. It reached Congress. In 2000 lawmakers passed a resolution clearing McVay's name and President Clinton signed it. The Navy officially cleared his record in 2001. The captain the Navy spent decades blaming was finally exonerated by a sixth grader. Hunter Scott grew up and became a naval flight officer.
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
Me (on reverse-chron since 2008), every so often: oh I guess there was an algo change cuz all the plebs who insist on having twitter-management's idea of engaging content shoved down their throats seem to be talking about the algo a lot again.
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
@levelsio Probably hose popped off a fitting. I'd just unscrew that cover and investigate. And ask Fable.
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@levelsio
@levelsio@levelsio·
My Tesla Y 2025 windshield wiper fluid doesn't come out anymore, when I press it, it sprays it out of the bumper Seems like the hose is lose? How I fix this? I already removed the top part under the hood, but the problem isn't there, it's more below near the front bumper That part is fixed with some screws though, should I open it? THANKS
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Mark Kretschmann
Mark Kretschmann@mark_k·
The biggest danger in AI is that authoritarian communists use it to automate censorship, surveillance, propaganda, and social control at a scale no dictatorship has ever achieved. The AI race is not just about technological or economic dominance. It is a battle over whether the future belongs to free individuals or to regimes determined to monitor and control them.
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Kat 🧡
Kat 🧡@kat_mccrystal·
I am pretty sure this woman took an oath to protect this country, uphold the Constitution, "without mental reservation or purpose of evasion". I am thinking she is violating that oath daily. Those violating the U.S. Oath of Allegiance should be removed from public office. Period.
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TheBlaze
TheBlaze@theblaze·
Democrat Rep. Rashida Tlaib: “The political structures that we are surrounded by were built on slavery and genocide and oppression. Look at this room, motherf******. We aren’t going anywhere. Now we’re in Congress and every corner of the United States.”
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
@AviFelman Bonus points for also buying after one of the first Starship orbital refuelings results in catastrophic loss of ship and all the media headlines are saying spacex is a joke
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Avi
Avi@AviFelman·
SpaceX will be a screaming buy. Just wait for it to base out and trade sideways for a bit, and pick it up once attention is elsewhere. And then watch as it magically picks up a narrative again.
1000x@1000xPod

.@gametheorizing breaks down exactly how to trade SpaceX Treat it like crypto. $SPCX has all the hallmarks of a low-float token launch: from KOLs (@CNBC, @elonmusk) to the IEO-style launchpad. "We know how this plays out".

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Richard H. Ebright
Richard H. Ebright@R_H_Ebright·
@feelsdesperate Islamomarxist identitarians--including open supporters of Islamomarxist terrorism--are the new stars of the Democrat party. The only new stars.
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Gwart
Gwart@GwartyGwart·
This new Burning Man documentary series is hilarious. It’s just people being like “we started this whole thing to do ketamine in the desert and now we have to do ketamine in the desert with Jason Calcanis”
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Paul Graham
Paul Graham@paulg·
The rise and fall of wokeness: DEI commitments in corporate securities disclosures filed with the SEC. To me this seems a trailing indicator; most other measures of wokeness take off well before 2019 and peak in 2020 or 2021. But the shape! That's what a moral fashion looks like.
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
@Evan_ss6 This is almost every >45yo former Bridgewater "macro guy".
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Evanss6
Evanss6@Evan_ss6·
Guy who has thought AI is just a narrative to fade since Q1 2023
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Voices of WW2
Voices of WW2@VoicesofWW2·
On this day in 1944, Theodore Roosevelt Jr. died in his sleep in a stone farmhouse in Normandy. He was 56 years old, and he had spent almost his entire adult life trying to be worthy of a famous last name. He was the eldest son of President Theodore Roosevelt. In the First World War he went to France and was gassed and badly wounded at Soissons leading his men. That same summer his younger brother Quentin, a pilot, was shot down and killed over France. Ted came home with lungs and a leg that never fully recovered, and before he even left Europe he helped found the American Legion so that ordinary soldiers would have someone looking out for them. Between the wars he did almost everything. Governor of Puerto Rico. Governor General of the Philippines. Businessman, explorer, writer. He could have spent the Second World War safe behind a desk. Instead, at 54, arthritic and walking with a cane, he talked his way back into uniform and into combat. By 1943 he was fighting in North Africa and Sicily under Terry Allen, and their loose, unpolished, soldier-first style rubbed General Patton the wrong way. Patton had them both relieved of command. Roosevelt didn't sulk. He asked for another job, any job, as long as it kept him near the fighting. They made him assistant commander of the 4th Infantry Division. Then came D-Day. He hid a heart condition from the Army doctors. He wrote to his commander three separate times, in writing, begging to go in with the very first wave rather than watch from a ship. He was the only general to land in the first wave on any beach that morning, the oldest man in the invasion, walking through machine gun fire with a cane in one hand and a pistol in the other. The boats came in a mile off course. Officers froze. Roosevelt limped up and down the beach under fire, studied the ground, and said, "We'll start the war from right here." Then he spent the morning waving men forward and sorting out the chaos so calmly that terrified 20 year olds looked at this old man with a cane and decided that if he wasn't scared, they wouldn't be either. His son Quentin, named for the uncle killed in the last war, landed at Omaha Beach the same morning. They were the only father and son to come ashore together on D-Day. He died a month later. A heart attack in his sleep. And here is the part that gets me. On the very day he died, the orders had just come through promoting him to major general and giving him his own division. He never saw the paperwork. He never knew he'd earned the Medal of Honor either. At his funeral his pallbearers were seven of the most famous generals of the war, Bradley, Hodges, Collins, Barton, Huebner, and George Patton. The same Patton who had fired him. Patton wrote in his diary that Roosevelt was one of the bravest men he had ever known. Years later Omar Bradley was asked to name the single most heroic thing he witnessed in all of World War II. He didn't pause. He said, "Ted Roosevelt on Utah Beach."
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Dan
Dan@robustus·
@SnakeGreener @mert @KevinWSHPod @tushar_jain Yeah, that's fair. The counterarg would be (which you alluded to) that a very successful smart contract platform would likely achieve a form of store of value utility, even if accidentally, so a chunk of gold's mcap is on the table as a reasonable comp.
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MR SHIFT 🦁
MR SHIFT 🦁@KevinWSHPod·
"I think ZEC is a top 5 crypto asset" @tushar_jain reveals he doesn't set price targets for $ZEC - he ranks it "When it comes to something like Zcash, I think about it: where is it on the list? Is it number 20, is it number 15, is it number ten, is it in the top five? I think it's going to go top five" "That also allows you to adjust for the market movement. My price target for Zcash is different if Bitcoin is at 80k versus if Bitcoin is at 200k. Everything is relative to each other" "When it comes to an asset like that, I think about: is it in the top five, is it in the top ten?" @Multicoin
MR SHIFT 🦁@KevinWSHPod

E178: Tushar Jain - Why Multicoin is betting big on Hyperliquid, Zcash and Solana Tushar Jain is Managing Partner at @Multicoin. He's back on the show to talk about where crypto is in the cycle, how he sizes bets across $SOL, $HYPE, and $ZEC, and the frameworks he uses to manage his own psychology. Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 1:31 - Who is Tushar Jain 3:44 - Are we at a crypto turning point? 4:57 - Buying into bad news before confirmation 6:24 - Buying vs. selling: which is harder 7:13 - Still bullish on @solana ? 9:15 - TradFi issuers and credible neutrality 11:47 - Sponsors: @variational_io @Bitwise 12:39 - How to size two competing bullish bets 14:13 - Category leader vs. "better play" 17:00 - Most obvious trade for 2026: $ZEC 19:39 - What @Zcash represents 22:27 - Valuing an asset with no revenue 24:18 - Trading framework vs. buy-and-hold 26:40 - Valuing $SOL and $HYPE 31:45 - Sponsors @KASTxyz @Trezor 32:54 - Timing entries in volatile assets 36:26 - Why @Multicoin doesn't trade, only manages 39:25 - The four sources of investing edge 41:14 - Edge examples: $ZEC, $HYPE, $ENA 43:21 - What Ethena represents 45:37 - How much founder quality matters : @gdog97_ example 47:09 - When to take profits 49:50 - Thoughts on Ethereum and $ETH 51:44 - Kyle leaving Multicoin 53:03 - Sponsors @JupiterExchange @ethena 53:46 - Why Tushar is still in crypto 58:26 - Wrap-up and thanks 1:00:37 - Bonus segment intro - Zcash drama + Hyperliquid report 1:00:39 - What happened with the Zcash bug 1:04:13 - Zcash's fix: the Ironwood pool 1:05:50 - How long it took to decide to buy more 1:08:13 - Multicoin's Hyperliquid report 1:09:55 - Base case: $319 $HYPE price target, key assumptions 1:15:21 - Is the crypto bottom in? 1:18:11 - Closing thanks

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