Michael Wiggins
11.1K posts

Michael Wiggins
@UGATillIDie
#DSGB #TeamHawks #TeamBraves #TeamFalcons #DawgsOnTop #BravesGoonSquad #WeatherNerd #StormChaser
Katılım Aralık 2011
2.1K Takip Edilen635 Takipçiler

@PettusWX Let's just go ahead and do a similar repeat to March 12th, 1993
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Was looking over Euro weekly data and analogs tonight. This upcoming pattern screams some sort of stupid March snow event for someone further south. I’m also intrigued to see if this year will be the return of February greatness for snow lovers in the mid south.
One thing I would like to see us avoid is entering back in the circle of silence MJO wise. This could disrupt long range model accuracy like it did in December through early January where our pattern randomly flipped within the medium range.

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@Military_Nurse9 @tropicalupdate 540 line is the freeze line. Meaning temps would be below freezing for points above it.
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The next big thing brewing to watch is likely this weekend. Strong frontal line dives deep into Florida with the infamous 540 line going low. This shows how cold it is going to be. And why some of the models are teasing some southern snowflakes once again. Then for the east coast. Classic Nor'easter being watched as a developing low over the waters looks to be happening. Mid-Atlantic watching for some snow totals then northward as history always suggests. spaghettimodels.com

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@joshuawx_ Suppressed to far south from the artic high meanwhile the gulf cost gets another snow storm lol.
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This could be a lil more suppressed on deterministic modeling . But do we have a strong +PNA this time around which should ideally prevent any ounce of cutting. And the Arctic air will be in place



Mitch West@SCweather_wx
I wonder how we manage to mess up next weekend? Probably going to cut over the Apps by Wednesday.
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@GrahamCoffeyDC @iamnuffin If you're in Northeast GA that's the area that looks to get hit the hardest with ice. I'd prepare for the possibility of being without power 2 plus days.
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@SCweather_wx we gotta get all the team south members on the 12z GFS to pull this one out lol
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@SCweather_wx Long as the cold air is around the south is in play.
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Michael Wiggins retweetledi

5:20a 1/20: Probabilities continue to increase for winter storm impacts this weekend across Central Alabama.
The forecast is continuing to evolve and take shape, so keep a close eye out for updates as the week progresses. #alwx

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Guys like @NWGAStormDawgwx might end up being big winners if that trend continues.
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Stop looking at that snowflake icon on your phone for this weekend's totals! 🛑❄️
Here is the dirty secret your weather app won't tell you: It has no idea what is actually falling from the sky. Look at this map. That is the European model data for next Sunday throuhg 1pm. It shows Rain, Ice, Snow, and Sleet ALL happening over the Carolinas at the various times; it's not going to be all snow. Why your app fails It sees this chaotic mess, gets confused, and usually defaults to a snowflake if the temp is near 32°. It ignores the complex vertical layers (like a "warm nose" of air aloft) that turn snow into an ice storm or cold rain. That is why my forecast is honest: "Possible Winter Storm" but "Too Early for Specifics." Apps give you a guess based on one number. Humans give you context based on the whole pattern. Ignore the forecast whiplash on your phone. We know a system is coming, but the type of precip is still TBD. Stay tuned!
#cltwx #ncwx #scwx #WeatherAware #wcnc #snOMg #iceOMG

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@SCweather_wx Personally being in NWGA if it doesn't trend south then I hope it trends north. I don't want any part of that freezing rain potential.
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@DixieChasing @SCweather_wx It will depend on the track of the low. With that low pressure track pretty much everything below it would be a cold rain.
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@SCweather_wx So central al looks clear based off temps I’m seeing a cold rain right if temps are 56
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I would say it's hard to ignore AI guidance though... Especially the Euro AI. It wants to plow a LP right through the Mid South. It does have a DEEP Cad in place East of the mountains with a sharp temp gradient but this does put questions in place for areas of the South. Confidence in the Eastern US would SKYROCKET if we can get adjustments from the AI guidance with what the Euro & GFS is showing. There is also that chance the traditional models trend to the AI guidance.




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@TrackerSacker @NWGAStormDawgwx I can verify there was some sprinkles in Dallas Georgia about 20 mins ago.
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