Victor D
357 posts



🚨 $NBIS Nebius owns 25% of ClickHouse. Now here are the top 5 ways Claude/Anthropic’s explosive growth compounds into NBIS value 📈 #1. Direct Balance Sheet Value Accretion via ClickHouse Every new Claude subscriber, every enterprise API call, every Claude Code session generates observability data that flows through ClickHouse. Anthropic’s compute footprint ballooned, and the volume of data needed to monitor, troubleshoot, and fine-tune increasingly complex training and inference workloads grew with it. As Anthropic scales, their ClickHouse usage scales. As ClickHouse revenue grows, Nebius’s 25% stake appreciates. ClickHouse is already one of the fastest-growing database companies globally — Anthropic becoming a flagship customer accelerates their enterprise credibility and ARR, which flows directly into Nebius’s hidden asset value. #2. Anthropic’s GPU Demand Expands the Total Addressable Market for Nebius Claude paid subscriptions have more than doubled this year , and Anthropic is reportedly running at a $2B+ revenue run rate. Every Claude query requires GPU inference compute. Every model training run requires massive GPU clusters. Anthropic doesn’t build its own data centers — they rent from cloud providers. This directly expands the pool of demand that companies like Nebius exist to serve. Even if Anthropic isn’t a direct Nebius customer today, the aggregate GPU demand they create raises utilization rates and pricing power across the entire neocloud ecosystem. #3. Claude Stealing OpenAI Market Share = More Distributed Compute Demand When one company (OpenAI) dominates, compute demand concentrates with their infrastructure partners (Microsoft Azure). But as Claude takes share — and it is, aggressively — it fragments demand across multiple infrastructure providers. Anthropic uses AWS as its primary cloud partner, but also relies on Google Cloud and increasingly needs additional capacity. This fragmentation benefits independent neoclouds like Nebius because enterprises and AI labs diversify their compute sourcing to avoid single-provider dependency. More competitors in the LLM space = more total GPU hours consumed = more demand for Nebius capacity. #4. Claude Code & Agentic AI Drives Inference Compute Explosion Claude Code and Claude Cowork — developer and productivity tools released in January — have been drivers of subscriptions. The Computer Use feature allows Claude to navigate a computer independently. These agentic use cases are massively inference-heavy. A single Claude Code session can generate hundreds of API calls as the agent reasons, writes code, tests, and iterates. This is exactly the type of workload Nebius’s Token Factory is built to serve. As agentic AI goes mainstream (the market Nebius explicitly targeted with the Tavily acquisition), every Claude Code session validates the thesis that inference compute demand will dwarf training compute — and Nebius is positioning its entire platform around this transition. #5. Anthropic’s Growth Validates the Entire AI Infrastructure Thesis NBIS trades on the narrative that AI infrastructure spending is durable, not a bubble. Every time Claude’s subscriber count jumps, every time Anthropic raises another round at a higher valuation, it reinforces the demand signal that justifies Nebius’s $16-20B CapEx program. If AI model providers are growing this fast, the infrastructure providers underneath them must be built out proportionally. Anthropic reaching $2B+ revenue run rate while still GPU-constrained proves that the AI compute supply gap is real and widening — the exact thesis that underpins NBIS’s $46B backlog. You’re essentially getting exposure to Anthropic’s growth trajectory through two vectors — the ClickHouse equity stake (direct) and the AI infrastructure demand expansion (indirect) — without paying Anthropic’s $60B+ private valuation. That’s asymmetric exposure, and it’s largely unpriced by the market today 🟢





Friday’s FY27 defense budget request from Donald Trump shows a step function change in defense spending. $1.5T total spend with an “unprecedented” focus on unmanned, CUAS, and long-range strike, including ~$63B for autonomous systems which is a 6-fold increase vs. FY26 (see Needham). The unmanned Supercycle has clearly launched. 👊🏽






F15E SHOOTDOWN AND CSAR OPERATION — FULL VERIFIED BREAKDOWN APRIL 3 — THE SHOOTDOWN F15E from the 494th Fighter Squadron out of RAF Lakenheath is hit over southwestern Iran. Crash site confirmed in Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad Province near Dehdasht. Wreckage includes ACES II ejection seat and tail section matching the squadron. Cause Iran claims it used a new IRGC air defense system. Exact weapon system remains unconfirmed. HOUR 0 Both crew eject. Pilot activates survival radio and PRD immediately. Contact established with U.S. aircraft overhead. Pilot recovered within hours. WSO lands separately in mountainous terrain. WSO beacon briefly detected by satellites, then goes silent. Reason unknown. HOURS 1 TO 12 WSO begins evasion using SERE training. Maintains intermittent encrypted communication with U.S. forces. IRGC launches large scale search operation. Iranian state TV urges civilians to report or capture the pilot. Rewards up to $60,000 reported. Public messaging includes calls to shoot on sight. HOURS 12 TO 24 WSO moves into high elevation terrain. Climbs to around 7,000 feet. U.S. ISR tracks Iranian movement continuously. MQ9 Reaper drones strike Iranian personnel approaching within roughly 3 km. U.S. aircraft strike IRGC forces moving toward the area. HOURS 24 TO 36 A10 INCIDENT A10 supporting the mission is hit. Pilot exits Iranian airspace, ejects over Kuwait, recovered safely. CSAR AIR OPERATIONS HC130 conducts aerial refueling missions. Black Hawk helicopters take fire during rescue operations. Aircraft return safely with some injuries onboard. CIA DECEPTION OPERATION CIA launches deception campaign inside Iran. False reports spread that the WSO had already been recovered. CIA locates the WSO and passes coordinates to U.S. leadership. President Trump authorizes immediate rescue. HOURS 36 TO 48 — FINAL EXTRACTION Large scale nighttime rescue launched. U.S. special operations forces inserted. WSO located and recovered alive after sustained evasion. EXFIL COMPLICATIONS MC130 aircraft land at remote airstrip inside Iran. At least 2 aircraft become disabled on the ground. Decision made to destroy them. Aircraft blown to prevent capture of sensitive equipment. U.S. assessment Aircraft were self destroyed, not shot down. Reports indicate a light helicopter was also lost at the site. Replacement aircraft deployed. All personnel extracted successfully. Israel pauses airstrikes during the rescue. TRUMP STATEMENT President Trump confirms success. No U.S. personnel killed. Dozens of aircraft involved. FINAL OUTCOME 2 crew from the F15E rescued 1 A10 pilot rescued 3 U.S. airmen All alive No captures Mission completed deep inside Iran under hostile conditions.



BREAKING: President Trump says Iran has 48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz or "all hell will reign down on Iran." "Remember when I gave Iran ten days to make a deal... time is running out," Trump says.











