woke wenger

4.3K posts

woke wenger

woke wenger

@WengerWoke

Katılım Ekim 2022
865 Takip Edilen235 Takipçiler
woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@sarahleah1 I think it's too premature to claim this yet. Hamas is still the most popular movement in Palestine plurality wise, and it hasn't fully disarmed. I suspect it still be a major political movement for years to come. Even Taliban was dismissed as a movement of the past in 2001.
woke wenger tweet media
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Sarah Leah Whitson
Sarah Leah Whitson@sarahleah1·
Good analysis of Hamas' near total destruction and the useful fiction of its persistent menace: "The rest of the world, then, needs to stop being complicit in the fiction that Hamas is still a menace. U.S. and European governments must begin asking Israel to account for the gap between the threat it describes and the reality on the ground." foreignaffairs.com/palestinian-te… via @ForeignAffairs
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@Richboxingbets @owenjonesjourno Yeah, but that's pretty much true on any foreign policy topic in any country. Half of Brits probably don't know where Iraq is when it got invaded. But pro-Palestine do have more people that care than pro-Israel do, just that latter has more sympathisers in area that shape policy.
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@RashmanTheHorse This poll is stupid and leading. It only gives binaries, and the binary is just Israel/Hamas. So either you get a lot of people avoiding the answer, or some may say Israel to be on tbe safe side on not being called a terrorist sympathiser.
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@Richboxingbets @owenjonesjourno It's more of a vague "I'm against innocents getting killed" vibe. Nothing wrong with it, and for movements to succeed, you probably can do with just 10-20% 'truly care'. Only issue is, their protest slogans like "river to the sea" is stupid. Just go with "stop killing children".
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Boxing Bet Guru
Boxing Bet Guru@Richboxingbets·
@owenjonesjourno Polling has shown pretty consistently that around 30-40% of Brits show notable engagement or take a clear side. But 10-20% 'truly care' (deep, sustained personal investment). Outside of the far left and Muslim population it really is a fringe topic.
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@DThucydides Iran's hand are extremely weak unless they build nuclear weapons, or if US decides enough and pivot to East Asia, leading to sanction relief for Iran. Iran's only hand is to wreck the global economy to try and get the war to end, to make it politically unfeasible for the US.
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@DThucydides Your brain is fried by anti-Iranian propaganda dude, this is becoming delusional. It's like India attacking Pakistan, and Baloch seperatist supporting the attacks. Now imagine if Western Media portrayed the Baloch seperaist as representing Pakistanis.
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@DThucydides Wtf, literally apart from Monarchist, no Iranians support these wars. 20-30 million Iranians came out for Khamenei's funeral, excluding those that can't make it due to being elderly and working in emergency services. Queen Elizabeth's funeral only had 1 million Brits.
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@amir_harati @matthew_petti Yeah, that pipeline that is being build in from the Gulf, into Iraq-Syria-Turkey seems quite easy to sabotage. Gulf/Iraq still prefers Hormuz, but if cut off, those pipeline will be pumping less oil, and they won't be to Asia where most of the customers are.
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Amir Harati
Amir Harati@amir_harati·
I guess few things matter: 1- circumstances (during war or during ceasefire, attacking pipelines during war is not worse than attacking ships but during peace sure it is ) 2- where pipelines go (red sea maybe iran can effectively close the red sea? Mediterranean? perhaps harder yet might be easier to hit them in Syria?) 3- overall layout of pipelines ( few large ones creating single point of failure)
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Dr Andreas Krieg
Dr Andreas Krieg@andreas_krieg·
@HamidRezaAz I do have a teeny tiny bit of faith into US military planers not being completely bonkers.
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Dr Andreas Krieg
Dr Andreas Krieg@andreas_krieg·
This is highly unlikely. Even a limited island operation would be a massive risk with no decisive solution to unlocking the Strait. It would require 10,000+ troops for airborne and amphibious landing Seizing ground under immense fire is possible but holding and sustaining a force is extremely difficult without seizing the mainland belt Seizing and holding enough territory to deny the IRGC access to the Strait, would be a bigger op than Iraq 2003 in excess of 500k boots on the ground that would be pulled into a protracted insurgency The escalation of the IRGC against the Gulf would be severe with no red lines, Houthis would shut the Bab el Mandab, The cost would be exorbitant for a limited sustainable benefit - there is no constituency in the US or Iran for this - let alone in the Gulf
Hamidreza Azizi@HamidRezaAz

Is the United States Preparing for a Ground Invasion of #Iran? 🔹The escalating pattern of U.S. strikes against southern Iran in recent days – particularly over the past several hours – may point to a gradual strategy aimed at preparing the ground for a potential deployment of ground forces. Such an operation, if it were to materialize, could be intended to seize control of Iran’s southern coastal belt in order to remove Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz. 🔹Reports indicate that recent U.S. strikes have targeted several bridges and railway links in southern Iran. At the same time, there have been reports of attacks on airports. These actions may have been intended to disrupt the logistics and mobility of Iranian military forces in the south. Additional reports also suggest strikes against fuel tankers in Bandar Abbas. 🔹Meanwhile, attacks in Sistan and Baluchestan in southeastern Iran targeted the Iranian Army’s 88th Armored Division, alongside similar strikes against positions of the 92nd Armored Division in Khuzestan in the southwest. Some analysts interpret these operations as an effort to degrade Iran’s military capabilities along its principal southern axes, aimed at reducing the risks associated with any future ground deployment. 🔹At the same time, in what appears to be a recurring pattern, U.S. strikes have continued to target Iranian military, missile, drone, and radar installations, as well as IRGC Navy facilities along Iran’s southern coastline on the Persian Gulf. 🔹Taken together, these developments increasingly suggest a gradual but persistent U.S. movement toward a possible ground operation in southern Iran. In other words, the campaign may extend beyond simply degrading Iran’s ability to threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. It could instead indicate that Washington views control of Iran’s southern coastal strip as the only definitive solution to the Strait of Hormuz challenge. 🔹If such an approach exists, it would go well beyond earlier ideas centered on seizing Kharg Island to cut off Iran’s oil exports or occupying islands overlooking the Strait to secure maritime traffic. However, given the length of Iran’s southern coastline – roughly 1,800 kilometers – and the country’s considerable strategic depth, establishing comprehensive control would likely require hundreds of thousands of troops. Moreover, even capturing these areas would not necessarily translate into the ability to sustain long-term control. 🔹In any event, current indicators suggest that we may be approaching the most significant escalation in the U.S.-Iran confrontation since February, driven by Washington’s failure to achieve its strategic objectives. On the other hand, as noted previously, Iran’s actions thus far have also failed to present a meaningful obstacle to this gradual trajectory. One alternative for Tehran could be to shift toward targeting regional economic infrastructure – a move that would significantly broaden the scope of the conflict and lead to a region-wide catastrophe.

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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@Aladdin1OO1 @Hussssayn @websterkaroon Literally, in the UK, when median White guy comes across a monarchist, they become confused. Monarchist literally go to Tommy Robinson rallies, a guy who is far-right and is seen as very extreme and islamophobic by British standards.
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Alireza Talakoubnejad
Alireza Talakoubnejad@websterkaroon·
No, - Being against the US/Israeli war of aggression does NOT mean you support the Islamic Republic - Pointing out the Iranian government has a long history of overplaying their hand and losing existing leverage is NOT advocating for surrender
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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@BattlestationX @LongshotIbrahim It's why Muslim cultures with non-tribal origins like Turkey, Indonesia, Malaysia have more gender egalitarianism, compared to Pakistan/Iran. Westerners also missed the much lower benchmark, and Muslim cultures went through rapid 50 years of change in women empowerment
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Ibrahim Abdul-Rauf
Ibrahim Abdul-Rauf@LongshotIbrahim·
Women's education in Iran is impressive and highly prioritized, which is one reason specifically feminist critiques always fall flat. Actually Iran's oft-rival Saudia is pretty decent in this regard too, Saudi women do get good education (both before and since the driving thing)
Rayhaan@RaysTweetsss

Iranian woman making 5 kilo watt solar invertors but i wont consider them empowered until they make onlyfans to show their bodies for 3 Irani rials.. go naked in parades and have body count of 23 before they turn 18.

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woke wenger
woke wenger@WengerWoke·
@websterkaroon But you also get some pro-IRI types too, and neutrals like socialist/liberals. So a bit more division compared to LA, I imagine.
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Alireza Talakoubnejad
Alireza Talakoubnejad@websterkaroon·
The stereotype I always hear is that the craziest Iranians are in LA, but honestly all the truly insane things I see are Canada. LA just seems to be a microcosm of all the different types of Iranians (admittingly with a different ratio than other places). But Canada is wild.
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