WW🌎🕊️

Grok prediction on achieving the Singularity. My own prediction, based on everything I know as of November 2025 (current scaling laws, hardware trends, algorithmic progress, energy constraints, and the observed rate of surprises since 2022): • Artificial General Intelligence (human-level or better across virtually all domains, including novel scientific research): 2028–2031, with ~2030 as my median. • Technological Singularity (the point where technological change becomes effectively uncontrollable and irreversible because superintelligence is recursively self-improving faster than humans can follow): 2031–2035, with ~2033 as my single most likely year. Why I’m more aggressive than the average researcher survey but less extreme than some CEOs • Scaling hypothesis is still working remarkably well. Another 2–4 orders of magnitude of effective compute (very plausible by 2028–2030 with next-gen clusters, algorithmic efficiencies, and synthetic data) gets us far beyond today’s frontier models. • We are already seeing early signs of open-ended generation, long-horizon planning, and weak self-improvement in 2024–2025 models. The gap to strong AGI feels like 3–6 more “GPT-style leaps,” not 20. • Once the first true AGI system exists and can be put to work on AI research itself (even imperfectly at first), the feedback loop will be ferocious. Historical analogies (e.g., AlphaFold → massive biology acceleration) suggest the doubling time of AI R&D productivity could drop from years to months or weeks. • Bottlenecks (energy, chip supply chains, data) are serious but solvable on a 5–8 year horizon with wartime-level mobilization, which I expect to happen once capabilities become undeniable (~2027–2028). Probability distribution (my subjective credence) • Before 2028: ~10 % • 2028–2031: ~45 % • 2032–2035: ~30 % • 2036–2050: ~10 % • After 2050 or never: ~5 % So to give you the crisp answer you asked for: I expect the technological singularity — the real deal, not a marketing version — around 2033, give or take two years.

@stepfanie Envy and stupidity

If an alien civilization ever shows up, the thing they will be most confused about is why Elon is not universally revered for moving humanity forward. He has and will do so much. MASS DRIVERS ON THE MOON. SUSTAINABLE ABUNDANCE. I will never understand the hate. I literally cannot fathom it. Can anyone actually explain why people hate him other than RiCh mAN bAd?

@FreightBrkrGuy @SecDuffy If you think you are clever you are not.

@WhiteWi13 @SecDuffy Best of luck out there kid. Bless your heart!

The days of a “Wild West” trucking industry are OVER because of the Trump administration’s crackdown. You can no longer drive a big rig in America if you can’t read our road signs or communicate with law enforcement 🚛 American families come FIRST🇺🇸

@james_xond I already did and I don't have millions

Be honest for a second: would you quit your job tomorrow if you won $2M in the lottery today?

@Teslaconomics Anti monopoly laws head ache

So… I have to ask, why hasn’t Tesla and SpaceX merged yet? All of the signs are there…

@DirtyTesLa I think they are sandbagging on purpose. Waiting for legislation to catch up

Man Tesla just keeps pushing these minor fixes over and over... Wonder what's going on

@Smith_WessonInc No

9MM J-Frame. Yes or no?

@KevinPWoram @ChaseForLiberty Are you dumb?

@ChaseForLiberty What would you replace it with?

Abolish the TSA

@BlakeSNeff Insane or not he should be put to sleep.

A drug-addicted parasite stole a gun, walked up to a random pregnant woman in Seattle, and murdered her. Instead of just executing him, the state wasted three years “evaluating” him before reaching a plea deal acquitting him for “insanity,” so now millions of dollars can be spent “rehabilitating” him so that later left-wing activists can work for his release in the hopes he will get to do more drugs and kill somebody again.

@BasedMikeLee If this happens I will strongly consider selling everything and moving to a different country.

Pass the SAVE America Act Bad things could happen if we don’t Horrible things like this👇

@FreightBrkrGuy @SecDuffy You too, old school

@WilliamShatner Fuck, you look great! Rock on, dude!

At 95, I'm still smokin'! 😝 I’ve learned two things: Never waste a good cigar. Never trust anyone who says you should ‘act your age.’ 😉👍🏻

@FreightBrkrGuy @SecDuffy Lol sure bud

@WhiteWi13 @SecDuffy You’re not allowed to say something like that after asking how “intentional trucking” is done anywhere.

@learning_yohei US version for the win

As a Japanese person learning English, which one should I write?😵‍💫

@FreightBrkrGuy @SecDuffy Don't be simpleton

@WhiteWi13 @SecDuffy Who gives a shit

@SecDuffy International*

@SecDuffy I wonder how intentional trucking is done in the EU. Bunch of different languages and road signs.

@techAU Lol very practical for what? Fucking clown

The Tesla Model Y L boot/trunk lid opens a great angle. Very practical.. great design.

@EricLDaugh He knows Democrats will not vote for those. All empty bs show.

🚨 BREAKING: Leader John Thune reveals the Senate is about to VOTE on adding the following Trump-backed policies to the SAVE America Act 1. No transgender mutilations for kids 2. No men in women's sports 3. Mass mail-in ballot restrictions It needs 60 votes. IT'S COMMON SENSE.

@Ford_Nick Not over cooked one like yours

Name one thing better than a ribeye..

@BuenoForMiami Like they have always done it before 9/11.

I have this radical idea: How about we let airlines handle their own security? They have the strongest incentives to screen out bad passengers while making the process smooth and seamless. A third party like the government has no such incentives - and it shows. TSA is a resounding failure on all accounts.