Дримсон
78 posts

Дримсон retweetledi

一个很野的 Polymarket 账户出现了
一名在日本的中国学生,据说只玩了 Polymarket 2 天
把 $0.90 做到了 $408,292
几乎没人讨论
0 viewers
他的 profile 叫 Gravia
他说这是他的 terminal
有人反向拆解后,用 Claude 按同样策略做了一个类似 bot
一个 prompt
20 分钟
完成
它做的不是普通交易
而是 Polymarket BTC UP/DOWN 5MIN scalper
核心流程是:
实时拉 Binance WebSocket + 5M K-lines
交叉验证 TradingView signals + CryptoQuant exchange flows
用 Mirofish force-graph engine 映射 100 nodes / 180 edges
检测 BEAR / BULL clusters 的 convergence
捕捉 Polymarket CLOB 相对现货价格滞后超过 0.3% 的窗口
在合约重新定价前,低于 100ms 执行
在 UP/DOWN 5MIN 市场里,每秒 1000+ orders
每笔抓 0.3%–0.8%
没有 edge,就跳过
流动性太薄,跳过
信号冲突,跳过
触发 daily cap,也跳过
风控也写得很清楚:
单笔风险 0.5%
每日上限 2%
-0.4% hard stop
本地 terminal 运行
不依赖 cloud
不需要 GPU
这类 bot 的 edge,不是真的在“预测 BTC”
而是在吃现货价格、信号收敛、CLOB 重新定价之间的时间差
它赚的不是方向判断
是延迟
问题是:
这种 5MIN 高频 scalper,最后到底能放大到什么规模?
以及 Polymarket 会不会禁掉它?
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