Zachary Hayes
22.6K posts
@ZHayes2026
Associate, AxAdvocacy/Axiom Strategies | Clark County GOP Trustee | Fmr. Campaign Manager, John Kovacs for Congress | Pepperdine School of Public Policy
California turnout comparing 12-days out in 2022 to yesterday's returns shows a crazy breakdown with Democrats, especially older Democrats holding on to their ballots, and Republican seniors making a big jump in early returns.
“Calling people names, saying outrageous things [where] everything’s a conspiracy — he’s modeling himself after Trump, and I don’t think that works in the city of L.A.,” said Democratic political strategist Garry South. latimes.com/california/sto…
ECONOMIST: Dems’ chances of flipping the Senate just hit a new high of 54% 🟦 Democrats — 51 🟥 Republicans — 49 —— 🔵 Very Likely Dem • North Carolina (FLIP) • Maine (FLIP) • New Hampshire • Minnesota —— 🟡 Toss-ups • Texas • Ohio • Iowa —— 🔴 Likely Republican • Alaska • Florida • Nebraska
GOP senators fuming at Trump over Paxton endorsement: “Texas is all but lost to Dems now” — Punchbowl reporter
Both Democrats are overwhelming favorites to defeat their incumbent Republican opponents in the Georgia Supreme Court elections on Tuesday. An incumbent justice on the Georgia Supreme Court has not lost reelection since 1922. Will history be made twice in the same night? (Odds courtesy of @Kalshi)
For once, Kalshi probably has it right (I wouldn't buy above, say, 55% though).
Bethel with a 100K lead now, slimmed down a little. 70% of the vote in, the question will be can he keep that lead?
BREAKING: James Talarico (D) is now favored to win the Texas Senate election
John Fetterman National Favorability Favorable: 29% Unfavorable: 28% —— Net Favs 🟢 Republicans: +33 🟤 Democrats: -30 @EchelonInsights (A) | 5/14-18 | LV
Rep. Thomas Massie ousted in Kentucky by Trump-backed Ed Gallrein: 'A true American Patriot' trib.al/Ix4YKKP
For once, we agree with Spencer. Vote for the policy. Nithya is the only candidate with realistic plans to make Los Angeles more affordable, rebuild our infrastructure, house the homeless, help small businesses, and bring back Hollywood jobs.
BREAKING: James Talarico (D) is now favored to win the Texas Senate election
