
owl_rock
34 posts







すごい。この分だと数年後にはライン作業もほぼロボットに任せられそう。 物流業界では、仕分けはロボット、配送は自動運転という未来もそう遠くないかも。










Worth the wait to check out the sightlines of this yacht ⛴️ $FIGR +4% after hours to $40+ Revenue: $167M vs. $159.5M est (beat) Adj. EBITDA: $82.7M vs. $80.2M est (beat) EPS: $0.18 vs. $0.23 cons (miss) Details --> --- >Net take-rate flat sequentially at 3.8% (+20bps y/y) despite two growing products that generate less revenue per dollar of volume (Figure Connect and first-lien) both taking more share. >Figure Connect hit 56% of marketplace volume (vs. 54% last quarter); first-lien reached 20% of production. (Figure Connect is the exchange business: third-party lenders originate, Figure runs the marketplace and clips a fee. No balance sheet. Take-rate holding through that mix shift is consistent with an emerging moat. ~80% contribution margins. Lower revenue per loan, almost pure profit at scale. Very high multiple business.) --- Speaking of partners: 387 active (+26% q/q). Notable adds include Flagstar Bank (top 35 US bank by assets, launching Q2) and the country's 6th largest mortgage lender. Banks are onboarding. Network effects are not theoretical anymore. --- For the first time, $FIGR provides quarterly guidance: >Q2 Consumer Loan Marketplace Volume: $3.8B–$4.1B vs. Q1 actual: $2.9B >Implied 31–41% sequential growth >April prelim printed $1.34B, tracking toward the guidance. >The fact they're guiding at all = High-multiple statement. The business is predictable enough to commit to. --- The EPS miss: SBC at $25.9M vs. their own $21M guidance "over the next few quarters" from the Q4 call. To be fair, it's gliding down from ~$40M in Q4, but maybe slower than guided. Not a business miss, but annoying given it's the same issue as last quarter. Cagney has said it's mostly his shares, so he should just tweet out the number so we don't have to deal with the "miss". Call tomorrow 8:30am ET


















