Peter Ryan
95K posts

Peter Ryan
@_PeterRyan
Research on economics, history, and tech @Ryan_Research | Special focus on Ireland

When I wrote the "the Collison brothers almost seem like a millennial reimagining of the Koch brothers", I leveraged implicit connections / ideological similarities. Then explicitly, Patrick was the keynote at Cato's Milton Friedman Prize Dinner where Charles Koch was awarded.

When I wrote the "the Collison brothers almost seem like a millennial reimagining of the Koch brothers", I leveraged implicit connections / ideological similarities. Then explicitly, Patrick was the keynote at Cato's Milton Friedman Prize Dinner where Charles Koch was awarded.


Ireland’s economic model needs urgent reform to sustain high standards of living for future generations, according to research commissioned by Stripe founders, John and Patrick Collison businesspost.ie/companies/coll…









Government is very conscious of the impact volatile energy prices are having. It is a very serious situation. Our immediate priority is to try and alleviate pressures on people, on families, and doing so in a way that protects the economy and avoids adding to inflation.



ESSAY: 1/ Carney Is What Trump Should Have Been: The Carney Doctrine vs. The Donroe Doctrine Carney just took Davos by storm by challenging Trump. Carney and Trump appear to be polar opposites. But, upon closer inspection, Carney and Trump share much in common.


ESSAY: 1/ Carney Is What Trump Should Have Been: The Carney Doctrine vs. The Donroe Doctrine Carney just took Davos by storm by challenging Trump. Carney and Trump appear to be polar opposites. But, upon closer inspection, Carney and Trump share much in common.





JUST DROPPED: Anthropic's research proves AI coding tools are secretly making developers worse. "AI use impairs conceptual understanding, code reading, and debugging without delivering significant efficiency gains." -- That's the paper's actual conclusion. 17% score drop learning new libraries with AI. Sub-40% scores when AI wrote everything. 0 measurable speed improvement. → Prompting replaces thinking, not just typing → Comprehension gaps compound — you ship code you can't debug → The productivity illusion hides until something breaks in prod Here's why this changes everything: Speed metrics look fine on a dashboard. Understanding gaps don't show up until a critical failur and when they do the whole team is lost. Forcing AI adoption for "10x output" is a slow-burning technical debt nobody is measuring. Full paper: arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

JUST DROPPED: Anthropic's research proves AI coding tools are secretly making developers worse. "AI use impairs conceptual understanding, code reading, and debugging without delivering significant efficiency gains." -- That's the paper's actual conclusion. 17% score drop learning new libraries with AI. Sub-40% scores when AI wrote everything. 0 measurable speed improvement. → Prompting replaces thinking, not just typing → Comprehension gaps compound — you ship code you can't debug → The productivity illusion hides until something breaks in prod Here's why this changes everything: Speed metrics look fine on a dashboard. Understanding gaps don't show up until a critical failur and when they do the whole team is lost. Forcing AI adoption for "10x output" is a slow-burning technical debt nobody is measuring. Full paper: arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

3/ In this essay, I will challenge that premise. Empires are not economically logical from the perspective of all citizens and the government of the country at the imperial core. Using historical data, it will be shown that empires result in over-taxing, over-spending, mediocre profits, heightened risk, and a hinderance to economic development and social progress. In the long-run, an empire acts as an institution that obviously siphons resources and wealth from colonized territories but less obviously siphons resources and wealth from the country at the imperial core as well. This siphoning disproportionately benefits a small group of elites. This imperial oligarchy favors imperial parasitism over domestic productiveness in the face of economically unsound evidence because it can socialize the costs of empire through the imperial core country and privatize the profits of empire. Imperial territories also offer the imperial oligarchy a way to circumvent domestic and populist social progress in the forms of trade unionism and the welfare state in the imperial core country. Thus, imperial jingoism that seeks to frame an empire as inherently populist are proven fraudulent. Imperialism is the antithesis of populism. Imperial jingoism tricks the citizens of the imperial core country into paying the bills of the oligarchy for nothing in return. ryanresearch.substack.com/p/economics-of…

American oil companies like Exxon and ConocoPhillips funded this project and are massively exposed to it

