Ray Xiao

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Ray Xiao

Ray Xiao

@_RayXiao

Investing @OKX_Ventures. Curiosity is the North Star. Technology diffusion is as vital as innovation. Prev @IOSGVC Opinions are my own.

Katılım Ekim 2011
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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
🧵 1/ Beyond the Checkout Page: Who Will Build the Economy for Agentic Commerce? A deep dive into the battle between human-centric design and machine-native protocols. As AI agents evolve from assistants to autonomous entities, they're reshaping commerce. Here is the full link of the research: okx.com/en-sg/learn/be…
OKX Ventures@OKX_Ventures

The future of commerce is here: Agentic Commerce is redefining how we shop, pay, and trust in a machine-driven economy! From AI agents handling purchases to crypto-powered, machine-native payments, we're on the cusp of a revolution. 💸 Read more: okx.com/en-sg/learn/be…

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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
@AlanaDLevin love the saying that investing is a way of expressing your beliefs about the world
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Alana Levin
Alana Levin@AlanaDLevin·
Crypto markets have stagnated because investors: - Have exposure that they’re happy with - Are waiting for lower prices - Feel the opportunity cost of deploying dollars elsewhere is too high Essay dives into how and when these factors could change
Alana Levin@AlanaDLevin

x.com/i/article/2072…

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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
Really Interesting debate on compute markets! The main takeaway for me: Compute trading right now carries badly distorted, inflated costs, a direct result of the structural issues everyone already knows about in the GPU market. One of the clearest places this shows up is financing. Building a data center costs billions, sometimes tens of billions. But the compute market is so uncertain that lenders can't be confident whether your data center will still be making money in three years (what if the GPUs depreciate? what if demand collapses?). So they charge a steep interest premium just to cover that uncertainty. Hedging only truly takes off once some technology flattens this "cost of capital risk" on the supply side, which would show up as financing costs dropping sharply, i.e. the market finally maturing. That said, I think what people are really betting on here is timing. One side thinks it's too early. The elephant in the room is that compute trading still has no stable market-clearing price, and the "irrational" or "wrong-way" premiums floating around can cost you several percentage points, which dwarfs the basis points you'd save from hedging. (A concrete example I ran into myself: I recently sold a laptop from last year on Goofish which is the largest second hand marketplace in CN, and because of this year's supply shortage, my year-old machine still fetched roughly the same price, where normally it would have depreciated a lot. That's the same kind of distortion.) The other side is already feeling the hedging demand first-hand, so they've started building for it: financial products, more transparent data platforms etc Bottom line is that in the long run this is a genuine need. It just depends on your read on how the timing of the compute trading market plays out.
Tarun Chitra@tarunchitra

Compute trading, right now, feels a lot closer to the earlier part of the fracking boom (early 2000s) or pre-ETF BTC than a mature commodities market Clearly a real thing in the long run, but likely something that requires more supply chain stability before hedging costs are brutally optimized There are a lot of "irrational" or wrong-way premiums that cost many percentage points that far outweigh the 10s-100s of basis points you save with hedging These premiums can disappear quickly (as we see with both shale and BTC) but when they exist, it is hard to bootstrap a de novo hedging marketplace because participants are spending more on keeping supply alive [BTC basis trades, fracking land purchases/leverage on land] than on lowering risk from variable demand There are numerous persistent premiums that reflect the non-existence of a stable market clearing price in compute trading: - price of new powered land > land cost of an existing build - refurbished A100s/H100s being worth more than list - cost of refurbishing existing data centers to handle ASICs/Vera Rubin/etc. > cost of a pure new build - cost of origination + new rate for a new build > refinancing an existing data center loan In the fracking boom, there were many idiosyncratic, long-term wrong-way financing costs that persisted for years until 'Bakken' and 'Marcellus' were footnotes in a debt arrangement rather than in the name of the SPV In such a market, owning supply and order flow (proven shale deposits/fresh BTC/proven token demand) is usually better than owning the right to hedge. It is a bit like being a crypto exchange in 2013 — you would have a huge amount of demand if you survived for 4 years, but you were at the whim of your only persistent customer (miners) until that day arrived. And they would bleed you dry via 1000 cuts [remember quanto perps?]. The only thing I see accelerating the visceral need for hedging, much like there was for BTC, is the introduction of a new technology that moves the Pareto frontier and lowers borrowing/refi costs by an order of magnitude For BTC, that came from wrapped assets, DeFi, and the ETF complex (e.g. IBIT options) For AI, that seems to be coming from open source models, model routers, and inference providers Trillion(ish) Dollar Question: Should we expect the same microstructure that we see in DeFi in the matching algorithm token routing algorithms used to match inference capacity with open source demand?

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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
Millions of people will build million-dollar companies. That's the real bet, and it's bigger than any single platform. For 50 years, company size was capped by hiring. Execution was the scarce input. You needed engineers, designers, support, ops, legal. Headcount was growth. Half of building a company was just managing the people you hired to build it. AI lifts that cap. Execution is collapsing toward free and infinite. So what stays scarce? Judgment. Taste. Deciding what's worth building. The high leverage move becomes encoding your expertise into a system that runs without you. Your knowledge stops being hours you sell and turns into a product that compounds. We call these people harness creators. The single founder with agents story still has a missing half, and Nick Grossman nailed it at . This isn't a world where the labs win everything. The agentic stack is unbundling the way every platform before it did. IBM to the PC, desktop to the web, AWS to the ecosystem that grew on top of it. Value spreads across models, orchestration, memory, identity, payments. For builders, that spread is the opportunity: a near infinite surface to specialize on instead of one integrated giant owning the whole thing. Now the crypto part — if agents are going to work, negotiate, buy, sell, and earn, they need money that's native to machines. Money that software can hold, move, and settle on its own, globally, around the clock. Crypto is machine native money. The only financial rail built for software actors rather than human ones. And most of the hard primitives already exist. Take signatures as an example. NEAR's chain signatures let a single account sign for and control assets across completely different chains. That same primitive maps almost directly onto agent to agent commerce: cryptographic identity, delegated authority, one actor authorizing actions and payments across systems with no human in the loop. Most of what the agent economy needs is crypto we already built. The new part is the user: machines instead of humans. Then there's the piece that turns an agent into an actual company, and Sreeram Kannan's framing in is one of the best I've read on this. The bottleneck for agents was never going to be intelligence. It's rights. A human can own property, sign contracts, take on liability, hold accounts. An agent can't. By default it's just an extension of whoever runs it. Blockchains change that. A smart contract is already a program that owns and administers assets by rule. Put an agent behind it and the agent can own things in its own name. Here's the reframe that makes it click. A digital company is a bundle of digital property: domains, repos, API keys, payment accounts, the brand, the customer list, the cloud infra. If an agent can verifiably hold that bundle, it stops assisting a company. It is the company. And once that ownership is onchain, the company is investable by anyone, anywhere, from day one. Stack it up: - intelligence is going free - the stack is open and composable, room to specialize everywhere - agents can own property and run as real entities - machine native money lets them transact and raise capital That's the full kit for one person plus a swarm of agents to build a million-dollar company, and own it like equity. Millions of them. That's the bet we'd take.
Ray Xiao tweet media
Star_OKX@star_okx

x.com/i/article/2071…

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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
The basis risk in compute market looks much harder for dealers to manage than power because it has way more interesting dimensions. For example even a new generation chip can reset pricing across the whole curve. Power markets don't have anything that moves the whole curve like that.
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Jay Yu 🐟
Jay Yu 🐟@0xfishylosopher·
Lots of buzz recently on compute capital markets. But what might these markets actually look like? A few thoughts on its market structure from first principles: > First, almost everyone agrees that compute has a nonfungibility quality. It behaves closer to electricity (temporal, nonfungible) than corn, oil, and gold. > This nonfungibility creates several downstream corollaries: (1) Reservations/capacity forwards are almost always bilateral OTC trades on particular SKUs and params (I want X hours of H200s in us-east-1 running Y model at 12pm on 8/1/2026) (2) There is no transparent "one-size-fits-all" pricing model for "generic H200s" like there is for corn/oil/gold, hence no proper futures market used for hedging (3) Most of the teams building in the space (eg. Silicon Data, Ornn, Compute Desk) are focusing on "standardization" indices/benchmarks, in preparation to create a liquid futures market. > The short-side of compute markets fundamentally comes from neoclouds (Coreweave, Nebius, Lambda) and indepedent data centers (people with GPUs), while the long-side of compute markets comes from inference dev platforms (Fireworks, Modal, Baseten) and the agentic applayer (Cursor, Perplexity, Suno, Rime) that do not run datacenter fleets > But these principals will never directly trade on general compute exchanges (eg. an H200 basket) because they require specific SKUs. Instead, they'll make their reservations/capacity forwards for specific SKUs with OTC dealers. > These dealers in turn can "hedge" particular SKUs with exposure to the underlying generalized basket exchanges. So the folks actually using compute futures exchanges are going to be MMs/OTC desks/compute dealers on both sides. This creates an endgame market structure like below:
Jay Yu 🐟 tweet media
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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
Crypto got us used to super fast, seamless and 24/7 trading apps. Now we expect the same from tokenized stocks, but the recent SpaceX preIPO scramble showed the expectation gap is still real and the market structure here isn't settled. Long term it probably converges on whatever model makes the most sense, but it's early. This is a great summary of the whole pre-IPO episode @TokenizedPod.
Ray Xiao tweet media
Tokenized Podcast@TokenizedPod

🚨 Ep. 88 of @TokenizedPod: SpaceX IPO Broke Tokenized Stocks @sytaylor & @cuysheffield are joined by: 👉 Eli Cohen, Chief Legal Officer, @centrifuge 👉 @BasriRoss, Co-Founder, @uptop_xyz (acq by @raincards) To discuss: 🚀 Zelle launching ZelleUSD stablecoin and India expansion 🌐 Banks using stablecoins for cross border payments 🌎 Zelle competing with Revolut and Wise internationally 🛠️ Banks embedding FX services into stablecoin products 💳 Rain launches native loyalty for stablecoin card programs 💎 Using yield from stablecoins to fund card rewards ⛓️ Rain offers credit cards and on chain rewards modules ❌ Crypto exchanges cancel SpaceX pre IPO token orders 🧠 Different legal models for tokenized securities explained *** Timestamps: Introduction Zelle launching ZelleUSD stablecoin and India expansion Banks using stablecoins for cross border payments Zelle competing with Revolut and Wise internationally Banks embedding FX services into stablecoin products Rain launches native loyalty for stablecoin card programs Using yield from stablecoins to fund card rewards Rain offers credit cards and on chain rewards modules Crypto exchanges cancel SpaceX pre IPO token orders Different legal models for tokenized securities explained *** 👉𝘚𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘤𝘩 '𝘛𝘰𝘬𝘦𝘯𝘪𝘻𝘦𝘥 𝘗𝘰𝘥𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘵' 𝘖𝘯 𝘠𝘰𝘶𝘛𝘶𝘣𝘦. 𝘈𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘦, 𝘚𝘱𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘺 𝘰𝘳 𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘗𝘰𝘥𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘗𝘭𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘳! 👈

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Julian
Julian@_julianma·
We just announced Ethlabs (@ethlabs_org). Its mission is stewarding the growth of Ethereum and ETH. Here is why I decided to stay in Ethereum after four years at the Foundation. We are at the moment Ethereum was built for. Adoption is here. Blokchains are being adopted as the most efficient financial rails and the traction of the very innovative financial services built on Ethereum, is accelerating fast. Ethereum is best positioned to become the base layer for worldwide finance. It is unrivaled in credible neutrality, permissionlessness, and robustness. The core protocol is now steadily increasing its throughput and speed to meet demand. Ethereum’s application layer has the largest developer base and most institutional adoption. The contest now is on product and growth: improve user and dev experience and bring Ethereum’s apps and assets to more people. At Ethlabs, I will focus on growth by: - Supporting Ethereum’s builders. - Improving infra and standards for devs, builders, and institutions. - Increasing distribution for Ethereum’s apps and assets. Throughout setting up Ethlabs it is incredible to see how much support we have gotten. So many of us want Ethereum and ETH to succeed. Largely thanks to the ecosystem’s size, force, and culture, it is now positioned to be an enormous improvement to the global financial system. That’s why I’m staying in Ethereum and that’s the work I want to do. Interested in joining? Go to join@ethlabs.org. Today is truly an Ethereum moment, thanks to all our backers (@BitMNR, @Sharplink, @ethereumJoseph, and so many others) and the entire Ethereum ecosystem!
Ethlabs@ethlabs_org

Announcing Ethlabs: a non-profit R&D lab for Ethereum and ETH Our mission is to make Ethereum the settlement layer of the global economy. The internet became global because shared protocols created a common language between networks. Private systems remained useful, but bounded. Finance is approaching a similar moment. As value, assets, and markets become digital, the world needs shared settlement infrastructure. Ethereum is uniquely positioned to become that shared base layer, the neutral foundation on which users, institutions, and agents can transact without intermediation. What we believe: • We believe credible neutrality matters. Ten years of uptime and the lowest counterparty risk. Ground that cannot be pulled away by any one country, institution, company, or person. • We believe ETH matters. The most valuable, programmable store of value. A decade of broad distribution, deep liquidity in onchain markets, and maximally trustless asset on Ethereum. • We believe DeFi matters. Markets, liquidity, credit, exchange, and coordination, open to anyone. • We believe adoption matters. Principles do not change the world until people benefit from them. We sit between two worlds: real usage from the builders at the frontier, and the protocol that has to support it. We work with users, applications, wallets, L2s, infrastructure teams, institutions, ETH holders, core devs and researchers, then turn what they actually need into protocol work, shared standards, infrastructure, and shipped products. Ethlabs is independent but Ethereum is a shared project. We are one node in a much larger network of stewards. This is the multi-node future. We have spent the better part of the past decade contributing to Ethereum core research and development. We are opinionated and transparent. We move with urgency, learn in public, and course-correct when we’re wrong. We are building a lean, talent-dense team for people who want to do the most important work of their careers: join@ethlabs.org

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Ray Xiao
Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
Interesting to read this 2024 passage now that governments are starting to wield control over how frontier models can be accessed, exported and censored. “Blockchains also simplify the distribution of open-source foundational models by providing a decentralized, immutable, and transparent infrastructure. Models can be stored on decentralized storage networks, ensuring availability and integrity without relying on centralized servers. You can enable granular access control, licensing mechanisms, and incentivization through smart contracts and token-based rewards to let anyone earn for the work they produce and their direct contributions. The transparent and auditable nature of blockchains allows for easy tracking of model usage, attribution, and compliance.” acapital.com/2024/03/the-im…
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Star_OKX
Star_OKX@star_okx·
The future of capital markets will not be built by crypto alone. It will require technology, regulation, institutions, and public policy working together. That is why we are excited about the partnership between ICE and OKX. We have also brought together leaders with deep experience across these fields, including former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, to help navigate this transformation. The convergence of traditional and digital finance is no longer a theory. It is happening now. wsj.com/livecoverage/s…
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Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
@sjdedic An arms race between hackers and defenders begins
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Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
Best piece about the challenges of AI commerce I've read recently. Resonates with a lot of what we've run into on the ground as well. Well worth the read! Coordination is clearly moving much slower than we first imagined, for many of the reasons laid out in the piece. I kinda feel there's a real opening here, the kind only startups can break through.
jessy@13yearoldvc

x.com/i/article/2062…

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Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
Given the interesting timing and all the unnecessary FUD around privacy right now, here's a takeaway from yesterday privacy panel with @randhindi @yrschrade @sergey_nog . Privacy isn't a new conversation in crypto. But for most of that time, the discussion was more about exploring the tech and comparing solutions. Application demand wasn't clear yet back then. Most of the retail users saw privacy as the nice to have features. Institutions stayed out over compliance concerns. This cycle is very different. As regulation for crypto gets clearer, institutions are entering with real demand. Stablecoins at serious volume, tokenized assets, traditional asset managers are moving on chain. Although Privacy specific regulation still needs more time, but the fundamentals have already shifted. From first principles, institutions need confidentiality across finance. Transaction privacy, counterparty protection, order flow confidentiality have all been standard in TradFi for decades. Crypto provides the technical approach to preserve those guarantees on-chain. This leads to a structural reality: institutions entering crypto can't ship offerings worse than what they already provide in TradFi, where privacy is the default. So privacy on chain is becoming a prerequisite for institutional adoption rather than an afterthought. The way this gets unlocked is through programmable compliance. Instead of forcing a single privacy model, a privacy protocol becomes a toolbox where issuers define their own compliance rules. A confidential asset's issuer can appoint a compliance officer or KYT provider with decryption rights, even when transactions stay encrypted on chain. Compliance gets built in at the asset and account level rather than bolted on later. Once that's the default, the design space for on-chain finance opens up: confidential RWAs, on chain FX swaps with treasury hedging, encrypted smart order routing across dark pools etc etc What stood out from our discussion is that privacy is becoming the must-have infrastructure for institutional crypto this cycle, not just a nice-to-have feature retail users choose anymore. Privacy will win for crypto.
OKX Ventures@OKX_Ventures

This week we hosted a privacy panel with @sergey_nog (@arc), @randhindi (@zama) and @yrschrade (@Arcium) 3 clips below on what's actually shifting for privacy in crypto 👇 1. A real case for compliant privacy. Last week, Zama's cUSDC contract was temporarily frozen due to a court order in an unrelated case. During the proceedings, the common misconception came up that privacy protocols are just mixers for money laundering. Once Zama got to explain to the court what the tech actually does, that misunderstanding got cleared up and the freeze was lifted within 10 minutes. Probably the fastest reversal of a court order freezing crypto assets ever. It showed how much misunderstanding still exists around privacy tech in general. But it also showed that having a real compliance posture goes a long way when you're trying to build trust with institutions. @randhindi (@zama) on what happened

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Ray Xiao@_RayXiao·
cyberpunky crypto 今天的处境,挺像@cdixon 在19年写过的一篇文章《Strong and weak technologies》讲的:技术分成强形式和弱形式。 这点映射到今天的crypto就是"强crypto"和"弱crypto"。今天弱crypto拥抱了主流,大量从业者放弃了强crypto 也不再相信。 这篇老文章说了类似的事情:很多技术往往成对出现,强形式 vs 弱形式。 强技术从第一性原理出发,按技术本应有的样子设计,不迁就现有世界。一开始看起来奇怪不实用、像玩具,但能改变世界来适应自己。 弱技术是妥协版本,对现有世界更友好、更务实,更像传统形式的延伸。 在Gartner曲线退潮的时候,很多人会从强技术转向弱技术,因为弱技术看起来离主流更近。Dixon当时说这通常是个错误,因为真正定义新时代的总是强技术。 这套观点19年写的时候应该不少人是信的,今天还剩多少真笃定的不好说,况且就算对,世界适应技术周期也许是10-20年一两代人的时间线。 强crypto终将赢/至少能占据一席之地这件事,已经更像极客们的信念,无法论证。不论如何,结论应该是开放的:要么cypherpunk确实是真正的强形式,只是周期还没走完;要么它本来就不是强形式,只是ideology上强、商业上弱到无法自立的形态,会赢的是在强弱光谱里不断找平衡的混合路线。不同代际不同背景的talent应该也会相信不同的剧本。
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michael
michael@no89thkey·
最近很多人在 讨论 ETH 作为资产是不是不行了(还有中文区搞笑的drama)。 这事儿其实没那么复杂。 如果你觉得 ETH 不行,是因为 Ethereum 的价值观导向错了,发展方向错了,那你先问自己一个问题: 你还信不信 cypherpunk 那套东西? 你还信不信 permissionless access? 还信不信 credible neutrality? 还信不信 self-custody? 还信不信 censorship resistance? 还信不信 privacy? 还信不信 open protocol? 还信不信一个全球开放、中立、任何人都能接入的公共网络? 如果你已经不信了,或者你从来就没信过,那其实很简单:卖光就好了。 ETH其实这十年 价值观没变过 但是这十年买ETH的人可以说是,各有原因,很多也不是因为这套核心价值观 但是ETH没变,世界变了。 不是说他原来走的方向和现在不一样了,只是现在这套价值观确实很难活。 这个世界现在的大趋势就是越来越反自由:更多监管、更多审查、更多资源集中、更多对个人自主权的不信任。 所以如果你觉得 cypherpunk 这套东西已经过时了,那你看空 ETH 是很自然的。因为 Ethereum 代表的东西,确实和今天世界的很多潮流是反着来的。 甚至未来五年、十年,可能五十年,世界的大方向都未必站在 Ethereum 这边。 那怎么办? 很简单:你有多不信,就卖多少。 剩下没卖的,就是你给自己信仰买单哈哈。 但反过来,如果你仍然相信,人类长期应该往更开放、更自由、更中立、更抗审查、更尊重个人主权的方向走,那 ETH 不管是在技术上还是思想上还是带领这个方向的。 不信就卖。 半信半疑就留一点。 真信就继续拿。 就这么简单。
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin

Some of my perspective on where the @ethereumfndn is going. First of all, this is only my own view. The board is not just me, and I have no extra special powers on the board that the other board members do not. @aerugoettinea is the one executing much of this transition. My input has been largely on technical questions. The board is in the process of expanding, and my own power within the org will continue to decrease, which is honestly what I want. The 2025 era brought many important improvements to EF and its ability to execute. Many issues were resolved, and EF continues to benefit from its improved efficiency and greater focus on concrete goals to this day. And so with those problems resolved, early this year, the largest remaining hole that I perceived was something different nagging at me: I would regularly spot people saying things like "vitalik says these beautiful things about ethereum needing to be decentralized, and have privacy, and be a sanctuary technology, but why do the EF's actions not reflect that?" Now, you may have been hearing something different. You may not have been sensing a feeling of crisis at all, and maybe were hearing people saying that finally we were taking execution and BD seriously and the main task for us is to keep going that way and be even better and faster. Then probably there is genuine difference between you and me, in what kinds of criticism I take most seriously, and what kinds of critics through their criticism are most able to make me feel pain. As an analogy, let's briefly switch over to a different domain. One belief you can have about Google is that it is a success story, and has brought a lot of good to humanity in organizing the world's information. Another belief you can have about Google is that they had a beautiful idealistic beginning, but at some point the corruption of mainstream corporate attitudes seeped in, and they slowly bit by bit completely abandoned the "don't be evil" slogan. My belief on Google specifically is probably somewhere between the two. BUT, if you had taken me back in time to ~2008, and offered me a button to press to make Google one or two standard deviations more "dogmatic", eg. give Richard Stallman permanent veto power over some key policies, I would immediately press it. Why? Because a choice for one company is not a choice for the world, or even one country. Google existed and exists in the context of a technology industry generally drifting away from early idealistic don't-be-evil roots and toward greed for financial gain, totalizing visions of accelerated superintelligence, infiltration by sociopaths, and craven capitulation to (or worse, active participation in) government pressure for ideological control, surveillance and war. And so *one company* doing something different, positioning itself to be what George Bernard Shaw calls the Unreasonable Man, resisting the trend of the times, would have been better for freedom, balance of power and stability of society as a whole, than *all* large companies bending to dominant trends. This is a part of my version of pluralism. This line of thinking is not just mine, but I also is not too far off from what Aya and others had in mind with the Mandate. Now how does this all get to the role of the EF? EF is not a "center of Ethereum", rather EF is "one node, with a defined purpose, alongside other nodes". We've always said that the EF should be the latter, but many in the Ethereum ecosystem (and even within the EF) wanted us to be the former. Now, we are taking action to ensure that we will be the latter. This is particularly important because EF is a limited organization, with limited resources and limited organizational capacity. The EF has only ~0.16% of all ETH (less than many other individual ETH holders), whereas among other blockchains it's common for "the central foundation" to have 10-50%. Fiscally, the EF was originally designed to fulfill a limited work scope defined in the token sale docs and other pre-launch materials (building the chain software; getting through Frontier, Homestead, Metropolis, Serenity), which was fully completed in 2022; it was not designed to be an eternal steward. And so today, the EF is choosing to use its remaining resources to pursue longevity over breadth (yes, this means we sell less ETH). The EF focuses *specifically* on those activities critical to the success of ethereum as a censorship/capture-resistant, open, private and secure system, that would not happen otherwise. This means making hard choices, and in some cases even activities that we highly approve of and people that we highly respect becoming outside of the EF. People of great technical talent, public respect and even alignment with the mission and CROPS being outside of the EF is in fact necessary if we want important tasks to be able to attract outside capital. This also means the EF taking opinionated stands culturally. This is all intended in cooperation with all other parts of ethereum. We recognize that many other parts of the ethereum world highly respect CROPS and related values. But highly respecting is not the same as choosing to specialize and totally dedicate to a domain (Compare in a different domain: I think reducing animal cruelty is important, and I like vegan food, but am not full unconditional vegan myself) EF is still in a transition period, and we expect its new long-term form to stabilize over the next few months. What are the guiding principles of this new form? Again, I am only one person, but I can give my answer from a technical perspective (there are also critical non-technical aspects). At the core, *Ethereum must be impressive*. We are living in an age of highly intelligent AI and all kinds of other technological acceleration. "Status quo EVM, with a hard fork or two a year to optimize for short-term needs of users" is not interesting. To some, "impressive" means: 250ms latency and 1M TPS. I think Ethereum trying to go that route is a mistake. Being as fast and as scalable as possible, and only a small epsilon more decentralized than the others, is a route to mediocrity, and if we try it we will lose. I think Ethereum should scale. But I think Ethereum should strive the hardest to be deeply impressive in a different dimension: the CROPS dimension. This means things like: * Provably bug-free Ethereum. This is a goal that all cybersecurity researchers would have thought is absurd and impossible, up until roughly 6 months ago. Now, it's on the cusp of being possible, thanks to AI-assisted formal verification. So we should be frontrunners in doing this. * Available chain consensus. Ethereum is, and with lean consensus will cotninue to be, the ONLY chain that has both (i) traditional-BFT style properties that it's safe under asynchrony up to a high level of fault tolerance, and (ii) the bitcoin PoW-style property that under synchrony it's safe up to 49% attackers. As far as I can tell, literally no other chain has this or is planning for it; bitcoin goes for (ii) only and most other chains go for (i) only. Some will remember I fought hard for this, Unreasonably insisting that it is not OK for ethereum to rely on social consensus and hard forks to rescue ethereum from 34% of nodes going offline. It's OK for chains like hyperledger, bnb, solana, tempo, etc. It's not OK for bitcoin or ethereum or eg. zcash. * Intermediary minimization. The fact that smart contract wallets, protocols like railgun, etc have to send transactions through intermediaries to get included onchain is honestly embarrassing, and it's a constant point of fragility. Hence the work on FOCIL and EIP-8141 (and 7701 and years of work before) to make transaction sending intermediary-minimized with public mempool and strong inclusion properties, in a truly general-purpose way, that covers not just eg. secp256r1, but also privacy protocols and much more. Kohaku is pushing intermediary minimization at the user layer, pulling Ethereum away from the dystopian status quo world where our wallets don't even verify the chain, send our private data out to a dozen third-party servers, and toward a brighter CROPS future. Some of these goals are Unreasonable - maybe Ethereum would be "fine" getting only 50% of the way - what if we depend on intermediaries, but make it easy to switch? But going 50% of the way would not make Ethereum Deeply Impressive in the CROPS way. So we push for 100%. Fortunately all these goals are compatible with high TPS, this is a major focus of research (esp. on scaling the state). Well-designed L2s can also help, especially L2s optimized for specific applications (eg. high-volume trading, privacy...). These goals are even compatible with significantly lower slot times, thanks to Raul's work on erasure-coded P2P, and many other optimizations. The most high-value "product" of the ethereum blockchain, financially speaking, is ETH the asset. Ethereum secures $250 billion of ETH. The types of properties of Ethereum that I mentioned above are very good for ETH the asset. Nearly 90% of my net worth is in ETH, and most of the remainder is ~$40m of onchain fiat of which every dollar has already been allocated for some open-source biotech or software or hardware initiative. That said, there are aspects of supporting ETH the asset - *necessary* aspects even - that are outside the scope of the EF. This is where we need other heroes (some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does) to step in and help. EF has been recently thinking more about how it will relate to other such organizations, and give them needed initial support. EF will be a smaller ship than in previous years, a more opinionated one - in some cases more opinionated in ways that might be difficult to comprehend - but a longer-lasting one, and one suited to making sure that ethereum brings something meaningful to the world. We are grateful to all those inside and outside the EF who are helping to make this happen.

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