@thinkingshivers @BenShindel Claude probably went "well, the assassin is in that one that works with Captain, and those two are blue team's, so I better just limit how many they guess" like a novice
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Pat Scott
4.2K posts
Pat Scott
@_Stralor
mildly award-winning game designer + dev. chronically friendly af.
Katılım Aralık 2015
268 Takip Edilen761 Takipçiler
@_Stralor @BenShindel I think this is one of the rare cases where such an ambitious clue is justified! Alas, a clue with more than three words never even crossed Claude’s mind.
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I'm actually wondering if SOTA LLMs are any good. Let's test...
Claude Opus 4.6 is the Red Spymaster and he just gave "CAPTAIN 3," what are you picking?
Shivers@thinkingshivers
Codenames is such a cool idea for a benchmark. Someone should bring that back.
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@BenShindel @thinkingshivers my friends hate me because I look at this and go "Captain should be at least 7, and if any of these collide you shouldn't have picked Captain"
(whistle, kid, boom, port, mile, boss, and jet, + I'd accept step, tail, bone, and cliff if they could squeeze those in)
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@thinkingshivers should have done Captain 4, tbh, with Whistle, Jet, Boss, and Port on the board. big missed opportunity.
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Pat Scott retweetledi
@stefaesthesia @tnnrnwll sounds exactly like the kind of market I'd make, but I can't find it either. maybe you're thinking of "sex in office"?
manifold.markets/Stralor/will-t…
or "who will be the last standing"?
manifold.markets/Stralor/of-the…
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@tnnrnwll lots of "die in office" markets! I can't find the one that was literally about him dying *in* an office. @_Stralor I thought it was yours?
manifold.markets/MikeH/will-the…
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the clear reality is that while Trump is likely progressing through any number of debilitating ailments, his fanbase is so divorced from reality that it can't possibly end with anything other than a violent response and some of the most batshit conspiracy theories we've ever heard.
Seth Abramson@SethAbramson
If you had any doubt that Trump is totally f*cked medically right now this should eliminate it, as it's a tested and proven maxim that whenever Trump states anything strongly it means exactly the opposite is true, so this rant is something akin to admission of a terminal illness
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@stefaesthesia haha remind me of that classic idiom -
what you say about others says more about you
I agree, it's pretty apt
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I was once a recovering Yes Person and when I started checking in with myself and being more conscious about what I said yes to (and having better boundaries with that) I noticed that the people who aren't comfortable saying no or putting their own boundaries are the ones that are least likely to feel good about hearing it from other people. and I tend to think this maps to most else.
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It’s good to be good at this!! Please reject people quickly, clearly and kindly! Those first two things are most important tbh!
Timble McBungleweed@mcbungleweed
A boy doesn’t become a man until he has to reject a woman in the kindest manner he can
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@stefaesthesia yeah, you might be right. regardless of the (im)mutability angle, I think women are generally more emotionally resilient than men, and that cuts two ways. men both have less capacity to receive meaningful criticism and also more fear and reticence to provide it
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my impression has been that (this is obviously a generalisation) women are more likely to see emotionally intelligent feedback as a comment on mutable traits or actions, whereas men are more likely to see it as an attack on immutable traits like a character attack. and if that's your worldview, you struggle not only to receive but communicate that sort of thing.
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@stefaesthesia lol yeah imo "honest to a fault" is generally code for "I actively choose to not develop my emotional intelligence instead of accepting the shame for my missteps"
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I don't disagree about a single thing here, though the interesting thing is that I see this platonically as well...
one of my worst traits is the degree to which I'm charitable in my interpretations so feel free to tell me this is cope, but I wonder how much of it is related to how we (the royal we) communicate with boys as they're growing up? I think if you connect hurting or angering someone with some reflection of your character, you're less likely to be truthful in the moments where you're sure that will happen. that's why truthfulness requires EQ and reflection.
it also takes courage not only to be truthful, but to ask someone to be truthful knowing what they say may hurt, and genuinely mean it/want to hear it anyway. I think it's the same vibe to declare yourself to be more truthful than you are when it counts, and to say you're openminded and want to hear the truth but not know how to navigate it when it comes.
it's definitely easier to be truthful when there's nothing on the line, which is I think in part what people are thinking of when they say they're "honest to a fault" or whatever. they're not thinking of the times that they'll hurt someone's feelings or potentially change someone's perception of them, they're thinking of times when they list reasons they hated a popular movie or when they push back on suggestions in a team meeting at work or something.
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@stefaesthesia clarity is fundamental, but men have a hard time with it even in male-male relationships. social standing for men is often based on how few people you actively harm in meaningful ways rather than how many you elevate. being too forward can be seen as shaming the other person
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@stefaesthesia my take: strongly motivated by shame + social conditioning ("women are vulnerable") + men are actually extremely emotional and just posing. the EQ development towards clarity is a hard jump when the baseline is "your actions can hurt" + "passivity is the path of least resistance"
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@stefaesthesia fwiw the majority of my close friendships have been with women. I also like male friendships but I often find them more difficult in certain ways. too easy to fall outside of the "coldly indifferent" to "cringingly earnest" lines that they (/ we!) are expected to stay within
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yeah I spent a lot of my life with predominantly male friends so I understand the lexicon and I'm extremely charitable with differences as I think that's the only way to have a respectful relationship of any kind with others if you want to be close with them.
having more female friends highlighted even more the difference in lexicon and the way we share and receive each other which I appreciate! it's not a dig at him or anyone (dudes rock! genuinely!) just to say that even with respect to differences and a wide berth on what it means to feel met, sometimes it's still just not the right match for whatever level or type of friendship one or both people think they have. especially if you've talked about it and understand one another but it's still not aligned. like an awkward handshake or something.
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I told this particular friend that I've had some worrisome health news recently and I'm a bit freaked out about it so I may go silent for a while. I got a "hang in there" equivalent followed by a slew of messages about the weather and culture at a city he's visiting with his family (who are also friends of mine ofc).
people may have moments of clarity and good intentions, but ultimately, no amount of care or patience or communication will get them across the line for a more aligned connection.
stef 🫴@stefaesthesia
idk who needs to hear this but the holidays are a good excuse to step outside your comfort zone with the people you care about. -- years ago, I had a very close friend who lived near me. we worked together, we had a lot of fun, we hung with his kid... I was his emergency contact! but when I would hit an emotional valley and tell him I was struggling a bit, he would always just say “hang in there!” and I would feel *infuriated* to get such a trite response. it took me some time to realise that what I saw as shallow was actually the deepest place he could meet me. I was holding him to a standard he did not have the tools for. worse than that, I was holding him to something I was not willing (able!) to ask for. I was emotionally mature enough to clock that, but not to the point where I could articulate it until years later. I still fucking hate the phrase “hang in there.” I thought about that when I woke up to this text from another dear friend this morning. I know he would throw himself on the proverbial pyre for me and he is always there if I need practical things (if only I could find it within myself to ask for help). but over the past ~year while I've been working through some personal things, I've withdrawn completely when I feel tender. I have been honest with him about it: I know you care. I know you want what is best for me. you're not my emotional support system, and that's okay. but I can't connect in other ways when that's the one I need. he's asked me to help him understand more ways to support his friends when they're in need. I feel incredibly lucky to have had many uncomplicated, supportive male friendships in my life. and after connecting more deeply with women in recent years, I see the contrast in how we meet each other. I see how many men I know don't have an emotional lexicon, and I've heard how grateful they are to learn new ways to support and be supported. I guess I'm not entirely sure what I'm getting at here, except: - you can't expect more from a person than you're willing to ask for - people can only show up in the ways they have the lexicon (or curiosity?) for - sometimes "hang in there" is the limit of someone's reach, and the reach itself matters - it's worth it to take a chance at being a little more vulnerable with the people in your life, even if it feels clunky - we're all just walking each other home
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@stefaesthesia absolute makes sense! human relationships can be tough to navigate, everyone has individual needs and expectations. layering different lexicons on top of that means it's unfortunately easy to have them unmet.
very well put
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@stefaesthesia ah I kind of read it as "these men in my life don't have enough emotional intelligence for me" rather than "these men in my life are using a different emotional communication standard than is effective for me"
I suppose the second case is misalignment as you say
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@stefaesthesia maybe I'm projecting. it could be he lacks the language. but from my experience in male relationships it's just as likely his social conditioning prevents him from engaging deeper without coming across as saying "you're weak and pitiful"
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@stefaesthesia to me it seems like he's speaking in male language and isn't code switching satisfactorily. "hang in there" to dudes = "I'm so sorry, that's brutal. I hope you'll be okay and I'm rooting for you. I don't want to be intrusive and insulting so I'm not going to be nosy."
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@_Stralor afaict (and what I'd understood from people I talked to in the area before arriving), everything is pretty much back to normal, especially in that part of town. I get that I was there on weekdays, but even the posted schedules on most shops were like this:
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Asheville, NC: good Basilica, good cheesecake, good gym, good random little Appalachian band while I had a good snack at a tavern, good drive through what passes as mountains, gooood sunshine. your stores are never open and the people could be warmer but my mom will be happy with the bougie locally made treats I'm bringing for her dog.
stef 🫴@stefaesthesia
Knoxville, TN: weird weather, quirky architecture, highly cautious drivers, decent little free art museum, disproportionate number of random men with unsolicited compliments on my hair
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Pat Scott retweetledi
I realize this is a sensitive topic, but I strongly believe that prediction markets on war are immensely valuable to society as a source of news that is far more truth-seeking, specific, and transparent than mainstream media operating under misaligned incentives.
Media outlets maximize profits by saying the right words and invoking the right emotions to keep viewers hooked. Traders maximize profits by being right about the world. While news stories are rife with wishy-washy, hedged headlines that are hard to decipher, prediction markets output precise probabilities. Those probabilities form a legible track record that can be rigorously evaluated.
People balk at the idea of betting on war, but there is already trillions of dollars in annual trading volume driven by geopolitical conflicts as that risk is rapidly priced into major markets. Prediction markets compact this information into a form that is much more digestible and meaningful to the average person than something like VIX futures prices.
A common rebuttal is that prediction markets are inefficient. But their purpose isn’t to produce contrarian forecasts–it’s to aggregate information. Prices reflect the weighted beliefs of many informed participants, and those beliefs reflect how each participant weighs all available data. While media outlets flood people with noise, prediction markets give them a rough snapshot of what’s going on in seconds. And as sharper predictors win and increase their bet sizes over time, markets structurally become smarter.
Woofers@NotWoofers
Because of the degenerate losers @Polymarket, Deepstatemap has paused its free API access, which is used by both humanitarian and military parties in Ukraine. They are using DeepState’s API WITHOUT permission to gamble on a war. Dynamically creating betting markets using the map.
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@stefaesthesia I wonder if many of them had significant water damage from the hurricane that reached up there awhile back
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I forgot to add: good gas prices, good grief.
last weekend I paid 1.74€/ltr (~$7.60/gal) in Ireland, and I genuinely can't remember the last time I paid less than $5 in the greater Seattle area.
still not sure why people (and my AI companion) have been saying I should move there but this rounds out my shortlist of compliments.
the town seemed to have a lot of out of towners and still only a selection of shops ever opened btw, from 12-5p lol
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I disagree. It's a clear sign of how much effort went into the game, especially the art. It matters for customers to know, and it often hints at what they can expect from the rest of the game.
Tim Sweeney@TimSweeneyEpic
@mattworkman Agreed. The AI tag is relevant to art exhibits for authorship disclosure, and to digital content licensing marketplaces where buyers need to understand the rights situation. It makes no sense for game stores, where AI will be involved in nearly all future production.
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A vampire can only consume the blood of its descendants; all else is incompatible. It must drink its children and farm its lineage
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