i need to start a garden
696 posts


What do the smartest kids in the world do when they grow up? I did the largest study of ~18,000 International Olympiad medalists (IMO, IOI and IPhO) over the last 25yrs, arguably the sharpest analytical minds of the world in high school, to see where they ended up and traced ~50% of them. Founders of ~20 unicorns and ~7 decacorns and ~10 billionaires: OpenAI, Cursor, Stripe, Databricks, Perplexity, Ethereum, Cognition, Hyperliquid, Fireworks, Modal, Quora, Parallel, Cartesia, Wispr Most kids went to MIT, a whopping 12% of them, followed by Cambridge (7%) and Sharif (3%)! The career paths they chose (of those who graduated) were: — 36% Academia (professors) — 26% Other — 22% in Software / Tech — 12% in Quant / Finance — 5% Founders! The biggest employer was Google, by far, at 6%. Others interesting tidbits were: — 47 of them work at Jane Street (#3) — 38 at OpenAI (#5) — 15 at Anthropic — 8 at Cognition — 6 at Isomorphic Labs Olympiaders were 1500x more likely to be billionaires and 4000x more likely to be unicorn founders than the average person!











At least some of the companies on this list do useful things eg make phones (Apple), distribute food and goods (Walmart/Amazon), or fuel your car (Exxon). What does Jane Street do? Take money away from pension funds and retail investors to give to its 40 partners? I guess you could make some sort of liquidity argument like: Jane street makes it easier for me to buy or sell stock. But if you’re on the other side of Jane Street and they made over $30 billion last year, odds are you’re just losing money in the process of doing the thing you’re thanking them for.



Suboptimal policy and business decisions have costs measured in human lives. But if you use the standard 'you could easily have done something different to save a life, and you didn't', 'being a person in the US with $10k and not donating it to GiveWell' is social murder.








We benchmarked every major AI model at poker. GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Grok 4 and more. All played 5,000 hands of heads-up no-limit against our state-of-the-art poker agent. Every single one lost. Here's the full breakdown 🧵











