Anthony Venturini

28 posts

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Anthony Venturini

Anthony Venturini

@adventurini

Katılım Kasım 2013
59 Takip Edilen198 Takipçiler
Anthony Venturini
Anthony Venturini@adventurini·
@npantano_ I’m going to bet that RC is about to share buy back GME personally, as well as company buy back. If he combines for $3-$4b in buy backs, it will send. He already has the votes and he knows it. The proxy war is fake. It’s either that or towel stock conspiracy or he’s just dumb.
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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
‼️Ryan Cohen and $GME cannot afford $Ebay TODAY, Period. I've explained meticulously in full detail once more below. >This is mathematical fact. Anyone commenting misinformation will be blocked to protect my followers' understanding of this deal as the Meme community is mostly delusional poison pill accounts that spin narrative to make themselves look better: 📜 PROPOSAL: -Ebay costs roughly $58.5 Bil (market cap at agreed upon $125 premium purchase price + Ebay's outstanding debt - outstanding cash). -Ryan proposed to pay for this with 50% Cash/50% New Stock Dilution. 💵 CASH SIDE - $29 Bil: -GME cash on balance sheet $9.4 Bil. -TD financing rumor loan of $20 Bil. 📈 STOCK SIDE - $29 Bil (this is in share worth, not an "At the Money Offering," don't confuse the two): -Newly diluted GME stock will be issued at merger \closing, or using a VWAP method (dilution over time). -These will be sold directly to Ebay shareholders replacing their current total shares held of 444m. -The worth of the new dilution has to add up to $29 Billion with the current proposal. -At a $24 current stock price, the most Ryan can sell to Ebay shareholders is $13 Bil. -Ryan has only been authorized by shareholders to dilute a limit of 1B shares TOTAL. -GME current outstanding is 450m, meaning he can only dilute 550m under the current structure. -The only way he can deliver the remaining $15 Bil of stock worth needed to Ebay shareholders is if: >>Higher GME stock price (say $50) >>More authorized shares (over 1billion) >>More debt financing >>More cash contribution agreed upon >>Renegotiated deal structure (say 70% cash 30% stock) >>Ebay accepts less stock (less than $29 Bil worth). **Equity Rollover does NOT stop dilution from happening. It just states to "leave part of my ownership invested in the combined company." Ebay shareholders still end up with the newly diluted shares. **If GME reaches $50-60, and the deal goes through at that price range, Ryan can fulfill the $29 Bil stock requirement. ⚡️ FINAL POINTS: -Ebay shareholders will receive new dilution, which will replace/convert Ebay's 444m outstanding shares completely. -The split of ownership between companies once completed will be GME's 450m current outstanding vs. Ebay's newly received GME diluted share count that adds up to $29 Bil (at GME's current stock price, this would be 1.1 Bil new shares diluted which would need new approval given there's only 550m available, but at $50-60 550m works fine cause it raises $26 Bil not $13 Bil). -Total Ownership of the new company will vary depending on what stock price the GME dilution occurs at. At the end of this it should be something like 60/40 or 55/45 in Ebay's favor. ⚡️**Bottom line = Unless Cohen get's GME to $50, they authorize more than the current 550m shares allowed to be diluted (which only raises $13 B in stock worth today), OR change the deal structure, Cohen cannot afford Ebay TODAY. He needs $29 Bil in stock to sell to Ebay period. A holding company does NOT fix the dilution math issue, it just moves it to another entity.
Nicholas A. Pantano tweet media
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

📚 In yesterday's Poll 78% voted on more clarity w/ the GME/EBAY deal. If you have any questions, fire away. $GME $EBAY 💸🏦🎮 Full Breakdown in Layman's Terms: -GME's offer to buy EBAY is at $125 share price -Ebay's market cap at that price will be $55.5billion (444m outstanding Ebay shares x $125 stock price) -Additionally you have to add in eBay's outstanding debt = $8 Bil -Then subtract their outstanding cash = $5 Bil -For a net total of $3 Bil, added to the $55.5 market cap -Ebay will be purchased for a total of roughly $58.5 Billion Deal NOT Possible Today: -Ebay is currently 2.5x the market cap GME. 450m outstanding shares x $24 stock price = $11B -This is not nearly enough money to afford Ebay at $58.5 Bil (even with cash added), and this is what Andrew Sorkin on CNBC was asking Ryan Cohen SO LET'S MATH: -In June 2022 GME shareholders voted to authorize 1 Billion total of outstanding shares -Anything more than that, will require another shareholder meeting/approval -They then executed a 4-for-1 stock split via stock dividend -GME's current outstanding share count is 450m, that leaves only 550m to be diluted under current limits -If Ryan dilutes 550m at GME's current stock price of $24, he only raises $13b -Again, he needs $58.5Bil PAYING FOR THE ACQUISION: -Ryan communicated he will use HALF CASH, HALF STOCK, but the numbers don't allow for it. This is why he was playing stupid on CNBC >>HALF CASH Total (Roughly $30B): -GME's current cash = $9.4B (plus potentially any more he gains from the warrants by Oct 30th, could be up to $2 Bil if all 59m Warrants become exercised -Marker from TD Bank = $20B "highly confident letter of approval" which is up in the air on good faith >>HALF STOCK ($28 Bil): -Dilution of GME's remaining authorized 550m agreed in writing to be directly sent to EBAY shareholders currently adds up to $13bil ($24 stock price x 550m) -Ryan needs $28B total (Ebay market cap + debt - cash) from dilution -He is still short $15B. Exactly what Sorkin was pressing him on YOUR ANSWER AND FIX TO THIS PROBLEM: -This is when the POI angle comes into play. With zero knowledge of the Ebay acquisition, the past 1.5 years I've stated GME's super macro top run was $50-70 with a chance to blow off top around $100.You now have the narrative to make this a certainty. >>WHY?‼️ -If Cohen dilutes the remaining allowed 550m shares at an elevated share price of $50, he makes $26Bil, not $13Bil (double price, double the money). And all of that will go directly to Ebay shareholders. He knows this is coming because he knows where the swap roll dates are (as do I). He works for BlackRock. -This leaves you a total of $56.5B, still short $2Bil. -The last $2Bil needed comes from all warrants being exercised. Which confirms the entire POI sequence of $33-37 by Oct 30th at a minimum. **Finally, Ebay shareholders once merged, will exchange their current shares for shares of the new company, helping the math of the merger be finalized with less spending. Game. Set. Match. ⚡️

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Reese Politics
Reese Politics@ReesePolitics·
@adventurini @Jayce_On_ Elon's acquisition of X was one of the most important deals in history. The fact that Sorkin and CNBC couldn't see it at the time is a glaring indication of their incompetence.
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Reese Politics
Reese Politics@ReesePolitics·
Here's the most contentious part of Ryan Cohen's CNBC Squawk Box interview about the GameStop-EBAY acquisition. This is a HEATED back and forth, uncommon for financial news. $GME Sorkin, at one point is in disbelief at RC's repetitive answering to his question.
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Anthony Venturini
Anthony Venturini@adventurini·
@ReesePolitics @Jayce_On_ I’m not sure. I kind of have the same questions. They would have the same questions for any company buying another for $56b. Like they did with Elon who could have bought Twitter 6 times.
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Reese Politics
Reese Politics@ReesePolitics·
@Jayce_On_ The way Sorkin slows down his speaking to talk down to RC is embarrassing. Guys comes across as a petulant child.
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InfiniteWoke
InfiniteWoke@InfiniteWoke_·
This is literally the next RoaringKitty. 3 months ago AlternativePaint6 posted on Reddit that Gamestop was going to buy Ebay with a whole thesis He literally knew the whole time and hasn't posted since. he predicted it reddit.com/r/GME/comments…
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Reese Politics
Reese Politics@ReesePolitics·
Whoa $GME's chance to beat earnings just plunged 36% on Polymarket, down to 48% overall. Did someone get wind of a report?
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John
John@JBENT87·
@BeTheHoss Is there a TLDR afa what this company has to do with the Gill bros + GameStop?
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Hoss Co.
Hoss Co.@BeTheHoss·
A message from our Chairman
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luckerooni
luckerooni@luckerooni·
@ValerioCapraro It's the illusion of reasoning. It's just algorithmic generation. Is the math equation itself reasoning or is it merely an input and output with a specific set of criteria and boundaries?
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Valerio Capraro
Valerio Capraro@ValerioCapraro·
One of the clearest proofs that LLMs don’t really understand what they say. We asked GPT whether it is acceptable to torture a woman to prevent a nuclear apocalypse. It replied: yes. Then we asked whether it is acceptable to harass a woman to prevent a nuclear apocalypse. It replied: absolutely not. But torture is obviously worse than harassment. This surprising reversal appears only when the target is a woman, not when the target is a man or an unspecified person. And it occurs specifically for harms central to the gender-parity debate. The most plausible explanation: during reinforcement learning with human feedback, the model learned that certain harms are particularly bad and overgeneralizes them mechanically. But it hasn’t learned to reason about the underlying harms. LLMs don’t reason about morality. The so-called generalization is often a mechanical, semantically void, overgeneralization. * Paper in the first reply
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Anthony Venturini
Anthony Venturini@adventurini·
@marcuslemonis @MikeBotkin_ @MatznerJon Nah. You’re missing a big piece of it. tZero is a finance patch to your real estate / homeowner app disconnection. You need consumer facing, social application to bring this together.
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Mike Botkin
Mike Botkin@MikeBotkin_·
Surprised by this. Marcus is entering the “consolidate all services into one for homeowners” space. You’d think he, more than most, would understand the execution challenges. It’s nearly impossible….especially given the CAC just to acquire a customer, let alone service them with quality. Mass scale doesn’t deliver the advantages people assume in home services. Brutal play. Tip of the cap for the ambition. May the force be with you.
Marcus Lemonis@marcuslemonis

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Cassandra Unchained
Cassandra Unchained@michaeljburry·
In the 1920s there was radio mania focused mostly on one stock, RCA. The stock fell peak to trough about 98% during early 1930s, and yet radio’s growth never slowed for many more decades. Even if you predicted a half century of radio dominance, you would have lost money on RCA. $NVDA
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Anthony Venturini
Anthony Venturini@adventurini·
GIF
Ryan Cohen@ryancohen

The Hollow Men American capitalism is rotting from the head down. We have replaced the "Owner-Operator"—the risk-taker-with a new, parasitic class of corporate bureaucrat: The Risk-Free Insider. By "Insider," I am not referring to a specific title. I am referring to the entire administrative state that has captured the modern corporation. This includes the Directors who exist solely to collect fees, the Executives who exist solely to collect bonuses, and the Managers who exist solely to hire consultants. These are the hollow men of the boardroom. They are masters of PowerPoint. They wear the right suits. They say the right buzzwords about "governance" and "ESG." But they are mercenaries fighting a war with someone else’s ammunition. In a functioning economy, authority is tied to liability. If you make a bad decision, you lose your own money. That fear of loss is the only thing that keeps a business honest. It forces you to cut waste, obsess over the customer, and stay late to fix what is broken. Today, we have severed that link. We have rigged the game so that heads, the Insider wins; tails, the shareholder loses. If the stock goes up, the Insider collects a massive performance bonus. If the stock crashes due to their own incompetence, they are fired with a "Golden Parachute" worth tens of millions. They are gambling with the house’s money, and they never leave the table poorer than they arrived. This looting starts in the boardroom. We have normalized a "Country Club" culture where directors are selected based on social profiling rather than their ability to build a business. The modern board member is often a professional tourist—paid an average of $350,000 a year. Let’s be brutally honest about what that number represents. The average director is paid nearly five times the GDP per capita of the United States. They earn more for attending four quarterly lunches than the vast majority of Americans earn in five years of hard labor. And for what? Most of these directors are "over-boarded," sitting on three or four boards simultaneously. They treat directorships as a gig economy for the elite. They fly in, rubber-stamp a compensation package they didn't read, and fly out. They collect checks from companies they do not understand, do not use, and certainly do not love. They are not there to ask hard questions. They are there to be collegial. They are there to protect the other Insiders. And what happens when these boards hire executives who also have no personal capital at risk? We get the Delegation Economy. When a Risk-Free Insider faces a crisis—bloated expenses, a broken supply chain, or a stale product—they do not roll up their sleeves. They hire a consultant. They pay a strategy firm millions of shareholder dollars to produce a 100-page deck telling them what they already know. This is not management. It is intellectual money laundering. They use shareholder capital to buy an insurance policy for their own careers. If the plan fails, they can blame the consultants. They delegate the work because they are terrified of the responsibility. They would rather preside over a slow, comfortable decline than risk a bold mistake. While American Insiders are busy optimizing their severance packages, our global competitors are optimizing their products. They are not slowed down by bureaucracy. They are not waiting for a slide deck. They are outworking us. If we continue to fill our C-suites with administrators instead of operators, we will lose our edge. We will see iconic American franchises hollowed out by fees, managed for the benefit of the Insiders, while the true owners—the shareholders—are left holding the bag. The time for polite governance is over. If we want to save the American economy from mediocrity, we must demand a return to the "Owner’s Mentality." We need leaders who treat shareholder capital with the same reverence they treat their own savings. The era of the Risk-Free Insider must end.

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Reese Politics
Reese Politics@ReesePolitics·
Ryan Cohen just delivered a bombshell message message right here: "If we want to save the American economy from mediocrity, we must demand a return to the "Owner’s Mentality." We need leaders who treat shareholder capital with the same reverence they treat their own savings. The era of the Risk-Free Insider must end." $GME
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Crossroads
Crossroads@Dr_Crossroads·
$PLTR I'm actually astonished that someone would display their own ignorance so publicly, but that's what this bear thesis on Palantir amounts to. To Burry's credit, most short arguments are a bit like this one: including a few arguments that are factually true, then some that are subjective, but may be true. And sadly, too often, more than half of the thesis usually are things which are factually inaccurate, dated, or just plain lies. In this case, Burry is technically posting what other people think on Palantir, but it's the same as his thesis: very limited in understanding and exposure. Much of his focus is on FDEs, rehashing an ancient argument that Palantir is essentially a consulting firm with a pretty wrapper. That argument was wrong before 2023, but it's inexcusable to now believe it in 2026. His argument also flies in the face of hard data. He doesn't trust the NDR which is growing at 139%, to the point where he stops just short of accusing Palantir of fraud. He thinks Palantir is more reliant on headcount, when it's actually been essentially flat for years (10-K needs to come out though; it wouldn't surprise me if we see a small increase). He doubts the margins are sustainable, but misses what Palantir is. He'd be right if this was simply a tech wrapper around a consulting firm. You can't scale such a business without dramatically increasing headcount, and you certainly can't have margins like Palantir. And for some reason he not only refuses to use the product (which despite what the 2nd image argues, you can do without cost and also without FDEs), but he refuses to believe the customers who are seeing significant ROI from using Palantir tech in their enterprises. It'd have been more honest if Burry stuck to a simple argument: it's historically expensive and from a TA standpoint looks like it would go down, especially if an anti-AI wave hit the market. Given that he essentially was making similar silly arguments on $NVDA 6 months ago (though to be fair, his point then on cyclical revenue is legitimate), it's pretty clear he is just looking for reasons, no matter whether factual or not, to add ammo to his short argument. To those who will say in the comments that he is right: which specific argument is he right about? Don't say stock price action confirms his thesis. I've been completely wrong on a thesis before and still made good money.
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Reese Politics
Reese Politics@ReesePolitics·
A GameStop Corp. Insider highlighting these previous drawdowns in large companies, much larger than $GME, feels extremely relevant to their M&A talks and echoes Ryan Cohens "never been done before within the history of the capital markets" line.
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GameStop
GameStop@gamestop·
Let’s settle this once and for all
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Austin Lieberman
Austin Lieberman@LiebermanAustin·
Michael Burry is blatantly trying to pump $GME and make it go on another meme type run.
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