@Qani56270199 ragiina iyo dumarkiina waa is ku mid, meeshaan Muqdisho weeye ma ahan nus-dariiq
Indonesia
guriceelpoi
5.5K posts
Afsomali xumi wan kugu oga lkn ina gumeednimo kuguma ogeyn.
ninyow nin ba ilahay ka dhigey eh Gabdha gogarada uga fuq
Jagodoon@Jagodoonko
Xasbunallah, waaxay dhaqan xumadaan?
Filipino
open.substack.com/pub/aarale/p/b…
For three decades, external patronage has shaped a system that rewards fragmentation and resists reform. That may now be changing.
A sham election. A town al-Shabaab held for 18 years falling in a day. A Ugandan general demanding $1 billion from Turkey. Somalia’s president saying farewell to Uganda at the army’s anniversary. All of this happened in the last two weeks. My new piece explains the single incentive logic behind all of it.
🧵 Somalia’s warlords never left. They were given budgets, airports and constitutional titles.
🧵 Laftagareen didn’t win power. He inherited the vacancy left when Ethiopian officers arrested his rival on Somali soil. For seven years Ethiopian troops kept him in place. When they stopped acting for him - he fell within hours.
🧵 Somalia’s federal system wasn’t purely a domestic design. Early frameworks were shaped by regional actors and later embedded through donor backed processes - then captured by the same spoils incentives.
🧵 67% of Somalia’s federal budget comes from external donors. Somalia’s political class has no incentive to change this. Why would they?
🧵 Al-Shabaab has better domestic fiscal capacity than the government everyone is paying to defeat it. That’s not a coincidence - it’s what the incentive structure produces.
🧵 Al-Shabaab held Daynuunaay for 18 years. It fell in under a day the moment it stopped being useful as a buffer. Turkish trained forces and Bayraktar drones changed the equation.
🧵 Every external actor’s returns were denominated in Somali weakness. Ethiopia needed fragmentation. Gulf states needed compliant regional leaders. Donors needed the insurgency to justify their presence.
🧵 Turkey is the first external actor whose returns require Somalia to actually function. You cannot extract from a rebuilt port if the port isn’t working.
🧵 Muhoozi’s $1 billion demand is the protection racket reaching its natural conclusion - a pharmaceutical company demanding reparations the moment a cure threatens to eradicate the disease on which its profits depend.
🧵 The question Somalia is now facing: does the system absorb Turkey’s bet the way it absorbed every previous external intervention - or is this finally different?
Full: open.substack.com/pub/aarale/p/b…
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@UdubkaSomalia @Qani56270199 Sharciga baa la marsiina and there’s nothing you can do sxb
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🚨Kiiska #SacdiyaBajaaj Oo Kaciyay Dareenka Dadweynaha!
Afhayeenka Nabad & Nolol Abdirashid M. Hashi ayaa si kulul u dhaliilay nidaamka Madaxweyne Hassan Sheikh, isagoo ku eedeeyay in uu caadeystay caburinta dhallinyarada iyo muwaadiniinta cabashada muujinaya.
#farmaajo #NN26🇸🇴
Filipino
@HornChronicles If it involves “kicin bulsho” and qabiil undertones the government is free to intervene, more-so for the safety of the person than silencing them
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Is there a law in Somalia that makes it illegal to criticise the president or the government? If such a law exists, please share it. If it does not, why are people arrested for saying the same things that opposition politicians in the capital are openly saying?
English
@muhsenoffgrid @Qani56270199 Qarax miyaad raraysa, ma xaa ku jaban in la baaro mooskaada xun?
Eesti
Yesterday, I drove from the farm to Mogadishu. I counted 17 Isbaaro roadblocks from Lambar 50 to Mogadishu set up by government forces. At each checkpoint, the soldiers demanded extortion money, and they allowed transport vehicles carrying farm produce to pass only after payment.
The more army bases on the road is resulting more isbaaro roadblocks.
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@B19Joshua A 6 second slow mo is the only somewhat presentable part of Hargeisa and it still looks like a shithole😂
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Hargeisa 📍
No foreign troops, No Aid, and thats why your family still lives this blessed city.. so be humble my guy..😆😆
Naaji@EngNaaji
30 Sano Marqaan ah 📷 Sawirka 1aad waa Degmada Waabari oo xaafad ka tirsan Muqdisha 📷 Sawirka 2aad waa magaaladii Hargeysa oo aan 30 sano kadib wali helin hormar dhanka dhismaha iyi Biya ku filan Said Islam
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@Nabadwanag They have resources as well but they can’t extract anything legally without Xamar’s approval😂
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All the oil seems to be in the unionist regions 😂😂 illahi wa na jecelyahaay
Cunaaye's Institute for Public Policy Research🇸🇴@cunayee
The Hol Hol well is a historic well located in Xudun District, Sool Region of #Northeastern state of Somalia and has long been considered one of the largest oil fields in Somalia. According to historical oil exploration records in the country, the Hol Hol field is located in the Nugaal Valley basin, a basin that experts have long estimated to contain vast oil reserves, as its geology closely resembles the oil-rich areas of Yemen.  Historically, exploration in this area dates back to the central government of President Mohamed Siad Barre in the late 1970s and 1980s when Somalia began to aggressively invest in oil exploration. At that time, American companies including Conoco, along with other companies such as Chevron, Shell, BP and ENI, obtained exploration licenses across basins in northern Somalia and the center of the country. Hol Hol was one of the first places where oil companies conducted deep exploration to find oil underground, which is why it is sometimes called the Nugaal Well. Recent media reports further emphasize the importance of this well, noting that the Hol Hol Well was surveyed nearly 46 years ago by American companies, which is directly consistent with the Conoco era and the agreements of the Siad Barre government. It was also reported in 2024 that a new agreement was signed with a Qatari company to resume exploration and development of the well. This indicates that Hol Hol is still considered the most promising well for the future of Somalia's oil exploration ventures and is expected to be the site of the largest reserves in the country if modern drilling is started.  #HolHol #NortheasternState #Somalia @Conoco @exxonmobil @Chevron @TheOfficialSPA @DahaShire @qatarenergy @QatarEmbassySO
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@Somalilaandheer @MatchaMuzee Tell me one country where the leaders walk around without security? lay off the khat walaal
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@MatchaMuzee You know its a failed state when you're glad people can walk outside with security.
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You know what we need more trees in our roads because it looks beautiful
Malin Irab@MaalinIrab
Historic. Mogadishu has hit its highest security benchmark yet. The Prime Minister @HamzaAbdiBarre is out running through open streets in the capital. The Running Games Week wraps up in Mogadishu today and the image says everything about how far this city has come. #Mogadishu
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@Panther_PUA @RahmaHagi7 You have isis doing bacha bazi with “wan dhagarweyne” villagers on the outskirts of Bosaaso and have the audacity to make such claims, your clan elders came to Xamar to seek refuge under HSM, have some shame sxb
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@afcmog @RahmaHagi7 You lying toe rag. There’s a village on the outskirts of Mogadishu where HSM bombed and killed children rather than send troops to. Shameful people.
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@Panther_PUA @RahmaHagi7 Besides 2 degmos in Hirshabelle and Galmudug the rest is free, the oil filled coastal land in Hobyo alone dwarfs Djibouti by a large margin.
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@RahmaHagi7 At least he can govern his land. Dhulkee hawiye maanta xor u yahay?
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@BaidoaOnline Buntlaan waa umad dhaqan dowladeed iyo xadaarad leh, ma aha wax cusub in ay booqdaan madaxweynaha ummadda Soomaaliyeed.
Filipino
All of these are now under the Mogadishu regime.
In Puntland, things have become chaotic, as the Federal Government appears to be dismantling the Puntland state system.
1.Sultan of the Siwaaqroon clan
2.Beldaaje of the Ali Saleban clan
3.Sultan of the Ali Jibrahiil clan
4.Sultan of the Ugaadh Saleban clan
5.Leadership of the Daanweyne clan
6.Leadership of the Shalaan Degney clan
7.Leadership of the Wan Dhogorweyn clan
English
@RepOfSomaliland How does it feel knowing your mineral rights are in my hands?
English
Leaked contract:
Türkiye is exploiting Somalias weak Government
• Turkey takes 90% of the oil output before any sharing, and only when it recoups its inevitable expenses, including security no timeline.
• Somalia gets ~5% royalty, with no local jobs.
• Disputes go to Istanbul courts, not Somalia law.
• Turkey can export and sell freely abroad without Somalia’s permission.
• The deal bypasses parliament and violates the constitution. Report 🔽
nordicmonitor.com/2025/04/turkey…
Alparslan Bayraktar@aBayraktar1
Filomuzun yeni üyesi Çağrı Bey sondaj gemimiz, ülkemizin yurt dışındaki ilk derin deniz sondajını gerçekleştirmek üzere dost ve kardeş ülke Somali sularına yaklaşıyor. Mogadişu Limanı’na ulaşacak olan gemimiz Curad-1 kuyusunda 7 bin 500 metre derinliğe inecek. Umuyoruz bu çalışma iki ülkenin de refahına hizmet edecek. Türkiye’nin enerjide küresel oyun kurucu olduğunun en somut göstergesi olan bu operasyon ile hedefimiz belli: #EnerjideTamBağımsızTürkiye
English
@FergieBallFan A good metric for whether the government is doing something beneficial is seeing these guys crying about it😂
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These man kill me do u care about Somalia or not? Bipolar bruddas
REPUBLIC OF SOMALILAND@RepOfSomaliland
Leaked contract: Türkiye is exploiting Somalias weak Government • Turkey takes 90% of the oil output before any sharing, and only when it recoups its inevitable expenses, including security no timeline. • Somalia gets ~5% royalty, with no local jobs. • Disputes go to Istanbul courts, not Somalia law. • Turkey can export and sell freely abroad without Somalia’s permission. • The deal bypasses parliament and violates the constitution. Report 🔽 nordicmonitor.com/2025/04/turkey…
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@HusseinidowAli @SomaliaMolsa Didn’t even notice this ministry existed the past 2 years, you did a terrible job and should be ashamed of yourself honestly
English
It’s official!
My role as Communication Advisor at the Ministry of Labour @SomaliaMolsa, Federal Government of Somalia has come to an end. Serving over the past two years has been an incredible honor, working alongside dedicated leadership committed to impact.
English
Cadowga dawladnimadda Soomaaliya
🇦🇪 🇮🇱 🇪🇹 iyo shaqaalahodii maanta aad bay u jabeen😁
हिन्दी
@yus_mona You can give out contracts for mineral extraction when you’re a real country abaayo, what happened to the Genel deal btw?
English
neocolonialism 2026 👇🏾
Western Tax Payers pay for the security of Mogadishu but they gave away 90% of their oil to Turkey.
How do you feel?
Alparslan Bayraktar@aBayraktar1
Türk enerji tarihinde yeni bir sayfa açacak tarihî bir görev için Somali’deyiz. Mogadişu’da Somali Cumhurbaşkanı Sayın Hasan Şeyh Mahmud ile bir araya gelerek, Cumhurbaşkanımız Sayın @RTErdogan ile ortaya koydukları güçlü irade sayesinde ülkelerimiz için tarihî bir adıma dönüşen bu sürecin yol haritasını değerlendirdik. Oruç Reis ile başlayan sismik çalışmaların ardından, Çağrı Bey ile Curad-1 kuyusunda başlayacak ilk derin deniz sondajının operasyonel sürecini kapsamlı şekilde istişare ettik. Türkiye ile Somali arasında karşılıklı güvene, kardeşliğe ve ortak kalkınma anlayışına dayanan bu iş birliğinin, iki ülke ilişkilerinde yeni ve güçlü bir dönemin kapısını aralayacağına inanıyoruz. #EnerjideTamBağımsızTürkiye
English
Wilka Sacad muse joof sxbtay muxu san ugu galay hedhe🤣 idoorki sikastay mouthpiece ugu noqotay oo darood iyo Hawiye iyo umadi oo dhan ay u cayday qancintooda hadana waa is qadan layahiin🤣
Indonesia
