
Nobody nowhere
3.6K posts

Nobody nowhere
@ahfultz
"Cleverly masking willful ignorance is still net stupid." -- Nobody nowhere Daily chart source: https://t.co/m6qeDdbXqR



Starship V3 first flight countdown starting





@stratdepth Check out the quote below. Note, Zach estimates we're at 97% magnetic decoupling or remaining angular momentum transfer strength. The balance is actually an enduring viscous coupling, so indeed we reached Tau point a year ago and have not moved from Tau. x.com/ahfultz/status…
















A geomagnetic jerk is a large, fast (~months), "kink" in the earth's magnetic field caused by changes in the flow of material in the earth's core. @SunWeatherMan has explained at length that one such jerk in late 2024, just as the next 5-year release of the World Magnetic Model (WMM) was being finalized, has contributed to early degradation of that model already in 2025. I cannot help but notice that late 2024 also coincides with the time at which the chandler wobble came off the rails, as analyzed in detail by @zachariaspro. I suspect, but cannot yet prove, that the two events are related. For those of you who share my general anxiety regarding ECDO as described by @EthicalSkeptic , there is some good news here. At the current speed of polar motion (1-3 mas/day, or 3-10 cm/day), the total displacement is not going to be enough to initiate a Dzhanibekov flip within a human lifetime, regardless of direction. The LLSVPs are ALREADY tilted by about ~10 degrees from alignment with the pole: adding a few milli-arc-seconds a day is negligible by comparison. I think a more realistic scenario is to watch for acceleration in polar motion with future geomagnetic jerks. And here is the good news- they tend to come a few years apart. Given the deviation from "normal" polar motion introduced by the last jerk, it seems it would take a few to several of these to really accelerate polar motion.











