This is the standard Chandler wobble in the official IERS x-component (mas toward Greenwich). The “drastic angle change” Kathleen mentions is just the normal curvature of the ~435-day free nutation + seasonal term.
For the exact date labeled (2026 May 15) from the latest IERS Bulletin A (official rapid service, 14 May 2026 issue):
x = 0.1706″ (170.6 mas)
y = 0.4116″ (411.6 mas)
These tiny daily wiggles and yearly U-shapes have happened thousands of times in the IERS record since 1973. No residuals, no torque budget, no core-mantle decoupling required.
The ECDO dashboard just slaps dramatic labels and future dates on normal polar motion noise and calls it a crisis.
CDIGR is actually testing Barkin’s real secular predictions with residuals after subtracting the Chandler + seasonal + surface loading. This? Just another nothing burger.
#CDIGR
@zero_lessons I never made a case for it at all, I'm not convinced myself, but I can plainly see that your so called refutations don't even know the subject matter & are written by AI. You also have 7k followers with no engagement, so you're either paying for them or posting dog shit.
@toyramm None of you will debate because ECDO is not science ! It’s worse than slop !
You’re a joke for pretending it’s remotely intelligent lol
Get fucked retard
@zero_lessons Your refutations of ECDO so far have been AI generated and have clearly not even read the majority of the work in the space, if you had, you'd know that your points would be easily addressed. On top of that, you act like an ass, why would someone debate you?
@ahfultz@stratdepth@HashZappa Tasmania AU is an example of what @stratdepth mentioned. Cut off from mainland, Aboriginals had no technology, we're nomadic, no caves, yet somehow survived 1.5k+ kmh surface V being far from the Euler axis. An unknown causing a slower rotation is more believable to me. Thoughts?
@stratdepth@HashZappa Ah but the thing is the earth can't really go any slower (or faster) due to conservation of angular momentum. The violence comes in two ways: 1) by the sheer force differentials as you get further from the pivot points and the big one, 2) air/water trying to maintain their 1k mph
@PersTransient@TruthBeTold424 Two scenarios: 1) The CMB shedding (that causes the hooks/accelerations distinct from other causes like lunisolar torque or earth's fluid envelope) is not enough to tip the MoI balance but visible in the motion, or 2) We tip the balance and we flip in which case no hook warning🙁
@toyramm@ahfultz Are you usually this stupid on purpose ?
Every single point I’ve used to debunk ECDO is basic math, physics and geology !
Your general gullibility and ignorance allows you to be led around by your nose !
Which part do you need elaborate on?
Is the magnetic field actually collapsing? If so how fast? Here are some comparisons from INTERMAGNET data between 2005 and 2025:
Boulder CO: 53,440 to 51,194 nT: down 4.4%
Fredericksburg VA: 52,550 to 50,197 nT: down 4.6%
Lycksele Sweden: 52,060 to 52,680 nT: up 1.2%
Guam: 36,600 to 36,750 nT: up 0.5%
More down than up, but this does not look like a collapse to me.
@zero_lessons@ahfultz Did someone say something is supposed to happen today? No? Good? Is all you do live to shit on ECDO with unfounded claims written by AI?
@ahfultz@TruthBeTold424 I would expect it to be mostly exponential, but also hope that the initial kick off at least gives us at EOP one notice period of a very obvious jump in mas towards 75°W. 🙏
@toyramm@TruthBeTold424 Maybe we get some warning from the polar motion. If indeed these last two big hooks were caused by massive mass shedding at the CMB (only explanation so far), then we start the IITPW immediately after one. If we get lucky, and the MoIs are at almost equal value, it might be slow.
@ahfultz@TruthBeTold424 If your lead time is 10 minutes, are you using any other metrics for warnings other than USNO EOP? Other than what you'd physically notice with your eyes and ears, at which point it would probably be too late. I hoped that the EOP would at least give us some notice.
@TruthBeTold424 A little early on the turn, but I'll take it 😅
I got some very wild ideas, too wild to share, but I'm sure everyone else has too.
You should be actively looking to relocate to a "survivable" place or 10 minutes away from one. Get cold weather gear, freeze dried food and pray
@TheLibertyBella The scale is small compared to the devastation flooding causes. If it weren't for the mammoths found, the flash freezing would just be a conjecture.
@EcdoPrep@cognitivecarbon Or a piece of the CMB sloughed away during the null towards 75°W and the hook back opposing was elastic rebound of the mantle.
Two thoughts:
(1) There was a null in lunar + solar torque on the 28th/29th. You might interpret this as "the earth has a bias to tilt toward 75W, but only gets to when both sun and moon are orthogonal to the title of the pole". You see the resumption of some torque here.
(2) The effect may be a bit overstated though. Multiple data sources are combined via Kalman filtering- and some aren't available until a week or so later. So the curve may be smoothed a little bit once all the data is in thru Apr 30, which will probably take about a week.
I actually find this a little bit comforting- shows we still have the sun and moon trying to prop us up.