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@InvestorJ3 @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@aleabitoreddit Exactly…maybe Berkshire matters but the rest is irrelevant

I'm not sure why people look at 13F filings so deeply when all the hedge funds are super behind on names like $JBL, $LITE and others. The most returns come from frontrunning institutions before they figure out the next $SNDK. Not following them 3 months after they file.

@zcelestialbaby @xPHARA0H @AkaliOnYT @CKCapitalxx @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@xPHARA0H @AkaliOnYT @CKCapitalxx @aleabitoreddit 😭

When I see comments like this (and there are a lot) from retail investors: I immediately think they lack the technical depth. I'll walk through each one from $SIVE to $LPK: 1. Photonics TAM goes from $14B -> $154B In just two years time, and it's likely going to keep scaling past 2030 as it's the next generation architecture of choice. It's not going away in 1 year. It's not going away in 3 years, which is why $LITE premiums keep going higher since they're backlogged into 2028. $SIVE supplies CW lasers and is highly tethered to CPO and now pluggable transcivers for 1.6T and 3.2... For expected companies like $JBL, Ayar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence, $POET, $MRVL Celestial, and $AMD. This isn't a "trade", it's the core chokepoint and IP holder for the next generation of photonics. And it's a comfortable hold for the next few years as they scale to become the next $LITE. The risk I personally see (since they're already qualified with so many players), it's mainly how much TAM they can capture of the overall optical supercycle. (And potential risks with Win Semi volume ramp, but Win is massive so I can sleep tightly there). As just supplying lasers isn't enough to justify valuation. It's TAM expansion downward into making the entire ELS or entire pluggable transceiver that makes these laser companies so valuable. Then afterward, they can vertically integrating upward for gross margin expansion upward like $COHR into doing the laser fabs or even substrate level. And that in my view is a very asymmetric risk/reward ratio as we've already seen this done with $LITE as they went from $2B to $80B. 2. $LPK - Is the purest exposure, without the messy financials of SKC Absolics, as the next advanced packaging shift for glass substrates. Almost every single major semi company from $INTC to Samsung are adopting glass substrates. $LPK is basically $ASML of this chokepoint, since they supply to ~80% of the global players currently. Yes, there's "trade cycles" for equipment suppliers like $ASML, where if there's more foundry capex, ASML scales up. But if there's downturns, these tend to perform poorly, and don't capture all the volume ramp that happens after. However, if the MC is $650m and they're making $100-200M, revenue per costumer volume ramped, the amount they make from the glass substrate cycle will likely exceed current valuations. And they'll have baseline fundamentals (as more companies adopt the packaging shift), that keeps their valuation up. It's just a waiting game for volume ramp at this point. 3. $AAOI - This is literally $INTC but for America + Photonics. It's like saying Intel is not a long term investment. Guess where all your optical transcivers are made? China. Thailand. Malaysia. If you look at Innolight, Eoptolink, $FN, and others. AOI is building the largest Made in America supply chains for both CW laser fab, as well as 800g, 1.6T assembly. Yes, there are pluggable cycle ups and downs to this as well. There's going to be a wave for 1.6T next year, then CPO cannibalizes pluggables down the road. But since they make the entire supply chain in house, they have extreme optionality for other segments. And like $NVDA older gen-GPUs, there's going to be sovereign DC requirements for older gen pluggables from names like $AAOI. It's likely going to keep rising as it hits that $400m+/month revenue target H2 2026. There's just a lot of different short term volatility along the way like the $600m dilution. 4. $IQE - ??? It's one of the most important players in the Western word for epiwafers. $MTSI went out of their way to pay off IQE's debt because they can't have them going under. $IQE is also supplying to $LITE. The world is currently bottlenecked both on the epiwafer level from Landmark comments and InP substrate levels. Their financials were track but the raw book value, and value they hold to the entire Western supply chain... completely justifies their valuation. And other optical companies will not let their core upstream supply chain go under. As these tens of millions worth of materials would screw up tens of billions worth of downstream products. Again photonics is the next generation architecture required to scale AI. It's not Quantum where it's just "In development". It's literally here and the architecture of choice by $NVDA. I would not be surprised if all of these are a lot higher in 3-4 years time. People who think it's one and done in 3 months time "only because I mentioned it" don't know what they're talking about. Institutions would have bought up the name eventually (like Point 72 on $IQE) and retail would only find out after their valuations are 600% higher. Should really do the research before adding comments like these: These are all forward growth companies that require in-depth supply chain knowledge.

@Layer921 @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@aleabitoreddit Why I feel $PENG will eat your $SIVE this year ? Check their finance first

I'm 100% sure if I met all you "photonic memory" experts in real life. 498 out of 500 of you couldn't explain CXL memory pooling or KV cache infrastructure and what $PENG actually does to derive revenue off that. This is why I'm seeing all these random $RKLB, $HIMS, or non technical AI experts on my timeline now. Backseat commenting completely wrong things about M7U MOCVD capex and $TSEM that aren't related. Or conflating every single term like an $SMCI integrator with photonics IP. Then just pitching buzzwords every under every one of my posts.

@ClearEdgeTrades @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@aleabitoreddit CXL and memory architecture are often misunderstood topics

@zcelestialbaby @256BountyHunter @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@256BountyHunter @aleabitoreddit Aint that how stocks work?

@illee9 @aleabitoreddit @SpongeQuant DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@aleabitoreddit @SpongeQuant It’s fun, but it’s really low quality sushi for a place like Cupertino.

@yairmar74 @amitisinvesting @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@amitisinvesting @aleabitoreddit due, when are you going to post about $GRAB? stop hiding

$BOT is the biggest red flag. NAV is $7.34/share. The stock is now trading at $37.92. You are basically buying Figure at $200B+ while it’s valued at $39B. Buying the company is just trading pyramid float dynamics off other retail. Not the appreciation or underlying fundamentals. To make matters worse: There’s $2B dilution as valuation arbitrage as you all get diluted to oblivion. I got a lot of fund managers dming influencers like myself about it but in reality: Retail just looks like exit liquidity.

@ChadLikey @aleabitoreddit @grok DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@aleabitoreddit @grok does robo have the same issues

@Water4wood @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@aleabitoreddit That is a bling idea in US . So wonderful that there is no legal issue occurred of billboard in related to stock info

Lot of people on X are talking about AI/startup billboards. Just a shower thought: Can’t I just buy a bunch of SF billboard space for fun? But instead of something like $NBIS (not my photo btw)…. I just put something fun related to X? Apparently it’s not expensive.

@BaBig90 @FinnStockinger @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@FinnStockinger @aleabitoreddit Yeah stop fudding our $PENG bags @aleabitoreddit! 😂

I agree with @aleabitoreddit that anyone buying $PENG for "Photonic Memory" is missing the mark. Serenity points out that the high-margin IP belongs to other companies and that’s true, but Penguin has never done that and has no intention to. However, keep in mind that what Marvell, Celestial, or Lightmatter create is just bare metal. They don’t provide a finished, ready-to-go solution; they deliver components that still need to be integrated and programmed. This is where Penguin’s strength lies because they are excellent at this. For instance, they previously worked with Meta on building their supercomputer. When it comes to the PMA that Serenity mentioned as Photonic Memory, this product does not commercially exist yet. So, defining Penguin’s exact role right now is just speculation, not facts. My take? They will do exactly what they did with their CXL Kache product: take the components and integrate them. Companies designing the core components do an amazing job, but Penguin’s role is to choose the best solutions, squeeze the absolute maximum out of them, and integrate them. If you are a hyperscaler, you have massive resources and can do most of this yourself. For the rest of the market, Penguin should be the first contact in their phone. As for comparing $PENG to $SMCI + software, this is where Serenity is wrong. Penguin’s strategy is explicitly NOT to be another SMCI. That might have been true in the past, but Penguin a year ago and Penguin today are two completely different companies. There are strong reasons to believe that Penguin (or their client) will simply outsource low-margin services to the likes of SMCI or Dell, while keeping the high-margin architecture for themselves to ensure a more predictable revenue structure. I’m stay with $PENG as long as they will deliver. NFA DYOR

@Lebonski80 @allechirap @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@allechirap @aleabitoreddit He did have the doordash lady deliver good old macD at the white house. It's just 6d chess we can't understand.

Donald Trump is apparently long Sushi. I genuinely find it hilarious the President took a large % ownership of Kura Sushi ( $KRUS, ~$600m MC). Among everything from $AVGO to $NVDA. If Trump did buy $5M worth, the president would own close to ~.8% of one of my favorite US Sushi Chains. Don't have any open positions... but I do love the idea of our President buying up Sushi restaurants.

@Megadonken @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@Megadonken @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@Megadonken @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@Megadonken @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@Megadonken @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@AnswerReality @ThematicTrader @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@ThematicTrader @aleabitoreddit Why??? - two Directors had decent size inside sales, and one exec., sold off a previously set up 10b5-1 just recently on the run up. That's not what you typically see on a significantly undervalued equity.

I'm gonna be dropping my $PENG valuation analysis tonight. @aleabitoreddit Please give it a review and glad to explain any questions you may have. As all my followers know, my thoughts and research are rooted in grounded assumptions / multiples backed by evidence from earnings reports, earnings call transcripts, and market insights.

@zcelestialbaby @FinnStockinger @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.

@FinnStockinger @aleabitoreddit Yes seriously. These serenity posts help nobody.

Everyone was doomposting $EWY 2 months ago. Calling it “Silver Crash” or “KOSPI crash bubble” Now they’re all flip flopping opinions, saying they were bullish memory all along. Even despite fear posting from $RPI to $SIVE, my thesis ends up right. Main reason I got 245K+ followers is because I’m consistently right about my opinions while taking a firm directional stance. My $EWY longs are now up ~3x.

@xPHARA0H @AkaliOnYT @CKCapitalxx @aleabitoreddit DM me on Telegram via the link in my bio so I can add you to my private chat. In the chat, you’ll get more educational insights, updates, and my stock ideas to learn from.