alexonecap

Turned $2,123 into $9,221 on @Polymarket betting on Monad ICO. Sounds great, yeah? But what was it worth to me? Here is story behind scene, profit screens and other stuff. 5 days until the end of sale, I decided that there is inefficiency and opportunity on bet >600m, as then only in first day of launch we hit 120m$, what will be in the last day? Also we had much better market conditions, vibes after solomon perfomance(when despite CF crash during almost full day, we go from 15m to >100m commited during just last two hours). So for me and my infofield then it was like - why we should bother about kyc, blocks and bans of our money from CB, etc., when we can just dep on poly and get our bet. Lyrics... So I just buy >600m for around $2,500 at 55 cents, thinking about that I could not have time to bet on such price(artificial time limit conditions - casino). Next day I saw how my money easily go -50%, I just laughed and didnt believe to fud. Further I just watched my dep go into the abyss, hoping that they would still raise this amount. 36 hours till the end, I saw >300m at 35 cents(needed more 120m-140m to this goal), I decided to bet here $1,000 in order to get some part of initial dep, thinking about why this pessimistic goal costs so little. Again I did this bet before going to sleep, supposing that I can skip such sweet prices(casino)). Waking up, I have seen that my 1k$ was divided by 3 by stupid fuders from X, who think that getting +15-20% in only one day - bought tokens on sale for 0,025$, sold for 0,03$ - is dubious opportunity. It's insane, i dont understand how their mind works, anyway.. During the last day I again didnt believe to situation, considering that my bet and goal must be completed(gamble). 7 hours till the end, we made >210m, i still believe for hitting 300m, but I see like the last opportunity - >250m is trading at 44 cents, bought it immediately for $1,123 and go chilling. 3 hours till the end(hit 225m) I decided to check how is my last bet, I didnt believe that >250m is trading at 13-19 cents, it's insane - how it could exist, so I just finally laughed at dumb fuders and bought 6666 shares per 15 cents for $1,000. My avg price on >250m became 23 cents and 9223 shares amount. I even dont check and think how much will I get in case of win, because I could no longer perceive the situation due to lost strength and nerves. I just go to sleep and set the alarm 30 minutes before the end of sale, thinking that it would be miracle, if I get back only all my deps. But when I wake up to this alarm, I was shocked how much my poly portfolio is. To sum up, my "investing"(gambling) $5,600 -> $9,221, however I can say that nerves, which I lost during this happy MONAD week, maybe cost even more than the amount of profit I get. Survivor's mistake. Always remember that behind pretty pics, there are a lot of work done, nerves lost, tries and time spent. Everything has its price. Praise God for everything we have.

We probably should write this down: the Vault just crossed $1M in total PNL app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x65401… It’s not something you see very often — earning $1M+ onchain for an audience. The most important part is choosing the right stage of the market. After that, the market does 90% of the work for you. I’m glad I was able to generate that much profit for subscribers fully onchain, without fake screenshots. A lot of this fast result was luck too. Personally, I made around 100% on my deposit in the Vault over these 82 days since launch. Another important point: Account Value is only around $1.6M, while total PNL is over $1M. To me, that’s a good sign — it means many of you are actually withdrawing profits, which is exactly what you should do. In other words, a big part of the profit has already been realized. I hope this Vault taught at least some people something useful in practice: how important it is to act rationally, reduce risk in some market phases, and increase it in others. It could have easily played out very differently — we might have spent several more months, or even a year+, chopping around the same entry levels or going slightly lower. That never changed the core idea from day one. I explained all along what I was doing and why, and I’m not planning to move away from that approach. As I wrote before, the closer BTC gets to $100K–$120K, the more I’ll be reducing risk and rotating not into BTC, but into stables. And once BTC makes new all-time highs, I’ll cut alt positions aggressively — I won’t care whether they’re up 5% or 5000%, I’ll mostly be locking gains into stables. And again, from the start I said the Vault was part of my RISK portfolio. In normal market conditions, my usual allocation is around: 40% BTC / 40% stables / 20% RISK I believe in portfolio management with weekly rebalancing. In average market conditions, I’m around 40/40/20. Near bull market highs, I’ll move toward something like 60% stables / 20% BTC / 20% RISK. And after brutal selloffs, I’m comfortable pushing RISK above 40%. Also, once again: people drawing lines on charts are either lying to themselves or to you. In my opinion, technical analysis is basically like astrology. You can always find “matches” the same way you can find personality traits for every zodiac sign. Nobody knows where price goes next, and nobody can know — except insiders. What really works is insider trading, fundamentals, and value. The whole retail trading education market is mostly one big scam. There are no magic traders. Sometimes there are inefficiencies, and some people exploit them, but they won’t teach you how. In my opinion, the only real edge an individual can have is to deeply understand a sector, evaluate the long-term potential of technologies, projects, and companies, invest gradually, and then wait, wait, wait — reassess, and wait again. Markets will always rise and then fall. That’s how they live. Once again, thank you — and congratulations. Don’t be greedy. Take profits. Diversify. Move step by step. This is only the beginning. #Bitcoin #BTC #Hyperliquid #Vault #Crypto #Investing #Onchain #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #BullMarket $BTC $HYPE

If you are not farming funding on perp DEXs you’ve already lost - perpdex1 - you long and get paid ~1000% - perpdex2 - you short and pay ~500% - the 500% delta is your net profit find opportunities across 27 perpDEXs on my site perpdexlist.com

@miniffer_eth may be yes, may be not, it's Chelsea

Chelsea VS Páfos I bet $100 that Páfos will not concede more than 2 goals in this match, here are my thoughts In their last 24 matches, Páfos have not lost by a margin of more than two goals. Polymarket: polymarket.com/sports/ucl/gam…

@miniffer_eth @PSV nice statistical bet

Newcastle United VS PSV I bet $100 that PSV will not concede more than 1 goal in this match, read below to find out why. @PSV hasn't lost by more than one goal in its last 21 matches. I'm betting on polymarket. polymarket.com/sports/ucl/gam…

@miniffer_eth @FCBayern Munchen are GOATs

Bayern Munich VS RU Saint-Gilloise I bet $100 that the total number of goals will be more than 3.5, and here's why: In the last 12 matches involving Bayern, more than 3 goals have been scored. @FCBayern are in superb form, winning all of their last five matches with an impressive goal tally of 25 scored and only three conceded. Their attacking prowess is evident with key players such as Michael Olise and Harry Kane leading the charge. Only possible on Polymarket: polymarket.com/event/ucl-bay-…

@miniffer_eth thanks for call

I think I've found the Trump family's insider wallet. I put this wallet on copytrading. Take a look at this profile: @macrotrading?via=miniffer" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@macrotrading?… His strategy is precise and well thought out down to the smallest detail. He places a bet on outsiders (usually <20¢), then waits. After that, his assets increase and he closes the position. I think it's definitely worth following this account.

@1DGAFATIGU3 I have misunderstanding, article was published on Jan 18, in rules of polymarket range - 16-28 Jan, which qualifies for Dan's article

@slash1sol insane man

a Polymarket trader turned $38 into $20,500 by simply paying close attention to the market rules just check it: @BetFranklin/?via=slash1s" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@BetFranklin/?… that’s a ~53k% roi on one trade he was buying shares for 0,1c-1c while most people ignored the fine print market: "Will Trump say the word "hottest" during meetings with UK PM Keir Starmer on September 18, 2025?" the rules explicitly stated that only two events would be considered: > a bilateral or multilateral meeting > a press conference third event (the Business Leaders Reception) - was not included Trump did say "hottest" but it happened during that third event since it wasn’t covered by the rules, it didn’t count outcome: the market resolved NO, and everyone who bought YES at 0,90c+ got wiped the takeaway is simple - read the rules

@slash1sol @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade great takes bro

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Elon Musk recently clashed with Ryanair after the airline’s CEO claimed that Elon “doesn’t understand aviation” and argued that installing Starlink on commercial aircraft “makes no sense” Ryanair estimated that rolling out Starlink across its fleet would cost the airline around $250m per year given Ryanair’s reputation as an ultra low cost carrier that aggressively charges extra fees, users on X were quick to roast the airline in the comments. Musk seized the moment and started trolling Ryanair publicly despite the online hype, Polymarket currently places the odds of Elon Musk acquiring Ryanair at around 11% down from a peak of 15% Ryanair’s market capitalization sits at roughly $35 billion, meaning Musk could theoretically afford the purchase. however, he is still carrying significant debt from acquiring X, and his main focus remains on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and Neuralink commercial aviation outside of space clearly isn’t a priority for him, making such a deal highly unlikely imho check rules and always dyor nfa

@bakiidk funny to see that meteorologist bets real money on his own predictions, not like other 99.9% meteorologists

I found account that made 1,612 predictions and earned about $18,500 He mainly bets on the weather, so he's probably a meteorologist. He usually bets YES at a low price. He waits for the weather to even out. He locks in his bets. I followed him yesterday and bet according to his logic and earned a whole $0.60. I felt like a meteorologist It will be interesting to watch him further. His biggest profits: - $6 > $586 - $15 > $630 - $50 > $1057 -$123 > $2020

@1DGAFATIGU3 thanks for advise

@multiw0rd not bad apr)

Putting $10,000 on the Greenland market — here’s why Right now the odds are inflated due to hype, uncertainty, and attention. But that attention is already fading — you can see it on X and in the market chart. I expect the odds to correct back to the real value (around 86%–87%) within the next 10 days. When that happens, I’ll lock in profits — aiming for $600–700 on the move. That’s an APR of roughly 225%–270%. Not betting on the outcome. Just trading the sentiment cycle. @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade

@SmartScoper @Polymarket strange bet, as we already have scriptwriters and film crew…, but I betting on eight too

There’s a spicy bet on @Polymarket about Eight dying in the new Stranger Things season. Some insiders and big wallets are leaning YES (but I didn’t tell you, tssss). #StrangerThings5 #StrangerThings polymarket.com/event/who-will…

@Guzlik_eth @Polymarket no risk range

Take your 10% Profit. Betting on BTC price is always have liquid. Right before New Year's the market always gets low vol — perfect setup for two bets: <80k — «NO» >95k — «NO» Only 4 days left, no major catalysts on the calendar. Literally free New Year's alpha. @Polymarket

@1mFac3less @Polymarket lfg

Early look at the 2026 NBA Champion market on @Polymarket Thunder are the clear crowd favorite at 42% after their dominant 2025-26 start Rate is very promising if you're patient. Let the season unfold, see how other respond #NBACup #Polymarket #NBA2K26 polymarket.com/event/2026-nba…

@9tapstrafe @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketMoney gl, also today we saw new such market without 2025 limits in rules

I took a position on @Polymarket for Lighter FDV >1B "No" output. I'm holding December first. There is no time to exit, so hold to zero. Have a good bet, everyone! @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketMoney

$LIT already on the Spot through API We have 6 and a half hours(ET time) till the end of 29th December to win our bet on @Polymarket Now market pricing probability by 30%, few hours ago it was at ATL 12,5%, few days ago ATH 90%... Now I placed small bet on es to gamble somehow and check our luck