aliq

I know that even now many people in CT still have not tried @Polymarket , so allow me to sell you this idea human beings evolve through risk. if the tribes of our ancestors had not dared to move forward, explore new lands, and seek new opportunities, our species would not exist. carry this take with you for the rest of your life and grasp a simple truth: the more you risk, the more foundation you create for victory this is exactly what drives the obsession of funds, promoters, and CT as a whole with prediction markets. it is a natural human desire to take risks. but if you refuse to take any risk at all, the best you can hope for is to stay exactly where you are traders like ascetic0x and rwo built huge PnL not because they are magically talented or just lucky. they combined risk with an idea they believed in. of course luck played a role, but I am sure there were countless failures before the breakthroughs so friends: never stop gambling, but always keep your head on your shoulders @zscdao

Why am I betting on "lighter market cap (FDV) > $3B one day after launch?" NO Short and to the point. 3 reasons: > most recent launches except monad had very weak debuts. Projects are launching very poorly right now due to market conditions. > read twitter and do your own research - a lot of people are pointing out alleged insider wallets positioning for this. > the @Lighter_xyz team is building a product, not noise and historically those teams are the least interested in playing chart games. NFA, not a recommendation just food for thought to me this idea is obvious but you're better off finding your own reasons to bet or not to bet.

@ashen_one @XicoSR @solana @SolanaConf @BitRobotNetwork it feels like movie, I can't believe that

at breakpoint i was fighting robots like huh jackman in real steel this is the only round i won then xico beat my ass 2-0 but man look at these clankers go 😭😂😂

@MINHxDYNASTY what age exactly do you mean?

everyone our age wants to get rich fast that's why most will stay broke

@yellowpantherx @nics_off let us hit the top

@nics_off Facts

if you’re still active on CT during a time like this, you deserve to win. don’t give up.

@StarPlatinum_ bro, I don't think that Chris gain his muscles because of the girls 😅

How do you explain to a bodybuilder that the guy on the right gets way more female attention than the one on the left

@AlenaChramtsova @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolyBaddies Alena, I like your design these kittens🥹

83% odds on Polymarket that Lighter’s FDV will be over $1B. Let’s break it down: ＞Lighter already has a valuation - the project raised around $68M at roughly a $1.5B valuation ＞On the OTC Lighter points have actually traded in the $30-$100+ per point range, and that was on meaningful size ＞If you convert OTC point prices into a token price using the announced tokenomics, even very conservative math puts FDV above $1B ＞Also, don’t forget to read the market rules: "If Lighter doesn’t launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to NO" Polymarket: polymarket.com/event/lighter-… Handy tracker in Telegram: polycule.trade/join/nzhay5

@meta_alchemist I'm glad to find you at this time Bookmarked this banger!

Wanna vibe code better products? Here are some tips and tricks I can share after 1800 commits and more than 1000 hours of vibe coding: 1. Start by explaining your idea to the LLM and get it to prepare you a PRD and architecture documents (as md files). 2. Load the md files into your LLM, let it read them all, and tell it to create an implementation plan document. 3. To get the most out of it, instead of using a general LLM, have subagents with specific skills take on different parts. This will give you a set of specialized team members, instead of one generic LLM, that's jack of all trades. 4. For number 3 to be effective, tell your LLM to code the agents as world-class in their domain, trained by the best in-class people, or even better, use a tool to spawn the agents (I’ll be sharing a tool I built for this soon, called Spawner). 5. During implementation, make sure you’re using GitHub commits as much as you can. Instead of trying to one-shot the whole app in one go, test features to make sure each one is working before you move on to the next. 6. For UI design not to look like slop, I highly recommend either importing references or using a UI-skilled agent with more context about: (1) how you want users to experience your product, (2) who your target audience is, (3) get one page looking amazing, (4) let the AI use that styling on the rest of your product, and (5) tell AI to avoid gradients and bad icons because it usually defaults to those. 7. AI is not great at building authorization systems by itself, especially for X. Use a skilled agent for this too: it’ll make everything a lot easier. You can spend hours pulling your hair out if you don’t. 8. If you don’t like certain features and want to change them, make sure afterward you tell AI to review your codebase and clean up any unused features and code. Even better: go back to commits before a certain feature was coded and build the version you want from there. If you let your code become spaghetti, it’ll cause so much headache you’ll want to abandon the project: it becomes unbearable to fix things, even with AI. 9. Tell AI to use a changelog document and make sure your initial architecture/PRD documents are updated to reflect your current features consistently. AI may get a wrong impression of what your featureset looks like if your initial docs and current features diverge, which can lead to spaghetti features and code. 10. Use vulnerability scanners to check whether you’ve left secrets exposed or have security gaps: AI tends to have these issues. I built a tool for this too; check vibeship dot co. Good luck!

@meta_alchemist earlier I was neither a builder nor a creator now I'm basically both thanks to twitter and vibe coding haha

A large percentage of creators will become builders thanks to vibe coding. Distribution will have a major advantage in turning shipped products into revenue streams The more creators see their peers and friends with big success stories = the more they'll get on the bandwagon.

@meta_alchemist it sounds like something similar to inventing the wheel from which both farming machines and tanks were built as far as i know @21st_dev fits your description above

it will just get bigger, more people using realizing the superpowers it brings, and then it will change how businesses operate with their own custom toolsets, and many solopreneurs coming to make it with vibe coding there will be lots of new apps, unfathomable amounts, most will be low quality, but among them there will be gems, there will be the unicorns even getting started by people who literally vibe coded the whole toolset there will be security issues, there will be doubt sometimes, but there will be a ton of success stories that will make so many people get into this many creators will become builders, distribution will be very important AGI will born, and it will be coming from vibe coders who want to get more out of their LLMs

I am on a path that I don't expect everyone to understand much. I vibe code 15-18 hours a day, mastering skills like crazy. Seeing the exact problems of vibe coders so I can build for them, and connect it all with everything we do at Seedify. 1800 commits in less than 4 months. Many private repos and products are waiting to get unleashed. A full on vibe coder tools eco in the build. Just the beginning.

@meta_alchemist where do you think the narrative will move next? how do you stay on the cutting edge and be the first to really understand things like this, in your opinion?

@aliqnar yeah everyone gets that shock factor when they first try, to people who haven't tried they probably can't fathom what vibe coding can do now, how advanced it became in the last few months and this is just the beginning

@0xEmoni @Polymarket it sounds really smart, but of course you never know what might get into someones head or what their next move will be

I was browsing @Polymarket and came across something interesting. There was a market predicting the number of tweets by elon musk between december 12 and 19. Based on previous predictions, the average number of tweets that ended up winning was around 240 tweets. The price of yes in these newly launched ranges is mostly below $8. An idea that came to mind was: what if someone buys positions in 6 ranges close to 240, for example: - 180–199 - 200–219 - 220–239 - 240–259 - 260–279 - 280–299 If they buy $50 in each, the total investment would be $300. Now, if any one of these ranges turns out to be correct, the payout would be at least $550 and up to $1100. After subtracting the initial $300, that results in a net profit of roughly $250 to $900 on a $300 investment. You can also reduce both risk and profit by adding or adjusting the ranges you cover. Overall, this strategy seems interesting to me and I might test it with a small amount of money. The key condition is that no unusual event happens during that week. What do you think about this strategy?

@RDX_arXS @said116dao I like watching this from the sidelines, but I hope my 20 points can get pumped by these speculations so I end up with a nice profit too😄

@aliqnar @said116dao Thanks for mentioning me There is a lot of noise going on around Lighter right now It is very interesting what will happen next

How will this play out? Right now X is flooded with posts about insider trading related to the upcoming $LIT listing TGE > “Trader 134569699 bet over 100,000 dollars that Lighter FDV would be below 1B” a post by @said116dao > “New wallet. Limit orders. Lighter. Connect the dots” a post by @RDX_arXS > “HOW TO FIND INSIDERS ON POLYMARKET. FULL GUIDE” a post by @RetroValix Huge respect to everyone from @zscdao for their strong analytics. But the main question is bigger. are you noticing this trend, where now every listing, TGE, and ICO or IDO comes with similar manipulation narratives? I really like the @Lighter_xyz team and started writing about them a long time ago, but there are always people inside who can abuse their position. At the same time, its also possible that competitors try to damage the teams reputation by creating or amplifying such manipulations. So what do you think overall: are prediction markets a way for the smartest and fastest to find inefficiencies, or just another way for the rich to get even richer?

@0xEmoni @said116dao I hope so too, I think you're right - time will tell

@aliqnar @said116dao Polymarket is a place where intelligence has the edge over capital time will prove it

@Frank_web33 @zama what do you mean by data that destroys trust and undermines security when shared? i dont fully understand it

AI agents are based on data, which destroys trust and undermines security when shared. The aspect of blockchains intensifies this issue by making all the inputs public. In the new environment, agents can do computations on encrypted data using the help of @zama with trustworthy results without exposing the raw data. The practice sets the stage of autonomous systems that will be intelligent at all times without compromising the privacy of the user. #Zama #ZamaFHE #ZamaCreatorProgram

@SelenkaOnChain @Lighter_xyz thanks bro, I love writing about lighter, especially when its something positive

Will we make money on @Lighter_xyz ? Just six months ago this project was a relative under radar gem, and now coinbase is writing about its listing. My biggest posts were related to lighter for example back then I estimated the point price at around $6 (now its trading on the premarket at $60+). But there is still time to make money there are plenty of @Polymarket bets where if you just use your brain a bit you can catch solid multiples.

@0xSntx @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketTrade yes, if you need stats just let me know!

@aliqnar @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketTrade Ty fr, I will check it out 💪

Fresh @Polymarket data I’ve collected some interesting stats for you • Only 16% of users have a positive PnL • Leading Categories - Politics, Sports, Crypto • Daily active users - about 80k • The most popular bet size is $10-50$, average bet is ~$150 You’re in 16% gang?