Libran Cabactulan

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Libran Cabactulan

Libran Cabactulan

@AMBLNC

Permanent Representative of the Philippines to the United Nations - New York(2010-2015); President, 2010 NPT Review Conference; Chairman, 48th CSW Session;

Katılım Ağustos 2014
588 Takip Edilen424 Takipçiler
Libran Cabactulan
@the_pearl_lover @IntlCrimCourt Just to correct the reference to the photo - not on ICC or Rome Treaty. It was about the Arms Trade Treaty (covering eight main categories of conventional weapons, including small arms and light weapons - SALW - negotiations recently concluded then at UN HQ in NYC, tanks combat
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Matthew Ross
Matthew Ross@Matt_Ros·
@AMBLNC @RaviBatra sharing I have zero understanding of this or even if this is factual makes it sounds like a house of cards with only 1 card being the base and support.
Wanjun Xie@xie_wanjun

It is rumored that Xi Jinping's sentencing of former Central Military Commission members and former Defense Ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu to death with reprieve was largely intended to deter and warn Cai Qi. Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu were both staunch Xi Jinping aides, but they were sentenced to death with a two-year reprieve simply because they privately criticized Xi Jinping as incompetent, a fool, and a disgrace to the country and its people, arguing that he should step down. Through this move, Xi Jinping is sending a message to Cai Qi that if he dares to speak or act recklessly, he will suffer the same fate as Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu. Cai Qi, through overseas media and social media, has been aggressively proclaiming himself the second most powerful political leader within the CCP, and that he will succeed Xi Jinping should something happen to him. This is essentially preparing public opinion for the overthrow of Xi Jinping's authoritarian regime and his own smooth succession. Cai Qi's associates have also been spreading rumors overseas that if he takes over, he will fully implement the reform and opening-up policy. This is clearly a message to the United States, telling them that if the US follows the example of arresting Venezuelan President Maduro and arrests Xi Jinping, Cai Qi will not support Xi Jinping, will not protect him, and will certainly not seek revenge against the US for Xi Jinping's sake. This implies that the US can act with confidence and without repercussions as long as it's aimed at dealing with Xi Jinping. Currently, Xi Jinping is no longer able to immediately take down Cai Qi. However, he can deter Cai Qi by sentencing Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu to the fourth ring, thus giving Xi Jinping enough buffer time to wait for the right opportunity to take down Cai Qi, just as he did with the surprise attack and arrest of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli.

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Libran Cabactulan
@Matt_Ros @RaviBatra There's always good in everyone, and diplomacy is the art of the possible (required though is savoire faire). I can even see possible end of war on Iran; perhaps, after Beijing visit. There are rooms to maneuver in the latest six points of Iran (if U.S. accepts 1-5; sixth - contr
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Matthew Ross
Matthew Ross@Matt_Ros·
@RaviBatra @AMBLNC Are we looking for a person to look to the future and a vision I looked at a Russian Ambassador I believe to be a good man I kept nudging you to speak with he's now looking at Iran I see walls that will not move if they think China is going to break the deadlock they are wrong
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Đỗ Hùng Việt
Đỗ Hùng Việt@dohungviet·
In this third week of the #NPTRevCon, as we work to build consensus on a final outcome, let us bring the best of diplomacy to bear. Pressure won’t help. Engagement will. Blaming won’t help. Understanding will. Threat won’t help. Flexibility will. Let’s get in done, together!
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Isabella Anderson
Isabella Anderson@IsabellaAn67·
China should not talk about 'Environment Protection' after destroying over 20000 acres of Coral Reefs in South China Sea. And, as if blasting Coral Reefs wasn't enough, Chinese militia even poisioned the Coral Reefs & fishing grounds with Cyanide!
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Salem Follower
Salem Follower@sa_footballfan·
@AMBLNC From my experience here in the UAE, verifying every claim before forming conclusions is essential. The digital noise travels fast, but facts still matter most.
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Libran Cabactulan
Libran Cabactulan@AMBLNC·
Myterious explosions in Qeshm & Bandar Abbas. Not the doing of U.S. not Israel, not Iran. UAE? Playing the cards, including the OPEC quitting? Students of IR, with the pervasiveness and speed of "info" (fake, purposely distorted or otherwise) flowing digitally, are now facing ...
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Libran Cabactulan@AMBLNC·
Because with "Operation Freedom" on pause, it is still a negotiation with dangling Damocles sword. Purely transactional strategy inescapably leads to escalation trap/domination. And interestingly (consistent to one trapped) there's de-escalation of objectives - Rubio said, "...
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Libran Cabactulan@AMBLNC·
JCPOA, better. All types of enrichment, no more than 300 kg; accordingly, now estimate, Iran has 10,000 kg. Lifting of sanctions & unfreezing of funds, (were already included in JCPOA), inviting. Perhaps, if US is to clear the gulf of Oman of war assets first, as +'l icing.
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Libran Cabactulan@AMBLNC·
@CFR_org @RahmEmanuel That would also be obviating reparations. Who started the destructions? - there would be no "kinetic" subsequent destructions in others. Right? Wrong?
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Council on Foreign Relations
“We went in to deal with their nuclear capacity, and they discovered they have a nuclear option. It’s called the Strait of Hormuz,” says @RahmEmanuel, former U.S. ambassador to Japan and former White House chief of staff. Watch his full conversation: on.cfr.org/4n4PyWZ
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Libran Cabactulan
Libran Cabactulan@AMBLNC·
@RGrynspan @radiofrance_XIX Unless there's a well respected and completely independent body like the Appellate Body of WTO Dispute Settlement Mechanism, those cited situations, not going to happen (came to mind Sen. Connally at 1945 SF Conference). Explore/study then "reverse or negative consensus" of WTO.
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Matthew Ross
Matthew Ross@Matt_Ros·
@AMBLNC @RaviBatra I suspect you watch this account carefully as Japan changes its position because of China action I assume all Chinese account with ramp up the messaging this is possible the most childish diplomacy I've ever seen in public.
ChineseEmbassyManila@Chinaembmanila

Ministry of National Defense of China: Relevant Countries Should Not Forget the Lessons Learned From the Painful History of Being Invaded by Japan Question: It is reported that the Japan Self-Defense Forces participates in this year's US-Philippines Exercise Balikatan, marking the first time for Japanese combat forces to set foot in the Philippines since the end of World War II. Philippine WWII victim associations and civil society groups have come out in opposition and protest. What is your comment on this? Zhang Xiaogang: Like many of you, I understand the feelings of the Philippine people concerning this year's Balikatan military exercise. During World War II, Japanese aggressors committed numerous crimes in the Philippines, including the Manila Massacre and the forced recruitment of "comfort women". In addition, there was the Bataan Death March, which, together with the Nanjing Massacre and the Burma-Thailand Death Railway, are known as the three major war atrocities in the Far East. In April 1942, the Japanese military captured Bataan Peninsula. Around 78,000 American and Philippine troops that had already surrendered, were systematically abused. They were forced to march 120 kilometers on foot to Camp O'Donnell, and 15,000 died miserably. To this day, the perpetrators of those atrocities have not shown genuine remorse for their crimes. How could this historical trauma be healed? Relevant countries should not forget the lessons learned from the painful history, listen to the voice of the people, stop stoking division and confrontation, and jointly thwart Japan's "neomilitarism", so as to maintain peace and tranquility in the Asia-Pacific.

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Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova
Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova@GaukharM·
Just like the #NPT, #TPNW requires states parties to, at a minimum, have comprehensive safeguards. TPNW reinforces constraints on proliferation and helps uphold the #nuclear taboo - South Africa #NPTRevCon MCI ROP
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BRP Sierra Madre
BRP Sierra Madre@BRPSierraMadre·
In the West Philippine Sea, one story connects everything: law, partnership, and people. The 2016 Arbitral Award and UNCLOS define the Philippines’ lawful rights—not power politics, but a rules-based foundation recognized globally. These rights are reinforced through cooperation with partners, working together to keep sea lanes safe and uphold a stable, rules-based order. Most importantly, this is about people—families in Pag-asa, Filipino fishers, and everyday presence at sea. This is where law and partnership come to life: in livelihood, community, and sovereignty. #WestPhilippineSea #AtinIto #RuleOfLaw #MaritimeSecurity #FreeAndOpenIndoPacific #Sovereignty #BRPSierraMadre
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cryptid
cryptid@wetyeti01·
@NorwayUN @AMBLNC Words are wind. The UN is incapable of any real or meaningful change in the behavior of the bad actors among nations. It is only the law abiding and life respecting nations that will listen, and they are not the ones causing the problems.
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NorwayUN
NorwayUN@NorwayUN·
#NPT2026 RevCon - 🇳🇴 on behalf of the Stockholm Initiative for Nuclear Disarmament: -We remain dedicated to  promoting broad dialogue, building bridges and mitigating polarisation, with the aim to strengthen the non-proliferation and disarmament regime. ➡️norway.no/en/missions/un…
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