Analyzed Investing

🚨Spirit Airlines is dead. Here's why it matters more than people think Spirit wasn't just a cheap airline. It was a market force that kept every other carrier honest on price. When Spirit entered a route, fares dropped. Now that's gone. Data: avg fares jumped 23% ($60/round-trip) every time Spirit exited a route. Multiply that across their entire network and you're looking at a structural price hike hitting millions of travelers. How did a 34-year-old airline collapse in 2026? • JetBlue merger blocked by regulators (2023) • Engine defects grounded dozens of planes • Legacy carriers copied the ultra-low-cost model with better perks • Fuel costs spiked • Filed bankruptcy. Twice. In under a year. The $500M government bailout was their last shot. The structure: taxpayers lend $500M, get 90% ownership of Spirit. Bondholders said no. Deal dead. Airline dead. 17,000 jobs gone. 1.8M seats wiped from the May schedule. The first major US airline failure in 25 years. Winner? Legacy carriers. Delta, United, and American just watched their biggest low-cost competitor disappear overnight, and they didn't have to do a thing. The irony: Spirit's ultra-low-cost model forced the entire industry to offer cheaper base fares. Its death may now undo years of downward price pressure.

@charliebilello Inflation discussions often center on policy moves, not money supply.

Jerome Powell held 63 press conference as Fed chairman and over that time there wasn't a single question about the 40% money supply spike in 2020-21 or $18 trillion increase in the national debt during his tenure as the root causes of inflation. That's either unbelievable incompetence on the part of the most renowned financial journalists in the business or questioning/dissent is not allowed. Which is it?

@jaynitx Japanese firms focus on product excellence rather than flashy promotion.

Steve Jobs reveals why Japanese companies dominate quality without ever marketing it: "The group of people that do not use quality in their marketing are the Japanese. You never see them using quality in their marketing" "It's only the American companies that do. And yet if you ask people on the street which products have the best reputation for quality they will tell you the Japanese products" "Customers don't form their opinions on quality from marketing. They form their opinions on quality from their own experience with the products or the services"

@WallStreetMav Reduced dollar holdings highlight growing caution among global institutions.

The German investment bank said it sees a scenario where central banks continue to increase their gold holdings as a financial safety net to protect themselves from Western sanctions. These central banks have added over 225 million ounces to their reserves since the 2008 financial crisis, while their holdings of US dollars have fallen from a peak of over 60% in the early 2000s to about 40% today. Gold’s share of global central bank reserves could reach 40%, up from 30% currently, the bank predicts. At that allocation, Deutsche Bank ran a simulation that projects gold prices to hit $8,000 an ounce within five years — a near 80% rise on current levels.

@WatcherGuru Debt levels could influence future fiscal and monetary policy.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US national debt surpasses size of the entire United States GDP for first time since World War II.

@jackprandelli Energy infrastructure plays may benefit from this new permit approval.

🚨 BREAKING: Trump just signed a major presidential permit for a new OIL transport pipeline “This is similar to the old Keystone XL pipeline. It will significantly expand our ability to move oil across North America. A major step for long-term energy dominance and security.” This is exactly how I’m positioning in my portfolio. Don’t miss the full update in my next breakdown. Link in my bio

@Jeremybtc Proof that one sharp mind can really disrupt Wall Street.

A financial analyst turned $53,000 into $48 MILLION posting stock tips on Reddit from his basement. He nearly broke Wall Street doing it. > In September 2019, Keith Gill was a 34 year old financial analyst at MassMutual earning a regular salary. > Under the username DeepFuckingValue on Reddit and Roaring Kitty on YouTube, he posted a screenshot of a $53,000 bet on GameStop. > A dying video game retailer that Wall Street had been shorting into the ground. > Gill had spotted something. Hedge funds had borrowed and sold 140% of GameStop’s available shares. > Mathematically impossible to cover without buying every share back at any price. > For over a year, he was ignored. His posts were downvoted and mocked. > Then in January 2021, Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum discovered his position and started buying. > GameStop went from $4 to $483 in three weeks. The short sellers were trapped. Every dollar the stock went up cost them more money. > Melvin Capital lost 53% of its fund in one month and had to be bailed out with $2.75 BILLION. It shut down completely in 2022. > Total hedge fund losses exceeded $20 BILLION. > Roaring Kitty was streaming the entire thing live on YouTube from his basement, wearing a red bandana, drinking from a cat mug. > By January 27 his $53,000 was worth $48 MILLION. > Then Robinhood froze the buy button. The sell button still worked. The stock crashed within hours. > Robinhood’s biggest customer was Citadel. Citadel had just bailed out Melvin Capital the same week. > Congress called emergency hearings and subpoenaed Gill to testify. His entire opening line was five words. “I like the stock.” > Hollywood made a movie about him called Dumb Money. Netflix made a documentary called Eat the Rich. > He disappeared from the internet for three years. > He returned in May 2024 with a single meme posted on X. GameStop pumped 50% on the news he was back. > Days later he revealed he had quietly built a 5 million share GameStop position worth $180 MILLION during his silence. > His net worth peaked at $289 MILLION. > A guy in a basement saw what every hedge fund analyst on Wall Street had missed. > He posted it for free on Reddit. The system that called him an idiot ended up rewriting its own rules to stop him.

@JohnTinsman Revenue growth focus can justify passing on some big names.

Warren Buffet Never Bought Google $GOOG $GOOGL And he said he regretted it. Even after that regret, he still never bought. Today Google is up 7% today, 131% in the last year, and up over 14,000% since its 2004 IPO. You don't have to go down a path of missing the best companies, you can admit a mistake and buy some exposure. I prefer to own 5 of the Mag7. I don't know which ones will have the best future, so I don't feel the need to put all by dollars on just one. I like $MSFT $GOOGL $GOOG $NVDA $META $AMZN, but am passing on $AAPL and $TSLA due to their low revenue growth.

@Cointelegraph Hindsight is brutal, but early AI bets were risky moves.

🚨 NEW: Elon Musk testifies he was "a fool" for giving OpenAI $38 million in free funding that helped build what is now an $800 billion company.

@Barchart Markets may start pricing in higher long-term borrowing risks.

BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Debt U.S. Debt now exceeds 100% of GDP for the first time since World War 2 🤯👀

@KobeissiLetter Negative equity is pushing Americans deeper into car debt.

A growing number of Americans can no longer afford their car loans: A record 42.6% of underwater car buyers turned to an 84-month (7-year) loan to keep monthly payments manageable in Q1 2026. Being underwater means owing more on a car loan than the car is currently worth, resulting in negative equity. Rather than paying off the difference, many buyers roll this gap into their next loan, pushing themselves deeper into debt. This percentage has DOUBLED since 2016 and is on track for its 3rd consecutive annual increase. Buyers with negative equity financed an average of ~$56,000 for a new car in Q1 2026, ~$12,000 more than the average new vehicle buyer. As a result, their average monthly payment rose to $932, the highest on record. In March, car loan default rates jumped to their highest since 2010. Auto-loan distress is surging.

@StockSavvyShay @FuturumEquities Full subscriptions show strong confidence in Trainium’s performance roadmap.

Trainium is becoming the key to the $AMZN story with over $225B in commitments, Trainium2 sold out & Trainium3 nearly fully subscribed. The bigger shift is AWS now bringing in more Trainium chips than $NVDA chips on a unit basis giving Amazon more control over inference costs.

@Polymarket Unexpected trend

NEW: Hershey CEO says mint & gum sales are surging due to “Ozempic breath”

@WatcherGuru Focus now shifts to broader Fed strategy and signals.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump says he doesn't care if Jerome Powell remains as a Federal Reserve Governor.

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$META just beat earnings by a mile and dropped 9%. Let's actually break down what happened because most takes today are missing the point. The headline numbers were strong: • Revenue: $56.31B (+33% YoY) • EPS: $10.44 vs $6.66 expected • Ad impressions: +19% YoY • Price per ad: +12% YoY But the EPS number is misleading. Strip out the $8B one-time tax benefit, and you're looking at $7.31 still a beat, but not the blowout the headline suggests. That's the first thing analysts quietly noted this morning. The real story is the capex revision. Meta raised its 2026 spending forecast to $125B–$145B, up from $115B–$135B just 90 days ago. The reason given: "higher component pricing." Translation AI infrastructure is getting more expensive faster than they modeled, and they're still spending anyway. This is the tension the market is pricing in today: Meta's AI bet is enormous, accelerating, and the returns are not yet visible in the revenue line. Meanwhile, user growth is plateauing. Daily Active People missed estimates at 3.56B, and free cash flow margins are compressing. The business is not broken. But the market is asking a very fair question: at what point does the spending become self-funding? Until Zuckerberg can answer that clearly, expect volatility every earnings cycle. (NFA)

🚨Jerome Powell holds his FINAL FOMC Press Conference as Fed Chair TODAY at 2:30 PM ET 🎙️ After 8 years leading the Federal Reserve, this is the last time he takes the podium as Chair.

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$SOFI Q1 2026: What the numbers actually say: Revenue of $1.09B beat estimates by 4%. EPS of $0.12 doubled YoY. Member growth hit 14.7M (+35% YoY) with a record 1.05M adds in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA up 62% to $340M. Net income: $166.7M. FY26 guidance: $4.655B revenue, $0.60 EPS. Solid across the board. The Muddy Waters short thesis is going to need some updating. (NFA)

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🚨BREAKING: $AMD just announced Advancing AI 2026, their flagship global AI event. 📅 July 23 | Moscone Center, San Francisco | In-person + Livestreamed This is AMD's equivalent of NVIDIA's GTC and this year's event could be their biggest yet. Here's what's expected to be announced: • Instinct MI450 AI accelerators next-gen data center firepower • EPYC Venice CPUs powered by Zen 6 architecture • Early previews of MI500 accelerators & Zen 7-based Verano CPUs •Major ecosystem partner & software stack announcements AMD is not chasing NVIDIA anymore. They're building a legitimate alternative open ecosystem, competitive silicon, and now a flagship event to prove it. (NFA)