JPARCVUE

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JPARCVUE

JPARCVUE

@ando34265

Independent research on Japanese SMID & growth equities. 13 yrs in software verification (Veriserve/SCSK), then 6 yrs in corporate strategy at Deloitte.

Tokyo Katılım Mart 2023
52 Takip Edilen172 Takipçiler
JPARCVUE
JPARCVUE@ando34265·
Nintendo (7974) Nintendo's TTM EPS has kept rising since Nov-25. Yet the share price and PER moved the opposite way over the same stretch TTM PER now sits around 20x, roughly back to where it was before Switch 2 launched in 2024. In other words, the growth premium the market had assigned to Nintendo over the past year has largely come off, at least by the numbers. Two readings are possible. One: the prior multiple was simply overextended, and this is a normalization. Two: guidance for FY2027 calls for hardware unit sales down roughly 17% y/y, alongside margin compression from rising component costs so the multiple compression may reflect a genuine repricing of slower forward growth, not just sentiment cooling. Which reading holds will likely become clearer with the August Q1 print.
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JPARCVUE
JPARCVUE@ando34265·
FOOD & LIFE COMPANIES (3563): Overseas operating profit is up 93 percent. A look at its sourcing, tech, and brand strength, and why the stock already reflects high expectations. open.substack.com/pub/jparcvue/p…
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JPARCVUE
JPARCVUE@ando34265·
Sansan (TYO: 4443) FY2026/5 full year results. Revenue 53.76 billion yen, up 24.4% year on year. Operating profit 8.19 billion yen, up 192.3%. Ordinary profit 8.17 billion yen, up 197.8%. Net income 6.78 billion yen, up sharply from a very low prior year base. Margin expansion is the key story here, not just top line growth.
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Capital Employed
Capital Employed@capitalemployed·
Best Stock Pitches newsletter just published. 50 ‘fresh-off-the-press’ stock pitches to get stuck into from fund managers and stock picking newsletters. Find your next idea > capitalemployed.com/p/50-top-stock…
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ゆる麻布
ゆる麻布@yuruazabu·
これな。
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ゆる麻布
ゆる麻布@yuruazabu·
これな。
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JPARCVUE
JPARCVUE@ando34265·
FOOD & LIFE COMPANIES (3563) Sushiro is opening its first US location this fall, taking over a three floor space near Times Square. The official menu will run past 100 items, and early coverage suggests it may include ramen and desserts like warabimochi alongside the sushi lineup. This is a small piece of a much larger story. The parent company, FOOD & LIFE COMPANIES (3563), runs one of Japan's largest conveyor belt sushi chains, and its overseas business is now growing far faster than its domestic one. Tomorrow I'm publishing a deep dive on FOOD & LIFE COMPANIES (3563). It covers the procurement model behind the company's cost structure, the lean IT setup behind its data driven operations, and how the Japan playbook gets adapted country by country as it expands abroad. Sushiro USA: sushiro-usa.com @jparcvue?r=8g5axd&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=stories&shareImageVariant=image" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@jparcvue?r=8g…
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Investment Wisdom
Investment Wisdom@InvestingCanons·
Howard Marks: “You should never buy into momentum, you should never buy something because it’s been going up... You should only buy it if you think it’s good value.”
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Barchart
Barchart@Barchart·
Semiconductor Stocks have officially entered a bear market after falling more than 20% since their June all-time highs
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JPARCVUE
JPARCVUE@ando34265·
Nintendo (7974) Nintendo's trailing and forward P/E, month by month, from March 2023 to July 2026. Trailing P/E uses the most recently reported annual EPS at each point in time, updated once a year at each earnings release. Forward P/E uses the company's own guidance for the following fiscal year, also updated annually. The gap between the two lines tells its own story. From mid 2024 through early 2025, forward P/E sat well above trailing P/E, reflecting market expectations running ahead of the company's own conservative guidance for Switch 2. Both peaked around August 2025. By July 2026, both had come back down close to levels last seen around early 2024.
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Made in Japan 🇯🇵
Made in Japan 🇯🇵@InvestInJapan·
There is a wonderful irony in the news that Saizeriya becoming less affordable (price hikes) is allowing me to afford more Saizeriya. Capitalism at it's finest. 🍝
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ゆず
ゆず@yuzz__·
Nintendo Switch2の販売数の予測。国内はファミ通の週間データが全期間分出ているので、かなり正確な数字です。海外に関しては販売データがないので、2026年3月期の任天堂本決算資料の、地域別の販売数実績から、あくまで前年と同様の傾向であった場合を想定して算出しています。
ゆず@yuzz__

■任天堂 第一四半期決算 Nintendo Switch2 販売台数予想 ※週間ファミ通の売上データから算出 月次まとめ ・4月(3/30〜4/26、4週):201,706台 →週次内訳: 3/30-4/5 59,543台、4/6-4/12 52,058台、4/13-4/19 44,280台、4/20-4/26 45,825台 ・5月(4/27〜5/31、5週):711,991台→ 値上げ直前駆け込み需要で大幅増。5/25価格改定 ・6月(6/1〜6/28、4週):100,166台 →値上げ後販売数急減。 →週次内訳: 6/1-6/7 23,059台、6/8-6/14 25,793台、6/15-6/21 26,435台、6/22-6/28 24,879台 ○国内4〜6月(第一四半期)合計: 1,013,863台 2. 海外売上台数の推定 ファミ通は日本国内のみのため、グローバル比率から推定。根拠となる比率(Switch 2 初年度実績ベース)FY2026通期、グローバル出荷 1,986万台。 地域内訳例: 日本28.5%(約566万台)、米国33.9%(約673万台)、その他地域 37.6%。 4〜6月推定、日本101.3万台をベースに、日本シェアを 25〜30% と仮定(初年度実績に近く、値上げ影響後も日本優位が継続したと推定) グローバル総売上推定: 約 340〜410万台(日本シェア28%中央値で約 364万台)。 海外売上推定約 240〜310万台(中央値約 262万台) ▼結論 日本101.6万台(28%) 海外262.4万台(72%) 合計364万台 任天堂の2027年3月期の年間販売計画1,650万台に対し、進捗率22%。 ※これはあくまで週間ファミ通の販売台数データと、初年度のNintendo Switch2の地域別の比率から算出した数字です。

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Continuous Compounding
Continuous Compounding@CompoundingUp·
How I touch grass is seeing a field of green in my stock portfolio!
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