Ari Daie

@Elena4416899103 @AlaliQasem You clearly don’t know anything about Iranians. Nice try

@arieldaie @AlaliQasem Даже если они были разъединены, бомбы Трампа их очень сплотили

Want to understand Iran’s negotiation strategy today? Don’t read the news. Read history. The Persian playbook is 2,500 years old. And it has never failed them. 🧵

The IRGC is a kleptocratic parasitic murder machine that squanders oil money and kills its people. It has no public support; that is why it resorts to censorship and terror. The Middle East's and Iran's specific problems would disappear with the elimination of the IRGC mafia.

@DrNeilStone This regime is such an ugly scar on the world. Everyday they demonstrate ugliness and savagery. Time for them to disappear forever.

5 million rials = 3 dollars...

@cenkuygur We all know you’re not a progressive. You’re a covert jihadist posing as a progressive to recruit the useful idiot progressives to your cause.

Trump is making the maximum Israeli demands of Iran. That they have no enrichment at all, they open up the Strait of Hormuz and they hand over their foreign policy to Israel and promise never to fund any allies. They will never agree to that. This is a way of guaranteeing war.

@Pro__Trading They’re not calling a bluff. They’re wishful thinking. There’s a huge difference.

Iran just refused to take part in a second round negotiations. They are officially calling Trump's bluff. What's he gonna do?

@tparsi You really must be deported. Go live in Iran with the rest of your puppet masters. You’re covert mullah in a tie. Everyone knows it. You can no longer hide it.

Due to poor discipline, Trump ends up prioritizing the optics of victory over actually getting a deal. Instead of using deescalatory signals from Iran to get closer to a deal, he declares victory and seeks Iran's humiliation, and by that he undermines his own diplomacy.

Typical how Obama admin twists things. Who ever said the main goal was keeping the straight open? No one. The main goal is to prevent the regime from having a nuclear arsenal that would allow them to fund proxy wars and extort the region with impunity. The secondary goal is to get rid of the regime entirely if they do not comply with the primary goal. Your only goal was to kick the can down the road, claim a false victory with the regime and enable a perpetually funded democrat party via an NGO and off-shore covert USAID-masked kick-back kleptocracy. You have no credibility, sir.

It seems like the main goal of the US campaign in Iran is to open the Strait of Hormuz which was open before the US invaded.

@AlaliQasem Btw, this is also why the regime so desperate desires a nuclear deterrent. As long as they can scare outsiders from invading or attacking, they can repressive brutalize the internal Persian people and maintain power.

There is one giant difference here. In all of your examples, the Persians were mostly united. They were a Persian plurality. In this case, the plurality of Persians see this current regime as THE foreign invader. This time, the enemy of the regime is inside its own walls. And the enemy of the Persians is the regime. Persians live in an open air prison they despise. They are longing for the moment they can rise and tear this regime apart. This regime does not have the same luxury of time on its side as the ancient Persians. So the regime can copy such tactics as much as they like, but they live in a very different context.

@defense_civil25 They just proved Trump’s point. These regime gangsters always only wanted a nuclear weapon to permanently shield themselves to continue spreading Islamo-nazism across the world with impunity.

🚨Alert: Iranian national security council announces it WILL NOT allow enriched Uranium to be transferred out of the country!!

@DanFriedman81 They’re basically diminished down to Somali pirate status. Regime losers who can’t even pay wages

People ask: If Iran lost the war, how can they close the Strait of Hormuz? Iran doesn't have a navy, an air force or any air defense. What they have is a "mosquito fleet" of guys with guns or shoulder-mounted rocket launchers on little speedboats who can attack ships the way Somali or Houthi pirates do. They have been reduced from a major regional power to being the guys from "Captain Phillips." Interfering with ships in this way is the only capability they have left after their navy and air defenses were annihilated and their ballistic missile capabilities were degraded by more than 90%.

@Osint613 She drinks too much

Former VP Kamala Harris on the war with Iran: "He entered a war, got pulled into it by Bibi Netanyahu, let us be clear about that, entered a war that the American people do not want, putting at risk American service members."

@BRICSinfo Or when excessive opium usage hits a Neanderthal regime member’s brain.

JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf says US President Donald Trump requested a ceasefire because Iran was winning on the battlefield.

@EricLDaugh This thug regime would act exactly the same way a day after any agreement would be signed. They are completely untrustworthy

🚨 JUST NOW: Iran is going full "TOUGH GUY" mode now, claiming to control the Strait of Hormuz and threatening to restrict movement if President Trump refuses to lift the blockade TRUMP HAS THE CARDS Either they bluff, or they FAFO.

@mszinck @AimenDean Hard for Iranians to hit the streets when simpers, high caliber arms bolted on pick up trucks are there to suppress them + foreign Shia militias who have zero regards for Iranian life.

@arieldaie @AimenDean Even if they do that Iranians have to revolt on the ground. We aren’t going to be sending troops into Iran.

For those wondering why we haven’t seen an uprising in Iran since the January 8–9 crackdown, the answer is on the streets. The regime is staging daily shows of force. Basij units, men and women, parading through cities - looking ridiculously like Ninja Turtles - with flags of the Islamic Republic and Hezbollah, backed by 23mm and 12.7mm machine guns… the kind you normally point at fighter jets and armoured vehicles, not civilians. It’s not a rally. It’s intimidation. The message is simple: don’t you even think about it. And ironically, this level of theatrics screams fear, not strength. A confident regime doesn’t need anti-aircraft guns to manage its own population. Which also explains the internet blackout, because once people can see, then they can organise! So instead, the regime may choose war over compromise. In their minds, it’s safer. If the Taliban could last 20 years, they think they can last 20 weeks. It’s a brutal calculation, and the Iranian people are the ones paying the price.🤦🏻‍♂️

@IlliniProgrammr @AimenDean I agree. No need for innocent Iranians to suffer. They’ve suffered enough for 47 years

@arieldaie @AimenDean On the same page as you, but blasted isn't surgical enough. If we are going to resume conflict, although we need to keep the JAGs out of it, we need to figure out how to keep the collateral damage to an absolute minimum.

@IranSpec @araghchi Might be the only time ever I agree with the IRGC, but frankly they’re all idiots

The IRGC just publicly called their own Foreign Minister @araghchi an “idiot.” It’s funny — but it signals something serious. Think of the Iranian regime as a mafia family. The “Godfather” (Khamenei) is dead — the figure that held everything together. Without him, the internal split is now exposed. Two blocs in the Mafia are now clashing over the war: Group A (≈60–70%) — Hardliners Ideological core. Prioritise martyrdom and confrontation. Willing to close the strait and fight the U.S./Israel indefinitely, even at catastrophic cost. “Iran” is secondary to ideology. These people genuinely want to be sent to Valhalla. Group B (≈30–40%) —Pragmatists More strategic. Understand that without engagement and sanctions relief, Iran risks collapse. But they lack the numbers and leverage to drive policy. That public insult isn’t random — it’s a visible crack in the power structure.

@WarMonitor3 regime is fractured. IRGC wing trying to overthrow poltical class and commence a military dictatorship. This is like the Nazi’s at the end of WW2 when German generals wanted to surrender.

Iran has not agreed to the next rounds of peace talks yet citing unreasonable US pressure and demands-Tasmim Something is up about all of this…

@EYakoby India should expel all of them today. The Iranian regime is not a friend to India.

BREAKING: India has summoned Iran’s ambassador following two incidents involving Indian-flagged vessels in the Strait of Hormuz being hit by the IRGC.