Aron Roberts

98.7K posts

Aron Roberts

@aronro

Consults with @BetterShowers, making great showerheads & @landimprinting, restoring damaged lands. Semi-retired after 31 years in IT @Cal. Opinions mine alone.

California, USA Katılım Mart 2009

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Aron Roberts@aronro·3d

If you have 16 minutes to spare this Saturday, take some time away from scrolling on Instagram, TikTok, or YouTube. Instead, go down this rabbit hole, starting out with a man discovering a mural in a rural McDonald's: youtube.com/watch?v=Df_K7p… #SaturdayVibes

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

"The ones who thrive long term are those who understand the real world is a neverending chain of absurdity, confusions, messy relationships, and imperfect people." – @morganhousel web.archive.org/web/2023020905…

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

There are, in fact, many actual conspiracies in life. And lots of formal and informal collusion. Yet with just about all, "too many things happen by accident and everything is too big to 'manage.'" (No matter whether negative outcomes result, or they're mitigated or thwarted.)

Kevin Ponder@TPLkillaKP

@lymanstoneky As a close student of history, I try to tell conspiracy theorists there is no secret cabal. Everything is too big to 'manage'. Too many things happen by accident and opportunists capitalize into power. Leaders chase invents, they do not create them.

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

We're all just winging it ... 5/5

die goldene horde@david_streever

@nxthompson @redsteeze Not actually vonnegut, but same sentiment

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

We're all just winging it ... 4/5

Aron Roberts@aronro

This take, by @oliverburkeman, is only a *slight* exaggeration. Applies to politics, corporations, & more ... "One of the most fundamental yet still under-appreciated truths of human existence, is this: everyone is totally just winging it, all the time." theguardian.com/news/oliver-bu…

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

We're all just winging it ... 3/5

Jessica Riedl 🧀 🇺🇦@JessicaBRiedl

An amazing yet totally accurate quote. There is no deep state, no grand conspiracy, no one steering the train, no smoke-filled back rooms filled with people secretly running the world. DC consists mostly of people faking it 'til they make it and then trying to beat the traffic.

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

We're all just winging it ... 2/5

Max Williamson@MaxXWilliamson

@nxthompson Just like this Jake Sullivan quote:

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Aron Roberts@aronro·8h

We're all just winging it ... 1/5

nxthompson@nxthompson

This is an amazing quote from Lindsey Graham about when he realized how politics works. theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/…

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Aron Roberts@aronro·23h

@optigrab1984 @Jesse_Livermore For some, yes. For others, a key reason for their support were his pledges to halt rising prices or even roll them back. (And generally, economic issues.) navigatorresearch.org/2024-post-elec… news.gallup.com/poll/651719/ec…

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Old man in the cave 💥@optigrab1984·1d

@Jesse_Livermore I thought he was elected to close Biden's wide open border.

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Jesse Livermore@Jesse_Livermore·1d

Think about how easy it would have been for a president to not screw this term up. Take office in '25, extend the tax cuts, then get out of the way. Done. Instead, we have a president who, at every turn, has dramatically exacerbated every problem he was elected to solve. Higher inflation (tariffs, fiscal recklessness, Iran debacle), higher rates (interference w/ the Fed), endless wars, plus some of the most disgusting corruption the office has ever seen (swamp?) Judged against a passive benchmark, this is without question the worst performance of any president in U.S. history.

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@razibkhan @___Branko___ @Sigdrifr Yikes! I'm so sorry. This is wrong on so many levels.

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Razib Khan 🧬 ✍️@razibkhan·1d

@___Branko___ @Sigdrifr it was pretty concise. like "people are concerned about what ya'll were talking about. you need a new place to meet"

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Razib Khan 🧬 ✍️@razibkhan·1d

i have a big social group in austin. most of us (not all) are right-leaning. we got banned from a local bar for whatever we were talking about (a bar we frequented regularly for 3 years). it is what it is lol

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Aron Roberts retweetledi

Scott Wessman@scottew·1d

Here are some things offhand that I am guessing build intellectual fitness: - Read longer works, especially books, especially older ones that have complicated sentences. - Write a letter or longer email to someone. - Do "mental math" for no reason, trying to calculate something before the answer is given to you. - Listen to or read material that is more complicated than you are used to. - Try to repair something that's broken. - Write long-range plans. - Have a very long conversation with one person (this is a top 3 reason to do road trips btw). - Memorize stuff.

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Aron Roberts retweetledi

Scott Wessman@scottew·1d

Over the last century physical fitness stopped happening naturally, and people have had to build exercise habits to offset naturally sedentary lives. We're now entering a default sedentary era for intellectual fitness, and we need to build intellectual exercise habits somehow.

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@greilsarriskirk @lymanstoneky +1 Throughout history, we imperfect humans have repeatedly shown we'll course-correct when things skew too far: politically, culturally, and socially. Even if we let things go quite far. With birthrate/fertility issues, we'll likely – however messily – figure this out, as well.

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StephenM@greilsarriskirk·2d

@lymanstoneky I think if the consequences of youthful population decline are truly as severe as suspected, by the time we hit 2075 there’s likely to be a major culutural backlash and social campaign/pressure to have more kids

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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬@lymanstoneky·2d

This has been extensively studied. There is essentially no persistent cross cultural genetic signal on fertility— which means the signals we do pick up absolutely can’t be extrapolated a century Even Amish fertility is falling. The line will go down. The righteous will not inherit the earth. Their communities will collapse too.

Aaron M. Renn 🇺🇸@aaron_renn

I disagree with @lymanstoneky's projection that fertility is going to continue falling at present rates throughout the century. There's likely at least some genetic component to differential fertility rates, which will shift us to a higher fertility register in the future.

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@ChannelingRBG @Malinowski +1 to your last sentence, especially! x.com/aronro/status/…

Aron Roberts@aronro

"The ones who thrive long term are those who understand the real world is a neverending chain of absurdity, confusions, messy relationships, and imperfect people." – @morganhousel

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Justice, Justice Thou Shalt Pursue@ChannelingRBG·2d

@Malinowski It feels like he sold his soul to save his own ass. Or the classic: “If you were living in Nazi Germany, what would you have done?” Sadly, Lindsey chose the foot soldier to fascism role. But, in the end, he continued to stand up for UKR and oppose VP. Humans are messy.🤷🏻‍♀️

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Tom Malinowski@Malinowski·2d

I once asked Graham about his political evolution, at an event hosted by the John McCain institute. He replied: "Trump won. We have to respect that. John is gone. And I'm still here. And I have to do something. I have to do something." 1/

CSPAN@cspan

Sen. @LindseyGrahamSC: "Mr. Vice President, just hang in there...you're going to do the right thing...it is over...Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are lawfully elected and will become the President and the Vice President of the United States on January the 20th."

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@CancellationCh1 @glukianoff @washingtonpost @thedispatch In other words, that FL law not only attempts (with merit) to rectify past viewpoint discrimination, but in so doing imposes its own discrimination constraints on faculty. Perhaps there are better ways to do this?

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@CancellationCh1 @glukianoff @washingtonpost @thedispatch At least from my own reading of FIRE’s take on that FL law, it’s the equivalent not just of using troops to enforce a desegregation ruling, but also punishing anyone who disagreed with that ruling, enforcement action, or policy.

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Greg Lukianoff@glukianoff·2d

The quote comes directly from the federal appeals court’s decision striking down Florida’s “Stop WOKE Act.” This week: that major victory, my latest in @washingtonpost, FIRE vs ICE in @thedispatch, and more! Catch it all here: eternallyradicalidea.com/p/victory-agai…

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@SamPieta @CoryBooker In 2018, Booker voted with a large number of Senate Republicans to enact the bipartisan First Step Act, a criminal justice reform law. senate.gov/legislative/LI… Booker was a co-sponsor, along with Republicans such as Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, and Rand Paul. booker.senate.gov/news/press/sen…

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Aron Roberts@aronro·1d

@SamPieta @CoryBooker He also voted with nearly all Senate Republicans to enact the bipartisan ADVANCE Act of 2023, to spur the development of nuclear power. senate.gov/legislative/LI…

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Cory Booker@CoryBooker·2d

I am stunned by Senator Graham's passing, and thinking back this morning about some of the work we did together. My prayers are with his family and all who cherished him. Rest in Peace.