Arvi

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Arvi

Arvi

@arvi

Statistician. PhD from @UofTStatSci, postdoc from @Princeton. Mostly tweet about sports

World Katılım Kasım 2007
524 Takip Edilen2.7K Takipçiler
Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@JeffVeillette Off the top of my head: 1. 2022 G6 Tampa 2. 2025 G6 Florida 3. 2020 G4 Columbus 4. 2024 G2 Boston
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@PeterLeafsFan @_knilanderthews I think that’s reasonable. I wouldn’t be upset at all if they took McKenna on that basis. But I don’t think it’s unreasonable to take Stenberg either
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Peter 🇨🇦
Peter 🇨🇦@PeterLeafsFan·
@arvi @_knilanderthews I started reading PPP almost 20 years ago and its been drilled into me that you always shoot your shot for the higher ceiling player
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A@_knilanderthews·
For due diligence purposes, someone talk me into Stenberg
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@TheLeafZone44 Big minute player on a genuinely good SHL team with the team winning his minutes pretty handily. Seems like he processes the game at a really high level, and is great along the boards / on the forecheck. Seems like a guy with great offense who will move the puck the right way
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LeafZone44
LeafZone44@TheLeafZone44·
@arvi I’ve seen a few people mention this, I’m also not a prospect guy but what are you seeing that leads you to this?
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
With the caveat that I know nothing about prospects, and have watched one (1) video about them each, I like Stenberg over McKenna.
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JFresh
JFresh@JFreshHockey·
@Chaplaooo a lot of it didn't age well
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JFresh
JFresh@JFreshHockey·
i have no idea if chayka will be any good. hopefully and presumably he'll be pretty good at marshalling the leafs' big non-player-salary money advantage
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@JeffVeillette It is wild to watch people retcon events I vividly remember as I experienced at the time. Sundin took a LOT of shit throughout his career, and was at times considered the poster child for the “good but not great reputation”the Leafs had in the Quinn era.
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Jeff Veillette
Jeff Veillette@JeffVeillette·
“Looked back on” and “group” are doing a lot of heavy lifting here. In the moment the losses were seen as underachievements and Mats took a ton of the blame, with his will and commitment constantly questioned. By the end we had the Muskoka Five. This is big-time retconning.
Port@selectionporto

@JeffVeillette Nonsense. Sundins era are generally looked back on as a group of guys who played hard, tried their best, fought until the end but werr not good enough to win. Worst case 1999 and 2002 conference finals were seen as missed opportunities. Comparing that era to core 4 is wild.

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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@MMGOLFSTUDIOS @RobertDowneyIII It’s much easier to improve your short game to avoid duffed/skulled chips, putts that go half the required distance, etc, than to start carrying your driver 250 with tight dispersion.
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MM🇺🇸
MM🇺🇸@MMGOLFSTUDIOS·
@RobertDowneyIII What’s the value in improving Your short fame when it takes you 5 to get there?
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Peter Leonard
Peter Leonard@PLeonard61032·
@arvi @alifakharany I do agree. Arsenal are not at that level. ClubELO LFC peaked at 2091, AFC at 2070 But also, I think the super high intensity nature of Klopp's LFC make them stand out more. Arsenal not allowing teams to even take a shot on goal is nowhere near as exciting - but it is effective
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Ali Elfakharany
Ali Elfakharany@alifakharany·
I think a lot of coverage of the PL would get better if people just stared at this chart before having any opinions. The average EPL team in 2009 is Wolves in 2026 True in 2019 as well when CityPool had 98-97 points.
Ali Elfakharany tweet media
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Peter Leonard
Peter Leonard@PLeonard61032·
@arvi @alifakharany Actually ClubELO doesn't include domestic cups, for that reason. It's domestic league and european leagues
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@PLeonard61032 @alifakharany Put another way, I’m hesitant to really dock Liverpool for losing to Wolves and Chelsea in domestic cups while starting none of Van Dijk, Alisson, Firmino, or Salah in either game.
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@PLeonard61032 @alifakharany Also, for raw wins, the change in CL format also has an impact. I guess I just find it hard to convince myself that the current Arsenal team is at that level, based on league and CL results.
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@PLeonard61032 @alifakharany Oh they definitely ran good (you basically have to in order to reach 98 points), but I thought elo was based on results, not xG? And city in that time were absurdly dominant by both.
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Peter Leonard
Peter Leonard@PLeonard61032·
@arvi @alifakharany I think a lot of stars aligned for Liverpool in those years. Take a look at xG numbers for those 2 years...
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@nhlsensandstuff Based on everything I’ve seen from him, this guy is either just consistently rage baiting or genuinely dumb.
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Alex Metzger
Alex Metzger@nhlsensandstuff·
Praising a team for having scorers under 30 is wild stuff. Flyers might be the best example of what not to do in a rebuild. Unless Martone is a legit T10 player (doubtful) they are destined to be the 12th - 20th best team in any given year. Absolutely wild reactionary take.
Drew Livingstone@ProducerDrew_

Penguins are a good example of what not to do. They built around an aging core to generate a playoff birth with no real chance to win Tear it down and rebuild properly Flyers top 6 point scorers all age 30 and under. Penguins top 6 all age 31 and older. Drastic difference

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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@Account4hockey Using AI is good. Having someone who doesn’t know the sport use it to suggest potential trades or roster moves is insane.
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#1 A'ja Wilson Fan
#1 A'ja Wilson Fan@Account4hockey·
Pelley using AI to summarize trade ideas when he has no hockey experience is a nothing burger. Every high level business is using AI to optimize workflows. AI is used to make internal tools that make tasks more efficient. The Leafs data team is almost certainly using AI coding tools to build models. Pelley isn't suggesting the next GM should ask chat gpt for free agent recommendations and any sources alluding to anything like this are just dinosaurs who dont understand modern technology.
Chris Johnston@reporterchris

New, for @TheAthletic with @jonassiegel and @mirtle: Inside the stunning fall of the Maple Leafs -- chaos, dysfunction and AI 🔗⬇️ nytimes.com/athletic/71943… nytimes.com/athletic/71943…

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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@jakebeleafs Golf style is almost universally hideous. Malbon/Jason Day have some real misses, but I like that they’re not just doing tech polo + spandex/poly blend pants.
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the grink
the grink@jakebeleafs·
Winning the masters in athleisure polyester khaki pants is a fucjing crime against humanity
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Arvi
Arvi@arvi·
@LinkofSunshine Isn’t this pretty clearly saying that he has too much reversion to 50%? When he says 35% it’s actually 30 and 65% is actually 70. I know the error bars are there, but each vertical line isn’t actually independent.
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