Alfredo Timermans 💚

1984年里根访华，随行竟藏着年轻"特朗普"？

📻 Empieza el #ForoCOPEDesafíos2027 con una mesa redonda moderada por @PilarGGranja 🔁 ‘Transformar organizaciones apostando por el bienestar emocional en tiempos de IA’ 🗣️ Gracia Burdeos, CEO de SPB, y Myriam Gimeno, CEO de Nealis ▶️ ver.cope.es/jzfrq

Este verano, en Fundación Querer, cada niño encuentra un espacio donde sentirse comprendido, acompañado y feliz mientras aprende y disfruta. Nuestro campamento de verano está pensado para niños de 4 a 15 años, con actividades adaptadas, atención individualizada y grupos reducidos en un entorno seguro y especializado. Un verano para crecer, compartir, descubrir nuevas capacidades y disfrutar siendo uno mismo. Plazas limitadas. Reserva antes del 15 de mayo. Más información: 91 340 30 83 admongabinete@fundacionquerer.org fundacionquerer.org/al-dia/ya-tene… #fundacionquerer #colegioquerer #educacionespecial #campamentodeverano

A lot of subscribers have asked what I made of the Nick Kristof oped. So much has already been said. What more is there to say? My first thought was everyone else's. Horrifying. Testimonies of pain and torture. We know that the Israeli Prisons Service is notoriously incompetent. There have been cases of Hamas prisoners abusing each other, and even famous cases of them abusing female Israeli guards. We know, too, that all prison systems struggle with the problem: New York prisons face 2,000 claims against them. So abuse of prisoners isn't merely possible, it's guaranteed. October 7 and the ensuing war sent thousands of detainees into the prisons. And in the early months, drafted into the system undertrained reservist guards. Guards who had seen Hamas's videos gleefully documenting their crimes. I expected, therefore, a hard-hitting story of real abuse, something Israeli leaders must take notice of. And then I came across the first obvious lie. And then the second. And then an odd claim -- maybe possible, but how exactly? -- and then another just like it. And a famed Hamas propagandist laundered as a reliable source. And then another. Why, if there is no doubt that abuse occurred -- and there is no doubt -- was there so much obvious propaganda in Kristof's oped? I won't pretend the lies weren't a relief. They were. It's agony to read about Israeli criminality, and the lies let me cast doubt on the whole narrative. There's an obvious propaganda campaign at work here. But as claim followed claim, it became hard not to wonder: Despite the propaganda, what part is nevertheless true? How bad has it gotten? So here's what we know, or at least what I think I know. This is a campaign that seeks our destruction. Kristof quotes people who celebrated October 7 and want Israel destroyed, and will lie to achieve that goal. We know how the lies in this story made their way into it, where they came from and what purpose they serve. Even so, I'm not willing to conclude there's no truth at all in there, just because there are lies. Dogs did not rape anyone. The people who invented that particular inanity claimed it without evidence, knowing that no one, certainly not self-appointed moral arbiters like Nick Kristof, would ever bother checking the provenance of the claim. Because they never, ever do. Because why would they? So the claim spreads through the millions-strong activist network without investigation, exciting and mobilizing -- not because anyone understands how it might be possible but for the sheer thrill of it. And it's cited by Kristof as a reliable report. A recent report by a Norwegian NGO, also referenced, claimed "systemic sexual violence" in the West Bank by citing just 16 cases across three years in a geographic region containing as many as three million Palestinians and over half a million Israelis. And some of the examples scarcely cleared the bar for harassment. But the NGO in question knew for a fact that no journalist would look too deeply into any of it. And indeed, no journalist did. Because they never, ever do. Because why would they? Friends, a paper trail is being created. Just like they created a paper trail on mass starvation in Gaza -- mass starvation first claimed in early 2024, and then claimed again and again by NGOs, the UN, everybody. Some were nuanced warnings of a "possibility," some declared it had arrived. The headlines from both were largely the same. And then, in thundering silence, the mass starvation claim just faded away, never having materialized -- while billions of ordinary people around the world who don't follow too closely remain convinced that countless Gazans died of starvation. So they moved on. A Lancet letter claiming hundreds of thousands of deaths spread like wildfire, mostly because (a) nobody actually read or understood what it claimed and (b) nobody cared enough to check if it was remotely plausible. Then, just in case anyone forgot Lancet, came the claim by UN rapporteurs of the deaths of hundreds of thousands of children -- 380,000 infants under five allegedly died, more than the entire population of infants in Gaza. Stupid, right? But it was repeated again and again by activists and protestors. No one checks, no costs are exacted for the never-ending barrage of fakery. Because why would they? A wild religious frenzy has taken hold. Hatred of Israel is now definitional to the left, and to parts of the right. Greta Thunberg has forgotten all about climate change. An enemy of humanity has been identified just in time to unleash all the pent-up religious rage that this troubled secular age won't allow against anyone else. And by complete and utter coincidence, that enemy you're suddenly allowed to hate is vaguely associated with the Jews. Yes, alas, it really is that simple. But also, dear friends -- bear with me -- it isn't. All the above is true. They're fucking liars and bigots. They marched in their millions, again and again and again, for weeks and months and years -- marches completely unprecedented in their size, regularity and duration in all the history of the West, in all the history of war, larger by orders of magnitude than all other marches for all other conflicts and wars and suffering combined, even those caused by their own governments. And no serious person pretends that anything similar could ever have coalesced or will ever coalesce again unless Israel is involved. "But we fund you," shouts the American activist to explain this mind-numbing selectivity. Then why did one-third of the city of Amsterdam march? Or millions of Spaniards, Brazilians and Indonesians? It was unprecedented and it was everywhere. And Kristof has joined the new religion. Not by being concerned about abuse, but by not caring one whit whether he's trafficking in truths or lies. Only the Jews will ask to distinguish between the two. He just needs to throw it all on the page, and his membership in the glorious crusade is assured. Alas, the Jews are correct about the nature of this moment. Some things are so big and fundamental, so assumed and widespread, that they become hard to see. Fish don't notice the water. Activists who can only ever march against Jews are convinced they are merely righteous people enraged by war, without ever pausing to wonder why the only war that ever enraged them or ever made its way to their phones was one particular war, and not larger and deadlier wars also conducted with Western weapons and money. And so the Jew is made fearful once more. Throughout Christendom and Islam, he is being returned to his proper place in the social hierarchies of old, complete with anxious conversos and ideological purity tests. And yet, still, despite it all, their lies aren't the end of the story. Their lies are a separate story. A campaign of lies that constitutes a return to the mean for the Jewish condition in the West. A campaign meant to justify brutality against us, not to end war or suffering. And despite all of it, dear Jews, there really is abuse. It's nowhere near as much as the psychotic claims of these fantasists. Not by orders of magnitude. If it was, they wouldn't need to lie so much. But it's there nonetheless. Many dozens of cases at least, probably in the low hundreds by now, most of them without any sexual aspect, but still wanton violence. Exact numbers are hard to come by, but the army gave a few estimates to the courts a couple of times over the past three years. There have been many indictments filed against soldiers, serious ones. I know something about a handful of those cases. I know that the problem is real. It's there, it's real, and it doesn't seem to be stopping. And if it isn't stopped with an iron will and uncompromising hand, it will continue to fester and grow. And it must be said: neither Ben Gvir nor Netanyahu are interested in fixing it. Nobody at the top cares about the rights of prisoners. Let me be clear: For the first time in my life, I support a death penalty. No one who crossed over the border to massacre and kidnap on October 7 should be left alive; they came to kidnap children precisely because they sought the release of mass murderers kept alive in our prisons. Hamas, as always, in its totalizing brutality, forces the choice: If their murderers live, our children may die. I choose our children. And those who came for our children cannot be deterred, reformed or deradicalized. They murder their own to clear a path to murdering ours. And so I believe they must die. We must try, convict and destroy them. And even I, radicalized in this narrow, specific way, say we cannot collapse into torture or abuse. That's not justice. It isn't even vengeance. It is participation in Hamas's way of war. Nor do our leaders seem to care about the simple breakdown of discipline that these abuses represent, the kind of breakdown we saw again and again with the incidents of looting in Gaza and in the early cases of prisoner abuse that came to light. No, dogs aren't being trained to systematically rape prisoners, you nattering halfwits. And no, Hamas propaganda operatives are not reliable sources on the question of Israeli crimes. The vast, vast majority of soldiers are honorable men who walked into fire so our families may live. The whole world may turn on them; I will stand with them, grateful for their sacrifice. And Kristof, a willing purveyor of propaganda happily feigning that he can't see the water and thrilling to a moral crusade engineered by would-be genocidaires he pretends not to understand -- is no messenger of moral reckoning. But friends, so fucking what. Let the narcissistic guttersnipes strut their moral emotions before the world, let the UN publish endless reports that don't hold up to basic scrutiny, let the NGOs dream their rabid, sick dreams that no journalist ever fact-checks -- yes, they're lying. But so fucking what. We still, for ourselves -- because fuck them -- must see that it isn't all fake. The problem is real. It's far smaller than they claim, but real nonetheless. And when discipline and morality break down, it can only get worse. We either crack down now or we watch it fester and grow. And our own Ben Gvirs are stubbornly refusing to fix what is actually broken, the real thing in the real world. And so we are caught in a strange sort of vise, the same vise we find ourselves in with the genocide lie: A vast propaganda machine that seeks to destroy us -- countless activists too high on their own self-regard to see the irony of raging against a "genocide" while calling for the erasure of a people -- all while our own incompetent, venal, self-absorbed political class insist in their mindless chatter on confirming every claim of our enemies for sheer, bald egomania. I'm sick of it all. I know you're all sick of it too. And that, in a nutshell, is what I think about this. Just because they're lying, just because a vast perfidious campaign has overwhelmed global elites in a bid to clear the way for our removal, just because they're still, after two millennia, building their visions of redemption on The Evil Jew -- doesn't mean there isn't also, separately, a problem on the ground. So what do we do now? Simple. We see it, we acknowledge it's happening, we bring our rage to our inept leaders until they bend to our will and act to stop the breakdown... And we soldier on. We soldier on because the enemy really is coming to murder us. Because Hamas must still go if Gaza is ever to rise to a new day. Because Hezbollah will yet destroy Lebanon on the altar of destroying us. Because the ayatollahs built their whole damn religion on the extermination of our children. We fix the broken things within us as if the pogromists and their simpering Kristofs don't exist. We owe no answers to the propagandists who seek to clear a path to our deaths. But we do owe answers to ourselves. Let the screaming mob rage and churn like so much sea-foam. Despite that raging mob, despite the enemy who still seeks our destruction, and yes, despite feckless incompetents like Ben Gvir, our minister of prisons, who claim to lead us -- we remain the strongest, freest Jews who ever lived, more capable and committed than our self-destructive enemies ever imagined. And the task is still before us, yet to be completed, the sacred duty given to our generation to ensure our children don't have to face the genocidaires who now surround us. We do not waver, we do not stumble. We soldier on. Because fuck them all.

Si esto se confirma es, como dice @lugaricano, una muestra más del estado de podredumbre de X. Pero X, afortunadamente, no es el único canal por el que discurre el debate público. Toca conjurarnos, en beneficio de todos, para que @Jongonzlz persista de otros modos.

Anthropic showed a 24-minute workshop on how to actually prompt Claude. Taught by the people who built it. Free. No signup. No paywall. I've watched $300 courses that don't cover what they teach in the first 8 minutes.

Gracias a los compañeros @federacionARTVE por la #AntenaDePlata de la Radio. Gracias a @COPE por darme la oportunidad de hacer radio. Gracias a los compañeros de @MediodiaCOPE por enseñarme cada dia y GRACIAS a los 640K oyentes diarios. Solo queda seguir contando con profesionalidad y humildad lo que pasa cada dia, como el primer dia. 😘

Este post de apoyo a @Jongonzlz está escrito y publicado conjuntamente con @JesusFerna7026. El sistema público de pensiones contributivas en España se encuentra en una situación muy complicada. El sistema actual ofrece a los cotizantes una rentabilidad real implícita anual del 3,63 %. Dado el crecimiento de los cotizantes y de la productividad en España, esta tasa está al menos dos puntos porcentuales por encima de la que garantiza la sostenibilidad del sistema a largo plazo. De manera más sencilla: el valor presente descontado de las pensiones contributivas es aproximadamente un 60 % mayor que el valor presente descontado de las cotizaciones. Los jubilados contributivos en España están recibiendo mucho más de lo que pagaron. Esta rentabilidad excesiva ha generado un problema fundamental: un déficit del sistema contributivo de unos 61.000 millones de euros (el de verdad, no el de las cuentas del Gran Capitán que incluyen las transferencias del Estado) y que no deja de crecer. Este déficit genera presiones sobre las cuentas públicas que limitan la capacidad de las administraciones públicas para implementar muchas políticas necesarias, desde la educación hasta la infraestructura. Y desde el punto de vista de la equidad intergeneracional, esta rentabilidad excesiva nos ha colocado en la paradójica situación de que las personas de 65 a 85 años tienen la renta disponible más alta de todos los grupos de edad en España. El sistema necesita una reforma profunda. Por ejemplo, es clave reintroducir un factor de sostenibilidad en el valor de las pensiones que considere el crecimiento de los cotizantes, la productividad y la esperanza de vida. Muchas economías avanzadas han introducido estos factores e incluso España avanzó en esa dirección hasta la reforma Escrivá de 2021-2023. Jon González, @Jongonzlz, de manera casi solitaria, ha acometido una labor impagable de documentar esta situación (y otros temas clave de nuestra economía), y ha conseguido poner a la sociedad frente al espejo de la insostenibilidad de la situación actual. Desgraciadamente, el sistema político no tiene ninguna gana de enfrentarse a este problema. La edad mediana del votante español está en torno a los 51 años. Uno de cada tres electores tiene 60 años o más; uno de cada cuatro ha cumplido 65 años. Si se suman a los 15 millones de inactivos en edad de votar los casi 3 millones de empleados públicos, el resultado es que más de la mitad del censo electoral residente en España vive de una transferencia o de una nómina pagada con impuestos. La aritmética básica de cualquier elección en España descansa, por tanto, sobre un electorado en el que la minoría la constituyen los asalariados del sector privado en edad activa. Pedir a un partido con vocación de gobierno que recorte la rentabilidad implícita de las pensiones contributivas es pedirle que confronte directamente a su votante mediano. Ningún sistema político hace eso voluntariamente y el español no es la excepción. Por eso, en lugar de hablar de números, se busca descalificar al mensajero. Desafortunadamente, las narrativas maniqueas de buenos y malos—si eres bueno, prefieres pensiones altas; si no eres malo o estás a sueldo de los malos, tienen éxito en España porque nuestra conversación nacional se centra siempre en la “justicia” o la “moralidad” y nunca en los números. Es normal: somos un país con poca tradición de análisis riguroso y, menos aún, de análisis basado en los números. “Mi abuela merece una pensión más alta” siempre es más fácil de explicar que “la rentabilidad real implícita del sistema está por encima de lo que nos podemos permitir”, y, además, le coloca a uno en el “lado bueno”: el de los que quieren dar más dinero, no menos, como los malvados economistas. Pero lo realmente preocupante no es que se intente descalificar al mensajero en lugar de analizar sus argumentos. Lo que se busca es poner en riesgo su situación profesional. Ante las órdenes de la Moncloa, cualquier trabajo en España es precario. Nosotros mismos lo experimentamos en carne propia cuando, en 2012, se nos despidió de FEDEA, una fundación con la que colaborábamos, por orden directa y explícita de Moncloa. Ya no es una cuestión de si uno está de acuerdo o no con Jon. Es algo mucho más importante. ¿Se puede analizar la realidad económica de España sin que las jaurías mediáticas busquen tu “cancelación” profesional? Es este el momento de decir las cosas claras y mostrar nuestro apoyo absoluto y total a Jon. Por eso hemos tomado la decisión inusual de publicar este post simultáneamente. Jon, te agradecemos profundamente lo que haces.

Ken Griffin at Milken: “What the mayor of New York has made clear to my partners, and principally my New York partners, is that we need to double down on our bet in Miami"

Principles in media? Sometimes they work jewishinsider.com/2026/04/politi…

Tu hijo no tiene ansiedad. Lo que tiene es falta de hambre. Y la culpa es tuya. Ayer despedí a un chico de 22 años a los diez minutos de empezar su periodo de prueba. ¿El motivo? Me preguntó cuántas pausas para el café tenía y si el trabajo era "presencial obligatorio" porque le generaba estrés el transporte público. Le di su mochila y le abrí la puerta. Sin drama. Sin explicaciones. Estamos en 2026 y hemos creado un monstruo: el profesional de cristal. Gente que cree que el sueldo es un derecho de nacimiento y que el esfuerzo es "explotación". Me dicen: —"Es que los tiempos han cambiado, ahora priorizamos el bienestar". Mentira. Priorizáis la mediocridad. Priorizáis el camino fácil mientras el resto del mundo os pasa por la derecha sin pedir permiso. El éxito no es apto para gente que necesita un "espacio seguro" cada vez que recibe una crítica. El dinero no fluye hacia los que esperan que la empresa se adapte a sus traumas infantiles. Si te ofende este texto, felicidades: eres parte del problema. Eres de los que piensan que "ser amable" es más importante que ser eficiente. Eres de los que confunden tener una opinión con tener resultados. He visto a padres arruinarse pagando carreras privadas para que sus hijos terminen llorando en un hilo de X porque su jefe les ha pedido que lleguen puntuales. ¿Quieres ayudar a tu hijo? Deja de protegerlo de la realidad. Deja de validar sus excusas. Enséñale que el mundo es un lugar hostil que desayuna gente con "potencial" y merienda gente con "títulos". La verdadera salud mental es ser capaz de sostener tu vida sobre tus propios hombros sin pedirle a los demás que carguen con tu peso. Aquel chico se fue llamándome "boomer". Yo me volví a mi mesa a trabajar con gente que sabe que, en el barro, las etiquetas de cristal no sirven para nada. El mundo no te debe nada. Aceptarlo es el primer paso para dejar de ser un estorbo.

In his fake White House correspondents speech @JimmyKimmelLive actually joked about Trump’s assassination — just before a real assassin showed up at the real dinner. Hey @DisneyABCTV when the hell are you finally going to pull this vile person from the airwaves?

🫣 Susana Díaz revive el Comité Federal de 2016: "Lo tengo grabado a fuego. Esas cosas no se olvidan” 🗣️ “¿Cómo se pudo permitir esto, cómo es posible que nadie lo denunciara?... Quizá me equivoqué en no haber hablado más” La expresidenta andaluza rompe su silencio sobre aquella polémica reunión sobre la que sobrevuela la sospecha de pucherazo #susanadíaz #expresidenta #andalucía #comitéfederal

This version of Like A Prayer is viral on TikTok... I need it injected into my veins.

Los hombres no tenemos “vulnerabilidades” y mucho menos queremos abrazos. Cuando nos ocurre algo devastador, sufrimos como perros mientras lo enterramos en el pozo más oscuro de nuestra alma, bajo presiones de trillones de pascales, hasta que el dolor se convierte en un diamante y salimos de ahí renacidos y sin acordarnos de lo que antes tanto nos preocupaba. Los hombres no acumulamos rencores, ni nos acordamos de quien nos jodió en el pasado, ni tenemos memoria emocional: estamos programados para adaptarnos, superarlo todo y seguir viviendo, y por eso nuestra fantasía preferida es la de ser el último superviviente (junto a Sidney Sweeney) de un holocausto nuclear en un planeta Tierra infestado de zombis. Los hombres que no lo consiguen, los “vulnerables” que se quedan atascados en historias y rencores pasados, son psicópatas y acaban saliendo en las noticias. Un tío normal jamás comerá sopa recalentada a no ser que esté cucú. Por eso nos producen un rechazo instintivo los “aliados”: porque son tóxicos, peligrosos, narcisistas y violentos. Pero eh, nadie aprende en culo ajeno, así que adelante con los “vulnerables”, milady.

A Chinese firm, MizarVision, posted detailed satellite imagery of U.S. forces in the Middle East while not disclosing its data sources. @ChinaSelect analysis found @AirbusSpace satellites had multiple daily windows, up to 10 hours, where they could have captured imagery of U.S. troop positions before the Iran conflict. That imagery later appeared online via a China-based AI company. "These documented facts present a troubling scenario: 1. A Chinese firm with undisclosed satellite sourcing published precise, annotated imagery of U.S. military assets at a specific base. 2. That imagery identified the exact aircraft types that were subsequently destroyed in a precise Iranian strike. 3. A technical analysis suggests Airbus Space satellites were the most plausible sources for that imagery,” concludes Chairman @RepMoolenaar. chinaselectcommittee.house.gov/media/press-re…

Desde que entró en vigor la prohibición de redes sociales para menores de 16 años en Australia (el 10 de diciembre de 2025), el servicio de ayuda Kids Helpline ha recibido casi 100 llamadas en las primeras tres semanas que mencionaban directamente el veto. Entre quienes llaman hay adolescentes suicidas, muy angustiados, con discapacidades o que se sienten aislados. Muchos dicen haber perdido sus redes de apoyo, amistades digitales de largo tiempo y herramientas que usaban para manejar la ansiedad, las ganas de autolesionarse o la soledad (como distraerse con YouTube o chatear con amigos). No solo llaman los jóvenes sino también padres preocupados que contactan con el servicio por conflictos en casa, rabietas, comportamientos regresivos, discusiones constantes y niños que se esconden con los dispositivos o se niegan a relacionarse con la familia. El mayor nivel de angustia se observa en niños de 10 a 14 años, especialmente en niñas y en jóvenes neurodivergentes (como aquellos con autismo), que usaban las redes para sentirse conectados y no solos, sobre todo si sufrían acoso escolar. Expertos como la Dra. Lisa Harrison señalan que el cambio es difícil porque las redes generan “golpes de dopamina” y muchos jóvenes las usaban para combatir la soledad nocturna o el estrés. El artículo muestra los primeros efectos negativos inmediatos de la medida, aunque el gobierno sigue evaluando su cumplimiento (ya se desactivaron millones de cuentas) y planea más regulaciones. Kids Helpline y otros servicios siguen ofreciendo apoyo a familias que lo necesitan durante esta transición.

ESA vs SpaceX Elon Musk gründete SpaceX im Mai 2002. Sein privates Startkapital betrug etwa 100 Millionen US-Dollar. Zum Börsengang wird die Firma mit etwa 1,75 Billionen USD bewertet. Elon Musk hat sein Kapital um den Faktor 17.500 vervielfacht. Die Europäische Weltraumorganisation (ESA) wurde seit dem Jahr 2000 von Steuerzahlern mit etwa 130 Mrd. € finanziert. Es wurden keine bedeutsamen Werte erschaffen. Die Raketentechnologie gilt als veraltet und überteuert. Warum so viele Deutsche auf staatliche Strukturen schwören, ist mir ein Rätsel.

Since Trump took office, over 352,000 Federal employees have been fired, resigned, or retired and were not replaced. The Federal workforce is smaller today than at any point since 1966.