autonomous

X is flooded with "gurus" & hindsight traders. professionalism in this space is rare. as a professional hedge fund trader, i’m bringing the exact concepts & curriculum taught at some of the biggest funds directly to this community for free. 🦾 autonomousmarkets.io

$GOOGL: We are compute constrained in the near term... our cloud revenue would have been higher if we were able to meet the demand

What AI bubble?? GPU rental prices are up 40% over the last 6 months. This isn’t air, it’s driven by real token demand. Top 2 AI labs now generate almost $60 billion aggregate annual revenue. Market is concentrated as the top companies have become so big, but this isn’t because of hefty valuations. It’s just the insane strength of their fundamentals. $NVDA is trading at 25x forward earnings. $CSCO was trading at 130x forward earnings in March 2000. You can say the market is optimistically valued, but it’s nowhere near a bubble. If you short the market based on this.. oh boy you are going to get really disappointed.

Food for thought. Here we go again: the ‘AI is a bubble’ narrative has been dragged back onto center stage. The cycle is predictable: markets wobble, media outlets rediscover skepticism, and for the next 48 hours everyone pretends this is a fresh insight rather than the same tired reflex dressed up as analysis.

DB notes the squeeze higher in positioning is warranted after price was starkly disconnected from the exceptionally strong earnings growth experienced in Q1.

"Why are stocks surging despite [insert problem in the world] ? " Profits. $SPX

@ColeAtMassive @massive_com Hey Cole-thanks! That sounds great. Could you turn on your DMs or DM me so I can send you my email? Thanks again!

@autonomousxai @massive_com Hey there, We don't yet have an ETA for the full Futures dataset release, but I'd be happy to add you to the beta. Just drop your Massive account's email here or send me a direct message and I'll get you access.

@massive_com when is your futures data going to be live? And any chance I can join the private beta?

Credit spreads tightened the past two weeks

Predictably the war headlines turn negative on the weekend. But … the market isn’t stupid. This rally is also tied to an easing of the other fundamental concerns around AI bubbles, AI disruptions, private credit and the labor market.

@L2WTrades This is bullshit lmao. If this were true then quant firms would've automated the rules and the alpha would be gone

The market tells you the entire day's direction before 9:30 AM even opens Not with indicators. Not with news. Not with "gut feeling" With a single candle that printed 3 hours before you woke up 95% of retail traders show up at 9:30 blind. The 5% who check this one thing already know which way the market is going before the opening bell rings Here's what nobody teaches you: Every trading day has a script. And the script gets written between 2:00-6:00 AM while you're sleeping It works like this: The market moves in sessions. Asia. London. New York. Each session has a job. And if you understand the job of each session, you already know what the next one is going to do before it opens The sequence: If the previous session REVERSED - the next session CONTINUES If Asia reversed? London continues. If London reversed? New York continues. If no session reversed? New York is the reversal That's it. That's the entire daily script. The market rotates between reversal and continuation across sessions. It has done this every single day for decades Here's how the script actually plays out: SCENARIO 1: London reversal -> New York continuation London opens at 2:00 AM. It pushes price into a key level - previous day's high or low, a fair value gap, a relevant swing. It sweeps the liquidity. It reverses. By 6:00 AM, London has already decided the direction The 6:00 AM candle confirms it. If it swept a high and closed back below it - bearish day. If it swept a low and closed back above it — bullish day Now New York opens at 9:30. The direction is already decided. NY's job is not to figure out where the market is going. NY's job is to CONTINUE what London started This is why the 9:30-11:00 window is so powerful. You're not guessing. You're continuing a move that's already confirmed Price opens. It pulls back into a fair value gap that London's expansion created. That gap is your entry. Stop behind the gap. Target the next liquidity pool. Done by 10:30 SCENARIO 2: No previous session reversed → New York reversal Asia consolidated. London consolidated. No session made a move. No expansion. No gaps. No direction This means New York has to do it. 9:30 is the reversal session This is where the volume comes in. 8:30 news or 9:30 open - institutions use this to push price into a key level, grab liquidity, and reverse You wait for the sweep. You wait for the displacement. You wait for the V-shape signature - aggressive move in, aggressive move out, gap forms. That's your reversal confirmation SCENARIO 3: Asia reversal → London and New York continue This is the highest probability day. Asia already put in the low or high of the day. Every session after just expands in the same direction When Asia is the low of day, the 4-hour candles that form after will be expansion candles. Those expansion candles create gaps. Those gaps are your entries for London and New York continuation You mark the gap within the previous 4-hour candle's range. You wait for price to pull back into it. You enter. Same direction all day. Multiple opportunities. Same setup repeating The model behind all of this: Price only does two things. It moves from internal liquidity to external liquidity. Then back. Forever Internal = fair value gaps. Where orders didn't fill. Where price returns External = swing highs and lows. Where stops sit. Where price sweeps Price sweeps external -> fills internal -> targets opposite external Every session. Every day. Every asset. Every time frame The session just tells you WHEN the next leg of that cycle starts How I use this every morning: 6:00 AM - Check the 4-hour chart. Did the previous session reverse or just consolidate? If London reversed, I'm trading New York continuation. If nobody reversed, I'm trading New York reversal 6:05 AM - Mark the 6 AM candle. Did it sweep a key level and close back inside the range? Reversal day. Did it expand through? Continuation day 9:15 AM - Mark the gap from London's expansion. That's my entry zone. Mark the next external liquidity. That's my target 9:30 AM - Watch for price to pull back into the gap. If I'm trading continuation, I want a shallow retracement. If I'm trading reversal, I want the V-shape 9:45 AM - Entry confirmed. Stop behind the gap. Target the next draw on liquidity 10:30 AM - Either in profit or stopped out. Done 11:00 AM - Laptop closed. Day is over A trader I work with used to show up at 9:30 and "react to price action" for 6 hours. 43% win rate. Breaking even after fees I told him one thing: check what the previous session did before you sit down He started profiling sessions. London reversed? He only looked for continuation. Nobody reversed? He waited for the 9:30 sweep and reversal setup. No setup in the first 90 minutes? He closed the laptop Same strategy. Same setups. Same risk. Added one filter Win rate went from 43% to 64%. First funded account within 60 days. Now he's done trading by 10:30 every morning He didn't learn a new strategy. He learned to read the script that the market writes every morning before he wakes up The sessions tell you the direction. This model tells you the entry. The gap tells you where. The sweep tells you when Most traders spend 6 hours searching for setups that the market already showed them at 6 AM The script is free. It prints every single morning. You just have to learn to read it Or keep showing up at 9:30 blind and wondering why you're not profitable Your choice (I teach session profiling and the model i use inside my free Discord. Live every morning before the open. Link in bio. DM me "SYSTEM" for 1-on-1 coaching)

@omohammed90 Yes. Of course we may retrace part of this move but it won’t get bad as it was /retest lows imo. Markets didn’t really go super risk off on the war, and hit ATHs on slightest hint of it stopping. It’s kind of telling us where the market wants to be.

@autonomousxai Oh wow so you see things are still bullish?

Goldman: Net trading flows and positioning have not fully caught up, in our view. US equities on the Prime book are modestly “net sold” MTD. There is scope for net positioning to keep rising from current levels and climbing the wall of worries in the near-term (particularly as earnings resiliency comes through). Higher.

@yuriymatso Congrats Yuriy

My NQ / ES futures strategies portfolio hit a new equity peak this week. Most of the strategies were developed in 2024 and some in 2025. Congrats to everyone running them! Details: futalgo.com/portfolio

CHEAP MAG7s On a forward P/E basis, the Mag7 now screens attractive relative to the rest of the S&P 500. The valuation premium versus the other 493 stocks is near an 8-year low. Shawn Tuteja at GS notes this idea has increasingly coming up in client conversations ahead of earnings season. $NVDA $MSFT $META $AAPL $GOOG

@bcherny @HackingDave Dude you should know... the code and reasoniong from Claude Code is now TRASH

@HackingDave What issues do you have in mind? Here to help if there’s a specific bug you’re running into

Think about all the orgs using Claude right now that have no idea how bad it has become over the past 4 weeks ago. No statement from Claude - but a total revert to where the model was a year ago - which in comparison to when 4.6 got released is effectively last years AI model. The amount of bugs, security issues, and complete destruction of production applications is going to be felt for quite a long time due to this. Claude: nothing to see here.

If you're building a watchlist of names where the market is pricing in existential risk that the fundamentals don't support — NOW belongs at the top. The best time to look at best-in-class compounders is when everyone else is panic selling them. Not financial advice. Do your own work.

the valuation compression is absurd: you're getting a 20% compounder on a $13B base at a historically low multiple. that almost never happens with NOW.

🚨GENERATIONAL BUYING OPPORTUNITY SERVICENOW $NOW ServiceNow is at $89, down 65%. The market is pricing in AI killing SaaS. Problem is, NOW is arguably the most AI-resistant name in the entire sector. Here's why this might be the best risk/reward in software right now. 🧵