awodias

I Have a Dream. That One Day, the world’s most advanced intelligence — whether it’s called GPT, Fable, DeepSeek, or something else Just Does Not Matter~ — will be just like electricity and water supplt today. Cheap. Stable. High‑quality. It will power all kinds of AI software, the way electricity powers all of akindsppliances. We’re still living in the era when the light bulb was just invented. There will be countless AI applications in the future. That’s why token production and token transportation — as the underlying infrastructure — will be the most important infrastructure build of the next 10 to 30 years. This is an industry‑wide upgrade. A benefit to all of society. And this is exactly why I strongly oppose closed‑source models. #AGIForEveryone How can we let infrastructure — something as essential as water and electricity — become a luxury for the few? How can we expect people to pay such exorbitant bills? #路长而歧行则将至 #我心匪石不可转也 #AI #Infrastructure #OpenSource #TokenEconomy

Today we're releasing Agora: the first ever pretraining stack that allows non-collocated consumer GPUs to be competitive with centralized clusters Agora is 15x faster than Megatron-LM in this setting and is only 1.5x less efficient in terms of tokens per unit compute than TorchTitan on H100s, despite running on devices that have no NVLink or InfiniBand support.

Huge congratulations to the @SpaceX team on a historic IPO debut. Fueling the next frontier of space and AI. 🌌 NVIDIA's partnership with SpaceX spans nearly a decade, from hand-delivering the world's first #NVIDIADGX-1 supercomputer in 2016 to the custom DGX Spark handoff at Starbase. Together, we've been pushing the boundaries of accelerated computing to help power the future of space exploration.

Liftoff! First $SPCX trade complete 🚀

I love the incredible people of SpaceX beyond words

@aleabitoreddit what might be the next catalyst for $AAOI or photonics in general?

Just some reflection, my core high conviction ideas from 2025 aged super well! From $ALAB: $97-> $372 $LITE: $330 -> $904 $AAOI: $30 -> $175 And others like $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM! This was back when I had close to no followers! I got some nuances slightly off before more information was made public. Lost conviction on ALAB along the way with optical transitions. But this was back when AAOI and others were small $3B companies (~$14B now). So maybe some others in the same range today like $SIVE should get some more attention? But I’m happy a lot of them aged super well. And I think a large part of my recent following growth is just other seeing my ideas like $AXTI get validated over time.

There was interesting research published called "Democratization of Retail Trading". That did a study on 1.6 Million $RDDT WSB comments. and found: 1. "WSB outperformed almost all investment banks at detecting top-performing stocks." 2. "Their average returns compete with the best investment banks and outperform them in certain cases." Their conclusion? "We conclude that WSB may indeed constitute a freely accessible, valuable source of investment advice." I do find WSB is really early to names like $RKLB, $HOOD, and others, but often get timing extremely wrong (with options). I think X is where all the alpha is at nowadays.

📣 Get a first look at the NVIDIA Photonics co-packaged optics switch with @LambdaAPI. At NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 scale, the network doesn't just move data between GPUs — it determines how fast your cluster thinks. Co-packaged optics cut switch power, reduce failure points, and deliver more tokens per watt. Here's what that looks like in practice. ➡️ nvda.ws/4otSAoz

利弗莫尔买入法！！ 严格去执行，你很难被套到亏。

There is really nothing to signal slowing in the AI expansion. This is just a correction from some stocks being screamingly overvalued. But the fundamentals march on: TSMC: Jan–May 2026 +30.0% YoY China is preparing to spend ~2 trillion yuan (~$295bn) over five years building a nationwide network of interconnected AI data centers - they will probably need to spend a lot more in the future to keep up. Fujikura CEO Naoki Okada said the company is on track to beat its outlook thanks to sustained AI datacenter fiber-cable demand and a plan to raise prices. SK Hynix Plans to double memory capacity over the coming half-decade; says deficit could last till 2030 and "will do whatever it requires" to fund wafer expansion.

$NVDA Networking Senior Vice President refuting recent analyst reports on delays: - “ the most exciting stuff is co-packaged optics.” - There is no delay in H2 CPO product delivery schedule. - CPO switch will enter mass production and begin ramping up customer deliveries as planned in the second half of 2026 This was a media article, original interview source credit should have been credited to Tae Kim / Computex. Something fun to note too was this quote “Gilad was VERY enthusiastic about the CPO ramp from Nvidia.” Both near term and long term. Yeah… I’m extremely bullish on CPO alongside Nvidia.

@PanDog64356596 They shouldn’t and should just go off primary industry transcript/reports.

CPO scale out earlier than expected: > Foxconn: est. units register upward and optical switches shipped early to $NVDA CPO scale up timelines from $LITE Mizuho Technology Conference today: “The company expects to start shipping Scale-Up optical products in the second half of 2027, with formal volume ramp-up in 2028” SVP $NVDA networking: “We’re going to ramp up CPO second half of this year”. No delay indications. I’m gonna go ahead and trust industry projections. Where they all reiterate faster timelines for scale out CPO H2 onward. And scale up CPO H2 2027 onward (with main growth happening 2028) Over a questionable motive analyst firm that said $MU had no share of HBM4 Rubin (causing a selloff) Where micron went out shortly later to into enter mass production. (Triple digit return shortly after) I think people going long on temporary bridge architectures from this incorrect report won’t be too happy. Appreciate the buying opportunity though.

@aleabitoreddit how do you view the upside of $AAOI vs $NBIS as of current valuation?

Given my recent popularity, might be a good time to put out a PSA. Early followers have known this from the start: 1. I don't do any paid promotions, paid marketing, or accept outside gifts. But I appreciate all the recent outreach from companies! If you see or engage with something online related to any type of payment, it's fabricated for engagement or a scammer. The reason I don't want to is because I'm just posting on X for fun, and when money is involved it turns into a job (which I don't want it to feel like). Also, well off personally so I've never felt influenced by anyone outside. 2. The only "paid" thing I have is $1 subscriptions. That's all. From the very start, I've never taken a single penny outside of X subscriptions/creator sharing. Which is why I say in my bio: "I only use X, beware of imposters." Anyone approaching you to share an external community or app is a scammer or imposter. It's just very frustrating that people still fall for these impersonators. 3. I'm just one person posting my thoughts online. -> Not some institution or Illuminati team. Quality of research is "high" because I have a technical background. And I genuinely do this as a hobby researching supply chain ideas. There's not some "hidden" motive like a paid research group from Asia, it's just fun lol. 4. I will always disclose positions if I have them or if I don't. Very open and transparent about it. With Chinese equities I'm just posting research in hope it benefits people find conviction in critical companies in global supply chains. I don't have any positions / any financial incentives (so I can be impartial), and haven't privately discussed with anyone about ideas I post beforehand. Maybe it happens in Asia, but in the US it's highly illegal to be running groups or getting paid to post about companies. I'm just posting my ideas for free without outside influence, in case others like the idea. It probably seems odd, but I'm doing this as a hobby and for fulfillment of helping others. 5. I'm staying anonymous so I can just freely post my ideas online. Reason being is after I first posted negative things about $IREN, I would have a lot of personal IRL threats and harassment from dozens of accounts for me to stop. Don't want any personal safety or people around me to be at risk for just publishing free research online. Anyway, goal is to help out retail investors with free information synthesis; rather than just selling that directly to institutions. I'm sure this positive sum model might anger people along the way (who have expensive paywalls, or financial incentives) that might feel threatened by information democratization. But genuinely just sharing day-to-day thoughts for free. Very surprised by recent popularity but it helps me distribute compelling ideas to more people. And grateful Elon / X gave me an opportunity through X.

@aleabitoreddit robotechnik(ficontec) next? 😃

我怎么有种奇怪的感觉… 我的中国粉丝是不是都在等我喊新票啊 lol？ 我看好的标的（比如 688017 绿的谐波）通常都是做长线，可不是只拿几天就走！ 不过，这周我确实会再去挖几个新机会研究一下。

@aleabitoreddit how do you think about glass substrate? In terms of investment, is it too early to get in now?

I do think LeaderDrive (688017) is China's standout component leader in the robotics sector. I've done a lot of research on other robotics picks / $TSLA Optimus suppliers, but LeaderDrive is extremely unique. Compared to others doing lower margin assembly, or lower value components, with higher design out risk. Western institutions like Goldman Sachs Research flags LeaderDrive many times: -> As a company with high technology barriers (eg. harmonic reduction gear). -> and likely capturing high component value costs like planetary roller screws of each humanoid produced. In simpler terms with LeaderDrive, you cover: 1. Many different components, with high barrier to entry 2. High BOM of each humanoid made, if you combine them together 3. Mass production capability at low cost. For each humanoid made. Please do your research on this topic before making your own decision; but long-term if you believe in humanoid sector growth: I think LeaderDrive (688017) is very compelling. Risk is mainly coming from other emerging Chinese companies taking over market share of different individual components. As well as mass-production margins decreasing over time; as seen with $VPG going from $750 (for early stage pre-production) -> $150 for sensors. But in general, I don't believe companies outside China like Harmonic Drive (6324) can achieve the same costs for mass production, which is why $TSLA Optimus is creating extensive supply chains from China. So we'll likely see supply chains be bifurcated with cheap mass production $15k-20K humanoids from Chinese supply chains. And higher cost humanoids from Western supply chains. Again if you look at current P/E ratios and say it's high; a lot of it is misunderstanding comes from not looking at forward growth: Nothing has been mass produced yet. AGIbot has recently achieved 10k units produced back in March. But in the next 3-5 years, the TAM of the humanoid/robotics sector forecasted by Elon Musk and others very large, if he's expecting millions of humanoids to be produced a year. So my expectation is the current $10.65B MC would look very tiny in hindsight of LeaderDrive's market capture of the overall robotics market. So I don't believe thesis like this should be measured in short term timeframes (or that people should actively trade names like these). Moreso a long term investment idea about how this company could capture a material part of the overall humanoid market that exponentially grows over the next few years.

Same guy btw

What just happened? The S&P 500 just erased nearly -$2 TRILLION of market cap just hours after 3rd strongest US jobs report in 18 months. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is officially down over -50% from its record high in October 2025. What's happening? Let us explain. (a thread)

@aleabitoreddit do you view AAOI as a CPO stock?

$SIVE is my favorite CPO / photonics stock after AAOI. Partly because it's Swedish and you have entertainment from comedians over there. Today a new non-technical hedge fund called Protean Funds (likely shorting), went on air. To said $SIVE CPO applications are imaginary. Right after $GFS just made $SIVE their reference laser. (Just for some context to newer readers: Lot of people in Sweden can only look at past 12 month revenue, and don't understand concepts of forward growth) Also because they don't understand that no CPO application has scaled up yet at all. So Swedish hedge funds keep going short (with many of their hedge funds like Colosseum / Origo heavily underwater). But... for the technical readers... from H2 2026 to 2028, it goes from near $0 to $91B TAM in 1 1/2 years. (we're entering H2 now). Overall TAM hits $141B (which is also 10x+ or so in 1 1/2 years)... and $SIVE has scaled into pluggable market with $JBL + other unnamed pluggable players with that too. Probably not going to end well for the local Swedish firms, shorting right before the largest inflection points ever hits for $SIVE. Just a matter of time before volume ramps.