bGum

3.7K posts

bGum banner
bGum

bGum

@bGum

Clawing

Katılım Aralık 2008
1.2K Takip Edilen1.8K Takipçiler
nursex
nursex@nursexxl·
You could literally: > open Polymarket > deposit $100k > sort by markets higher 95¢ > check only disputed markets > by market price to not lose timing > make $5,000 almost risk-free The math that made $450K yearly in average Why do people still not doing this?
nursex tweet media
English
45
5
97
16.5K
bGum
bGum@bGum·
@sopersone The strategy you ‘explain’ is completely different from what’s happening in his bot’s strategy. Gotta love the bait posts.
English
0
0
0
51
sopersone
sopersone@sopersone·
there is a strategy that few people notice on Polymarket you can easily use it with an automated bot it is simple and requires no predictions it is called DUTCH-BOOK ATBITRAGE we buy bets with the least and most likely outcomes here is how it works: > the market has just opened - we buy the unlikely bet (01¢ - 02¢) > towards the end of the market - we buy the most likely bet (97¢ - $99¢) > earn from 0.5-3% on guaranteed bets > on unlikely bets you can earn up to 100-200x no need to guess who will win real example trader Swisstony check his profile: polymarket.com/profile/%40swi… $5,604,411 PnL in 8 months he bought both sides in one match: > Shenzhen Leopards at 70.2¢ > Fujian Sturgeons at 24.2¢ 70.2 + 24.2 = 94.4¢ one of them always pays $1.00 locked profit +5.6¢ (~5.9%) you can copy him here: @sopersone" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@sopersone
sopersone tweet media
sopersone@sopersone

x.com/i/article/2037…

English
17
5
100
12.4K
bGum
bGum@bGum·
If you’re actually trying to pick up BTC 5m markets on Polymarket at 99c> during the final 20 seconds, you might aswell transfer those funds directly to my bank account. You’re gonna lose it all anyway.
English
0
0
0
61
bGum
bGum@bGum·
@AlterEgo_eth The monthly volatility on BTC is very high, this will cause a large chunk of BE results. Besides, manually this is impossible. Catalyst can pump or dump BTC 10%+ in an hour. You can't be on the charts 24/7.
English
1
0
2
405
Alter Ego
Alter Ego@AlterEgo_eth·
61% ROI on a Bitcoin market on Polymarket Direction doesn't matter - up, down, or sideways This is delta-neutral trading, and here's exactly how it works What is delta-neutral strategy? The core idea: earn when price doesn't move much and stays in a sideways range. Time does the work - the longer price sits still, the more the position grows toward 100¢. If price starts moving aggressively up or down - just exit at breakeven using a hedge. No big losses, no guessing direction. 1. Market: Will Bitcoin hit $80,000 in March? Current BTC price: $73,720 Buy No at 62¢ - market gives only 38% chance BTC touches $80k $100 invested → 161.3 shares of No If BTC never touches $80k → No goes to 100¢ → +$61.3 (+61%) 2. The hedge If BTC starts pumping toward $80k - No will drop to ~50¢ around $75,000 Loss on position at that point: −$21.9 Opening a long hedge on BTC. Size is calculated using the exchange calculator - set so that profit on the long from $73,720 to $75,000 equals exactly $19.4 BTC reaches $75k → loss on Polymarket −$21.9, profit on hedge +$21.9 → breakeven 3. Stops > Stop on position: No ≤ 50¢ (BTC ~$75,000) > Close both parts simultaneously > Exit at zero > Stop on hedge: BTC drops to ~$68,500 > Hedge loses max $61.3 > Position already gave +$61.3 → exit at zero 4. Scenarios BTC sideways ($68,500 – $75,000). Time decay works in full. Position grows toward 100¢ on its own. Result: up to +61% BTC pumps to $75,000. No drops to ~50¢ — close the position. Hedge profit covers the loss. Result: breakeven BTC dumps to $68,500. Position flies toward 100¢ — close the hedge. Stake covers the hedge loss. Result: breakeven 5. The full construction > Buy No $80k at 62¢ on $100 > Open long hedge on BTC via exchange calculator > Profit zone: $68,500 – $75,000 > Outside this range - stops keep everything at zero Profit or breakeven. That's the whole idea
Alter Ego tweet media
English
14
6
112
10.6K
Domain Shane | Winterline
@doomerzoomer Saudi Arabia pipeline moving 7M barrels a day People finally realizing US is net EXPORTER of oil Iran getting big pushback from China and India Most of price is not based in reality but traders going long
English
28
6
389
104.7K
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Best daily message.
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
0
39
bGum
bGum@bGum·
All these posts about AI agents with 80%+ winrates. That's not relevant at all, you need good R/R to go with that winrate. Don't take the bait.
English
0
0
1
38
bGum
bGum@bGum·
@Pxlern Usually these bait posts advertise certain win rates 95-99.9%, as if that's a strong argument. Win rate in combination with RR is, they are just playing 35 numbers in the casino, until that one number drops.
English
1
0
1
35
Pellerin
Pellerin@Pxlern·
I tested the 98c entry strategy live with a $40 starting account size and a 40% entry size if account size > $60, or a fixed $20 entry when <$60. A very simple logic that targets aggressive geometric growth while being risk adverse when account size gets low. The results: Bot went from $40 -> $140 in less than 18 hours, then nuked itself down to $28, made its way back up to $70, then blew up at the 32 hour mark. I've said it before, this strategy does not actually work. Perhaps selective 98c entries have +ev but it goes way beyond price alone. Share price is a proxy for probability.
PolyBackTest@polybacktest

The 96-99c Strategy: Backtested on 300 5m Markets This tweet's strategy is legit. It is positive EV at 96c+ entries. Here's the full breakdown with $6K per trade: $0.96 = +$5747 $0.97 = +$19,636 $0.98 = +$21,725 0.99 = +$6908 The Risk Every single loss is -$6,000 (total wipeout). One loss at $0.98 erases ~50 wins. The strategy works because losses are extremely rare: $0.98: Only 1 loss in 234 trades $0.97: Only 4 losses in 251 trades $0.96: 9 losses in 261 trades, still +EV but much riskier The most optimal price entry point is $0.98 Disclaimer* this analysis was coded with Ai and may be inaccurate, historical data was provided by polybacktest

English
1
0
1
175
TechnoRevenant
TechnoRevenant@TechnoRevenant·
In response to people who think my X account was hacked: I was posting about privacy coins leading up to this. Do you really think an X account hacker would have a playlist of classical music bangers in his Telegram profile?
TechnoRevenant tweet mediaTechnoRevenant tweet media
English
3
1
39
10.2K
TechnoRevenant
TechnoRevenant@TechnoRevenant·
Announcing the first 41rdr0p of physical cash in crypto Send your X username to @Physical41rdr0p on Telegram If your X account is selected, you'll be asked to send a shipping address on Telegram @RetoSwap and @OpenMonero buyers will ship envelopes of cash to 50 winners Each envelope will contain about $2000 worth of cash Eligible countries: USD EUR GBP AUD CHF
English
72
5
227
118.1K
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Awesome trading day yesterday, NQ dumped 200+ point within 15 minutes of opening. Kept adding size to my short and took a nice TP
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
3
117
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Closed my 5th green day just now to make sure I'm able to pay-out $1840 & add a couple funded accounts. Now my third pay-out with @Topstep within 3 weeks.
bGum tweet mediabGum tweet media
English
0
0
3
262
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Very rough day on Topstep. Decided to close the account right about the $150 pay-out requirement target. It was a rollercoaster ride, from being up $1.5k to being down $500. Happy to close for a tiny profit. Just 2 more days for the first payout request.
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
2
180
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Second day with @Topstep! Passed daily $150 target, which is a criteria for pay-outs.
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
1
89
bGum
bGum@bGum·
My daily results with @Topstep! Will be posting my daily progress consistently. Topstep is by far the best prop firm for my trading strategy.
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
2
142
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Add to winners, don't add to losers.
English
0
0
0
55
bGum
bGum@bGum·
Backtested 2 weeks of NQ trading! Had a great night, and turns out, strategy (on a short backtest window) works very well.
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
1
103
bGum
bGum@bGum·
NQ setup I'm looking at today. Will try to short the Weekly POC at $24,824.5!
bGum tweet media
English
0
0
0
85
Domain Shane | Winterline
I need more sales. The amount of good quality domains coming up at auctions is increasing every quarter. The @Godaddy Special Auction has quite a few I'd like to own Cheese. net ConsistentAI. com Rallies. com YouEarn. com Sepu. com Reconstructed. com GolfPackage. com Dumbells. com Landed. org MXSX. com StartFast. com Domaining. io SushiRolls. com
GoDaddy Auctions@godaddyauctions

Over 1,100 no-reserve listings are closing over the next 3 days, in our latest Premium Auction Event. Browse and bid today - your portfolio will thank you!

English
7
1
26
3.8K
bGum
bGum@bGum·
@brycent Good luck Brycent, interesting!
English
0
0
0
33
Brycent
Brycent@brycent·
Spent the entire night working on the SAAS launch It was fun but also frightening Main goal with V1 of the product was focusing on solving 1 pretty big problem with 1 feature From there we add more value based on customer feedback 24 hours and we launch.
English
15
0
68
7.1K