Bafel

1.2K posts

Bafel

Bafel

@bafelus

What you appreciate, appreciates.

Thailand Katılım Ağustos 2011
68 Takip Edilen56 Takipçiler
Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@TradingHurst If we have 80 and 30d cycles, it means these 2 components are not harmonics?
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David F
David F@TradingHurst·
🔔Bitcoin and progress of the two most important and powerful cycles below 100 days wavelength, the ~ 80 and ~ 30 day cycles. Below the 80 day feature shown over 12 iterations since March 2023. The previous power around 60 days, which some assigned to a valid cycle feature, has now dispersed into power equivalent to noise. 30 day feature shown over 16 iterations since August 2024. Also shown is the less than stable feature around 280 days which is *probably* due to trough late January 2026. The larger margin of error (due to the modulation) for this longer component is an issue for speculation. It is gaining clarity though!
David F tweet mediaDavid F tweet mediaDavid F tweet media
David F@TradingHurst

The ~ 80 day and ~ 30 day cycle in Bitcoin over the last year or so. 30 day shown in isolation too. #bitcoincycles

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Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@Namzes_G @TradingHurst First time reading about Kitchin cycles and can’t help to see a lot of resemblance with Hurst cycles.
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Namzes Cycles
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G·
@TradingHurst 3.5-4 year Kitchen cycle works well (see correlation reports below). 17-18Y cycle doesn't have enough iterations but it works visually and also looking at $DJI history. Another notable cycle is 805 days (2.2Y).
Namzes Cycles tweet media
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Namzes Cycles
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G·
🔮 #GDP #Recession Thread 🧵. Thoughts on #Economy through #cycles lenses. 1) First let's look at longer 18.6Y cycle. We are in the final phase of economic expansion into mid 2025 peak with a projected low late 2027:
Namzes Cycles tweet media
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MMA Mania
MMA Mania@mmamania·
Sean Strickland: “We need to take women out of the work force” Oscar Willis: “Have you thought about going to therapy?”
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Namzes Cycles
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G·
@Manu58615955 I was wrong about 1 more push into June $BTC top. It’s following 2015-17 analogue with early retest. Timing wise would look for 40W cycle low end of June - early July. Rising 200DMA and volume support from Q1 consolidation should provide support (23.5). Great accumulation spot.
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Namzes Cycles
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G·
Sell side giving 2023 guidance to clients: retest of lows in spring, something breaks and you buy the lows with turnaround in H2 2023 ✌🏼
GIF
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Jordi Alexander
Jordi Alexander@gametheorizing·
New pod is out: Spoke with jmo- a fellow pro gambler, and it got pretty 🌶️🔥: -Why trading on GMX is like sportsbetting the -183 line at bet365, when you could get -195 -How Chainlink's LL feed caused drama between Synthetix and GMX ..& lots more on the cutting edge of DeFi!
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Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@BobLoukas Wouldn’t more productivity lead to less inflation? The fact that we are at historic high inflation at historic low unemployment is a bit worrying with respect to productivity.
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Bob Loukas 🗽
Bob Loukas 🗽@BobLoukas·
Instead of all this fear, doom, gloom….what if we’re on the cusp of one of the biggest productivity booms in history?
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il Capo
il Capo@CryptoCapo_·
The longer the bear market rally, the more aggressive the drop will be. Soon.
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Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@AlgodTrading People resent the wealthy due to economic inequality. Inflation disproportionately affects low and middle income households, and benefits the ‘rich’ who hold appreciating assets.
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Algod
Algod@AlgodTrading·
I don’t understand the collective hate towards ‘rich’ people, people are happy some lost money on svb Is it jealousy or what is this kind of behaviour
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Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@RWApodcast So it is not about NATO expansion anymore lmfao you are a 🤡
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Russians With Attitude
Russians With Attitude@RWApodcast·
First footage coming out from Ukrainian convoys coming under fire while leaving Bakhmut. Several destroyed vehicles and over a dozen corpses in a half minute clip. I'm hearing about massive strikes last night, too - convoy after convoy just gone.
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Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@MacaesBruno Wind and solar tech are not 'essentially' digital technologies. In fact, wind turbines and solar panels have been in use for decades before the widespread use of digital technology in the energy sector.
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Bruno Maçães
Bruno Maçães@MacaesBruno·
Quite interesting how wind and solar renewables are essentially digital technologies
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Bafel
Bafel@bafelus·
@recizk @gametheorizing Yes agree,, meaning lots of liquidity still in the system. But if borrowing is curtailed, how long before this affects wages and returns?
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Jordi Alexander
Jordi Alexander@gametheorizing·
A low interest-rate regime leads to inflation bc it encourages borrowing and people leverage up. Lots of cash in the system, chasing scarce goods-- and inflation causes even more leverage as people FOMO seeing prices go up. So to fix inflation simply raise rates right? Well..
GIF
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