Beau

Is This Time Different ?? @marketmike youtu.be/xCntQ0eGxlU?si…

@PsychToday No shit

Many owners "crate train" their dogs, and then leave them in crates for hours at a time. But while the practice is common, some experts question its ethics. psychologytoday.com/us/blog/all-do…

Not to far off from that -20% sell off discussed in the prior post.

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NVDA is up just ~15% since June 2024.

If this doesn’t turn into a correction (protracted run below the 200-day SMA), then this would already be the biggest drop below the 200-day SMA of any pullback $SPX

$NVDA lowest since July

US Crude Oil Settles Above $100 for First Time Since 2022 👀

@Norseman1 When does one start looking for FTDs? Is there a certain criteria for when they become relevant?

NASDAQ undercut Friday's low. Back to Day 0. Monday is the soonest now for a NASDAQ $IXIC FTD. Friday markets are closed. $SPX and $DJI did not undercut their lows. Today could still be Day 1. Thursday for a potential FTD. 69UVOL

Value vs Growth.. sure looks like a style shift..

If you are looking for good news, might want to close your 👀s on this one. We are about to enter the (by far) worst quarter of the entire 4-year presidential cycle.

@cs2newsupdate August 2000

What year did you play your first Counter-Strike game?

2 weeks to stop the spread

I lay out the calculus in both Time & Price. Time: Week of April 6th Price: $SPX 6,150 signaltrader.substack.com/p/decision-poi…

The Iran war’s impact on US consumers in one chart:

@YaBoyCoots Eichel

Let me ask youse something. Without knowing this is Owen Tippett Who does this player look like to you

Out of nearly 6,800 trading days in XLE’s history, only 41 days registered a rolling 3-month return above +40%. They are clustered into 5 episodes, almost all of which were recoveries after significant crashes. The past 3 months have been the highest sharpe XLE has ever had.

I feel badly for everyone replying to this who somehow think markets go down in a straight line. I think SPX is not going to put in a longer term before it’s below 6000, but there will be some violent short term rallies. Like these:

I put this chart together because I wanted to see it for myself. $SPX vs oil ($WTIC) during three different geopolitical events. Gulf War. Russia/Ukraine. And now Iran. When oil spikes hard on geopolitical risk, equities tend to run into headwinds. And when oil cools off, the market tends to find its footing. It's not meant to predict anything. I just think rising oil during these events gives you a really clean read on when the market might start running into headwinds.

Likely going to put in a bottom on Monday…in the short term, at least.

$VIX closed above 30 for the first time in over 10 months Historically, $SPX was higher 2 days & 3 months later in 9 of 10 cases