Big Peninsula
100 posts

Big Peninsula retweetledi

$AAPL
Price is sitting right in the decision zone between expansion and continuation of the triangulation.
If this is real strength, we should see a push through 280–288 and start building momentum toward the upper range.
If it stalls here, then this likely completes a complex WXY and we stay in chop before the next move.
Key level to hold is 250–260. Invalidation 245.51.
Above → expansion
Fail → back into range.
$SPX $SPY $QQQ

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@JPATrades it was down over 70% at one point but yea now up over 30%. Was a stressful hold when GOOGL was $275
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In hindsight the move was obvious
Unfortunately I didn’t get to fly to the $GOOGL moon with them 😭
John Trades MBA@JPATrades
Someone just bought $17,000,000 worth of $GOOGL 340 calls that expire in June We are so back
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@optionflys Mo, where would the next support be? It has dropped down 5%+ since your post, looking to add tsla calls soon
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$TSLA "Kiss of death" alerted at the exact top yesterday.

kpak@kpak82
$TSLA Big gap up today and exhaustive +9% 3 day rally to contribute to market staying green but is now kissing: 200ema, 200sma, 20sma, 20ema. All at once. Could kiss of death.
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@kpak82 I don’t think so, not yet. It should go test the $644 support for that inverse H&S and I agree right back up after that.
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@MaskedTraderNFA @MyFundedFutures how fast did it take you to get the payout starting from buying the eval?
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Can’t complain. Spent $97 and already took out $900 on 1 MFFU Rapid 50K plan. That’s near a 10x return. The payouts went almost instantly to my Rise. @MyFundedFutures


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@ArukalaReddy @CheddarFlow fr never following degen flow again
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Big Peninsula retweetledi

Powell / Fed's Emergency Rate Cut on 03/03/26 Full Moon / Eclipse Tuesday? ⚠️⚠️⚠️
This is reminiscent of Powell's Emergency Cut on 03/03/2000.
Why Am I Forecasting This?
1. Credit swaps are indicating deteriorating financial conditions in private credit. $SRLN ETF heading to levels last seen during the pre-Liberation-Day crash March 2025. See picture.
2. Credit Fraction of GDP % approaching levels last seen just before the 2008 GFC. See picture.
3. Bearish Sentiment and Armageddon level puts are already loaded, and Powell can give the Wall Street Casino an opportunity to squeeze hundreds of billions out of them with one short press release cutting the rate. He can even do it today to avoid the symmetry of the 3/3 anniversary, and trap them all.
4. Iran War + Private Credit Risk = Plunge Protection Team PPT must come back. If they come back you will see first hand what "Blow-off Top Engineering" will mean: $720 $SPY
>>> If the Feds do not inject liquidity into the market from early this week, then the risk of a credit event is extremely high. I will then submit to the bears forecast and say it was all by design, but I am skeptical.
Looking at the $SPY $SVIX charts, the market has not put the 2nd shoulder (top) yet, making the Wave5 top from January the first top only. An ABC for a 2nd top is a must. Liquidity must improve, and $BTC is nodding as it also gets its Buy9 heading into March 19th.
How to prepare for this? At what $SPY level the cut may happen based on geometry? All of this, Iran discussion, and more was shared with paid members here:
astrozan.substack.com/p/spy-setup-ne…
This article is so good, I will only unlock it for free reading with 50 retweets by 9pm EST today.
Share & Subscribe, :
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY


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@D3GSolutions Money back on the $40 monthly subscription, correct? @alshfaw
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Huh? I don't see no date disclosed and money back guaranteed is a bold statement.
Astro Zan@alshfaw
@vandy_trades @market_sleuth I know the exact day, with a money-back guarantee. 💯 $SPY Will disclose it tonight for my members 9pm EST. I promised them that.
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@alshfaw do we get money back on your substack if you predict the day wrong? $40 for one month and $440 for a year??
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$SPY Quick Update ⚠️
So long that we do not reclaim the 5-dma / 20-dma (they are close to each other now), then the most likely path since $NVDA did not provide the impulse for a new ATH, is what is shown in the picture, to go complete the cup that started from December at $673 to finish the right rim, then bounce back to build the handle (final bull trap), before the coup fatal day all those put holders have been getting ready for.
Tonight, I promised my paid readers to announce the date of the coup fatal day exactly, and also the day we bounce to build the handle. Before 10 PM EST. It is not a guess, it is $VIX, math, astro, aero - conviction.
- Invalidation: reclaim of 5-dma, and later $692.
Share & Subscribe, :
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

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@alshfaw so where are you expecting SPY to head to? I thought you said 3/3 was a VAXTRO day?
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The $KOSPI is a key index and serves as a proxy for small-cap stocks in the U.S., particularly $IWM. It has also been the strongest performer — effectively the top flyer — and has not taken a meaningful pause.
In prior posts, I outlined the projected path toward its final top, and price is now tracking that roadmap. See the lines referenced below.
As of last night, two important trendlines converged near the 6200 level: the dashed line connecting the prior ending diagonal (which initially completed for one day before extending), and the more aggressive black trendline that projects the final top. See the yellow mark at the top.
This area is an important inflection point and could trigger a corrective pullback of several hundred points before a final high forms in the second week of March.
If $SPY follows the same liquidity template, we should expect several days of weakness / higher volatility / wild horse $NVDA action, into March 3rd, followed by a final upside burst to complete the topping process.
Tomorrow, I will post a precise projection for the SPY and KOSPI top date (members area only.)
Share & Subscribe, :
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

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@alshfaw @realDonaldTrump so your thesis is only based on VVIX ?
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@realDonaldTrump — the most overpaid scarecrow of all time!
1) Bullish $SPY until bearish technicals reset — and the bears get burned again.
2) Some bears thought February 19 would repeat last year’s anniversary of the crash start that led to the 20% drawdown. They forget that cycles don’t repeat on calendar dates — they repeat on structural metrics. These bears are weeks too early.
3) $VVIX is unlikely to decline while $SPY rises into early March. Target: $720+ with $VVIX holding above $110 — a market running a hot engine. $VIX remains bid as a hedge against a blow-off top.
Base case: $SPY up, $VIX up, $VVIX elevated and steady.
4) Today I announced the projected final top date. The timing is derived from astronomical cycles. Confidence: 98%.
You can see how the top date conclusion was reached here:
open.substack.com/pub/astrozan/p…
Share & Subscribe, <>:
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

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@CheddarFlow Usually after nvda earnings, avgo starts falling and nvda starts gaining
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@optionflys Mo so did you buy some 3/20 $DOC calls for the same strike?
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I don’t usually trade or even follow order flow.
I trade structure.
Cycles.
Rotation.
But this caught my eye.
$DOC
March 20 — 17.5 Calls
10,000+ volume
Open interest was 7K yesterday
Volume > OI.
That’s not noise.
Stock sitting right under 17.50 with size showing up.
Could be covered calls.
Could be positioning.
I don’t chase flow.
But when size shows up near a level, I pay attention.
Let’s see if structure confirms. 👀
$SPX $SPY $QQQ

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@alshfaw so what happened to your SPY downside predictions for this week?
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