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@binnyisch

man oh man oh man oh man oh man

Katılım Eylül 2013
856 Takip Edilen53 Takipçiler
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bin@binnyisch·
@CeruleanFI How is it revisionism when socialism is actually an incredibly broad tradition that precedes even communist thinkers like Marx?
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bin@binnyisch·
@Kalshi Not in the US? But potentially in other countries! Great!
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Kalshi
Kalshi@Kalshi·
Rule #2: No death markets. Not in the U.S. They’re illegal.
Kalshi tweet media
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Kalshi@Kalshi·
Not all prediction markets are the same. Some are regulated in the United States. Some aren’t. Kalshi is. Rule #1: We ban insider trading. And we enforce it.
Kalshi tweet media
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bin@binnyisch·
@DailyAFC @WeAreTheOverlap Why would you tweet a direct quote with a clip of the interview, but not an include a clip of the actual quote?
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DailyAFC
DailyAFC@DailyAFC·
🗣️ Kyle Walker: “I have worked with Mikel Arteta, and I think he has taken a LOT of things from Pep Guardiola in the way that he coaches. The formation, the up-back-and-throughs, the set-the-ball don’t turn-on-the-ball.” ❌🧐 🎥 @WeAreTheOverlap
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bin@binnyisch·
@UltimateClint I hope we’re not taking these two intellectual lolcows too seriously
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🐝@speziaIs·
How do you lose 17 straight league games to the same team? Have some shame, not even one draw? At home?
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bin@binnyisch·
@dannypea @jrh1729 @12Xpert @Soccermatics There are different models for XG but all of them are determined by number of shots, their location, and other factors. Presumably a team with 11 attackers wouldn’t play well and wouldn’t have as many shots as a balanced team, yielding lower XG
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Danny Peacock
Danny Peacock@dannypea·
@jrh1729 @binnyisch @12Xpert @Soccermatics Which would give a better indication of that games expected goals? No? Obviously XG is a rounded collective based on previous games, which potentially has nothing to do with individuals on the day? Especially, like in Villas case on Sun, two of them are debutants?
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Joseph Buchdahl
Joseph Buchdahl@12Xpert·
How can xG be used as a reliable metric for form analysis and prediction if there is so much variability across different sources?
Joseph Buchdahl tweet media
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bin@binnyisch·
@EmiSmithShowe I’m not sure if this is what people mean, but sometimes people suggest that over performing xg makes it more likely to underperform it later. This is the gamblers fallacy though. It regresses to the mean with a sufficient sample size because it’s the mean as stated.
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🇵🇸 Emi SmithShowe
🇵🇸 Emi SmithShowe@EmiSmithShowe·
Reading and statistical comprehension is actually at an all time low
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bin@binnyisch·
@dannypea @12Xpert @Soccermatics What? “if team A) plays with 11 forwards, their predicted XG will be higher than a team playing 451”. Where are you getting this idea?
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Danny Peacock
Danny Peacock@dannypea·
@12Xpert @Soccermatics Where it flaws, if team A) plays with 11 forwards, their predicted XG will be higher than a team playing 451, so formation, form and performance plays a bigger part, but if you actually look at XGOT for Villa v Brentford, despite Villa's dominance, they are very similar!
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bin@binnyisch·
@asymmetricinfo What an odd world we live in where Washington post reporters are quote tweeting Twitter’s preeminent race “scientist” as if he’s one of their colleagues
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bin@binnyisch·
@son_ofa_car @stevenxlml @cafreiman The vast majority of people need income to take out credit, which is taxed. The mega rich only need capital, which is taxed at a much lower rate and only when “realized”
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Rick Sanchez
Rick Sanchez@son_ofa_car·
@binnyisch @stevenxlml @cafreiman Under your assumptions, why isn’t all credit taxed as income? Credit cards, helocs, auto loans, what is the difference exactly? You just don’t like the amount of collateral they borrow against?
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bin@binnyisch·
@stevenxlml @cafreiman If you can spend (take loans out) on unrealized gains, you should be able to be taxed on unrealized gains
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Steven
Steven@stevenxlml·
@cafreiman What they’re actually proposing is to tax unrealized gains.
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bin@binnyisch·
@JackFarley96 You don’t think the United States slowly drifting into authoritarianism and political instability might reduce confidence in the economy long term?
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Jack Farley
Jack Farley@JackFarley96·
The narrative that is being attributed to the sell-off is Pres Trump trashing Powell and threatening to fire him. To me that is meaningful for bonds and gold and the dollar... but it's not obvious to me that forward S&P profits will be lower // demand a lower multiple in a world in which Powell has been removed.
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Jack Farley
Jack Farley@JackFarley96·
In my view, today is the first day since Liberation Day where stocks sold off meaningfully without any negative tariff news. Interesting.
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Ken W.
Ken W.@tampa_npa·
@PolitlcsUK Do they really think the public is that ignorant to not know that it was completely staged? The left wing progressive politicians are so disconnected from reality. This is proof that they think commoners are oblivious fools. It’s like a bad movie script.
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Politics UK
Politics UK@PolitlcsUK·
🚨🎥 WATCH: Nigel Farage helps to fill potholes with flowers
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bin@binnyisch·
@mert What? People believe fake news that tariffs will be delayed, possibility negotiations and backing down -> investors believe greater chance tariffs will be avoided or reduced -> stocks valued higher News turns out to be BS -> corrects to previous position Makes perfect sense
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mert
mert@mert·
so basically > guy reported fake news > all of world finance aped the news and added 2.5T to the market > news is fake, so everyone dumped so basically finance is just memecoins with suits
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bin@binnyisch·
@AdamGibson70111 @DancuAdrian @nntaleb @xjr358 Idiot, if you picked any point in time you wouldn’t come up with Trump’s bullshit numbers. Trump actually did use an objective metric, but it doesn’t measure what he claims it does. You are very confused and need to look up the meanings of “subjective” and “objective”
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bin@binnyisch·
@AdamGibson70111 @DancuAdrian @nntaleb @xjr358 Idiot, you do realize Trumps Tariffs are across the board, not just semiconductors or strategically useful products. You can use impressive phrases but your understanding of them certainly isn’t
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bin@binnyisch·
@DancuAdrian @AdamGibson70111 @nntaleb @xjr358 Ah, so you actually are stupid enough to believe the White House’s nonsense. That figure was found by simply dividing the trade deficit by total exports, which is NOT the tariff rate.
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