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The law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich as well as the poor to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread.
- Anatole France
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Iran needs to know that Trump can control Bibi. That is the single most important factor for any kind of durable peace.
Forcing Israel to stop hammering Lebanon is the test.
If the administration doesn't understand this, there is really no chance that the ceasefire will hold.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar
JD Vance: "I think this comes from a legitimate misunderstanding. I think the Iranians thought the ceasefire included Lebanon, and it just didn't. We never made that promise, we never indicated that was gonna be the case."
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One dynamic that is under discussed in mainstream discourse is how much of western media, even supposedly progressive media, view Iranians/Arabs as NPCs in zionist moral struggles, faceless abstractions or just another piece in the Savvy and Serious game of geopolitical chess
Mark Curtis@markcurtis30
This is how the Guardian reported US warplanes mass bombing Iran from a UK base.
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Sanctions and impoverishing Iranians will never cut enough resources for the regime not to be able to develop missiles. Decades of experience should show you that. But they DID successfully destroy the Iranian middle class which could have been a basis for political change and a cessation of hostilities to Israel
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This is what Israel does to Beirut and Lebanon during a ceasefire...
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Israel taking out its strategic defeat on defenseless Lebanese civilians
sarah@sahouraxo
Apocalyptic scenes in Lebanon’s capital right now. Israel has launched 100 airstrikes on Lebanon in 10 minutes. Striking South Lebanon, Beirut and the Bekaa Valley simultaneously. This isn’t a ceasefire. It’s mass bombardment of civilian areas.
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@bitbydog @philippilk They don't have any naval capabilities left. No way of paying. And, on top of it, you can just pass by Oman, as most ship do anyway.
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The Iranian Supreme National Security Council seems under the impression that the United States is lifting all sanctions, paying Iran reparations and removing all combat forces in the region. Negotiations start Friday. I wouldn’t bet my house on this holding firm, to be honest.
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Israel is not part of any future agreement.
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@pierogenico @philippilk It’s their territorial waters. A handful of surface vessels would be able to enforce it.
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@bitbydog @philippilk LOL, no. Aside from the fact it is never ever going to happen, but also in the craziest scenario, how iranian are going to enforce it?
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@VoxClamantis4 @Mowoahno @jonkleinx @IsraeliPM The fifth fleet fled from the Persian Gulf to hide in the Indian Ocean. Many US bases in the GCC countries were abandoned.
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Prime Minister’s Office:
Israel supports President Trump's decision to suspend strikes against Iran for two weeks subject to Iran immediately opening the straits and stopping all attacks on the US, Israel and countries in the region.
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It doesn't matter because they don't matter, but it's wild to watch Democrats do a "the food here is terrible, and the portions are so small!" routine with this ceasefire. Why even bother? Go back to tweeting about rogue streamers.
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like stalingrad, this was a confrontation in which neither side was a paragon of virtue yet decent people around the world were not indifferent about which side must lose
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Murphy is channeling the rage of the US ruling class, “heartbroken” for their beloved empire. We saw a glimpse of this rage when Biden’s Afghanistan withdrawal produced a few days of bad images, and they never forgave Biden for it. Trump’s defeat in the Gulf is magnitudes worse.
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT
It appears Trump just agreed to give Iran control of the Strait of Hormuz, a history-changing win for Iran. The level of incompetence is both stunning and heartbreaking. What on earth is happening?
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Think this latest development of people still shooting at each other is more consistent with weekend fireworks than a ceasefire. Key question is how much tonnage can book it to get out of the Gulf before the end of the week.
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This is a brazen pre-admission of genocide against the Iranian people, which would obviously be a war crime. Madness.
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