blkjf

@EndicottInvests TBH after it was destroyed on zero news at the end of last year this is the bare minimum especially how disgustingly cheap this stock is still

Man $NBIS has been so strong to start off the year. Up 40% YTD so far. Just doing its own thing..

@Agrippa_Inv @88_Capital__ Billions with 5% net margins. Do you think hyperscalers will overpay for commodity? What does $IREN have that will last when shortages are resolved?

@blstfl @88_Capital__ Billions. $IREN is perfectly set up for this, as they are a cost leader.

New $IREN Deep Dive: Childress Unlocked I’ve spent the last couple of weeks writing the most important $IREN deep dive I’ve published to date. Air-cooling at Childress is a MUCH bigger deal than the vast majority of investors and analysts realize. Honestly, $IREN price targets across the board should be well above $100 at this point. But Wall Street missing the forest for the trees is nothing new. I’ve extensively modelled out the company’s near-term pipeline using conservative assumptions (below management’s guidance), and it’s clear as day that the market isn’t properly pricing in $IREN's industry-leading earnings power. $IREN is going to make BILLIONS of actual net income over the coming years… not just meaningless EBITDA or top-line figures, but real profits flowing to the bottom line. If anyone is the next hyperscaler, it’s $IREN. Remember, real hyperscalers are actually profitable… At the same time, every investor should be aware of looming industry risks that affect all neo-clouds in the sector and evaluate how they could impact the investment thesis. That’s exactly what I’ve done for all our readers. These are the topics this new report covers: ➞ Breaking down the new GPU orders + new guidance ➞ Implications of air-cooling ➞ Extensive pipeline modelling ➞ Comprehensive analysis of the new $6b ATM ➞ Risks to the investment thesis ➞ + Plenty of bonus topics This 40+ page mega deep dive covers everything $IREN investors should be aware of today. It’s written in a very reader-friendly way, with many graphics & embedded video clips throughout. I chuckle when I read so-called “analysts” on X give their takes on $IREN after doing nothing more than surface-level analysis (at best). Most investors have no idea where this is heading… If you’ve read the new deep dive, I’d love to hear your feedback in the comments. Appreciate all of you, cheers! ✌️ agrippa.investments/p/iren-childre…

@Agrippa_Inv @88_Capital__ And how much net income will $IREN generate when inference will be a commodity?😀

Either it’s 1) They are going to $NBIS fist. Or 2) $NBIS is the one biting first (on deal terms). Since Nebius isn’t actually providing any details on their deals on CapEx, GPU deployments, Prepayments, etc., we can’t accurately compare the two Microsoft deals. In any case, I don’t think it really matters. Over time, the net income line of both of these companies will do the talking.

Who the f*ck sells $NBIS here?😂😂

@fossinvest @aleabitoreddit Bro what are you expecting? It went from $140 to $80 while doubling their guidance...the stock is dirt cheap it trades at 3x 2026 ARR... Waiting would be a big mistake IMO but its your decision...

Fundamentals are good, but the reason why I haven't decided to buy in yet is because of the sentiment. I feel like everyone on X is mega bullish on the stock, and people see zero downside... Some sort of flush would be great to get some traders out. I might miss out short term, but if the stock somehow goes down, I'll be one of the lucky ones buying that low.

Nebius [ $NBIS ] core business is insanity. 700%+ Y/Y growth to $7-9B+ ARR in 1Y. What's more insane is this. Their subsidiary can outgrow their main business 🤯 Here's why: $GOOGL Waymo, $TSLA, $AMZN Zoox, Motional, $NBIS Avride are the only 5 FSD US Robotaxi companies right now. Yes $NBIS Avride is one of the 5. - And 1 of 4 with FSD Level 4 - fully driverless, the same level as Waymo. - And 1 of 3 that are commercialized with FSD level 4 (Motional is R&D phase) Tesla [ $TSLA ] robotaxis for perspective is only at Level 2 (requires human oversight). People want to buy robotaxi companies because as Cathie Wood puts it “Robotaxis could represent 90% of $TSLA ‘s value). So they buy exposure to the segment through trillion dollar companies like Waymo through the $3.6T $GOOGL and $1.4T $TSLA. But there's a Level 4 FSD robotaxi company that is just about to compete with Waymo through $UBER: That name is Avride, a $6 billion subsidiary company that $NBIS owns 83% of, and one that the market completely has missed. Avride is an The $6B valuation was based off a Seeking Alpha analyst report (August 2025) that benchmarked Avride against Nuro's Series E valuation. Just in Jan 2025 it was estimated to be valued at $3.4 billion, growing almost double in just 6 months time (reflecting Avride's momentum with Uber and Hyundai). Key recent developments supporting the current valuation: - 2017: Avride founded though Yandex Self Driving Group - 2017-2024: Development... - October 2024: Multi-year Uber partnership for delivery robots and robotaxis - March 2025: Hyundai MOU for co-development of Level 4 autonomous vehicles - October 2025: Up to $375 million in strategic investment from Uber and Nebius - By EOY 2025: Dallas Texas Robotaxi Launch with Uber We’re now seeing 7 years of R&D starting commercialization ramp (like Waymo), through $UBER this year. and you can get this hyper scaling self-driving FSD level 4 robotaxi company. As discounted spare change of $NBIS at a $21B marketcap. 🚗 Seeing how Avride is growing triple digits Y/Y and we’re seeing the company finally commercialize after 7 years of capex into research, there’s a nonzero chance it becomes valued way more than the Nebius current market cap in 2 years. We've seen Waymo grow from a $45B marketcap (October 2024, $5.6B raised) to over $200B+ (DA Davison suggested valuation). Avride is now only at $6B and a small change of $NBIS's marketcap. But it's at the precipice of growth with $UBER, just like how Waymo started out in SF but now it's everywhere. Nebius ( $NBIS ) is the misunderstood growth company in the market. But being early to the next generation companies is where the highest returns are made as an investor

@mvcinvesting LFG

Citizens initiated coverage on $NBIS with an Outperform rating and a $175 Price Target 🟢

@EndicottInvests Lot of people made fun of this metric a couple of weeks ago just because we were all time highs. It's not perfect but show something. We are still close to all time highs but individual high-beta stocks are getting killed almost as much as they were in april

Fear and greed hit a low of 4 in the aprils lows, which was the worst since 08 I believe. We’re currently at 20. Not saying it’s a perfect indicator but we’re close to a bottom IMO.

@nikoliasgoninus @mvcinvesting Spoiler: "it kept going down"

@mvcinvesting Hahaha 🤭

We're getting close to the Peter Lynch quotes stage.

@genZinvest0r You are right. But obviously, a lot of those startups gonna fail as well. However I think the demand created by the winners will outshine the lost demand of the losers.

$NBIS isn’t just selling GPUs, it’s incubating the future of AI! Everyone’s currently watching out for the next major contract to be signed with a Hyperscaler or Frontier AI-lab (me included), but there is a hidden compounding engine just constantly working beneath the surface and its quietly turning into $NBIS biggest competitive advantage. It should be apparent to everyone by now that AI is the defining tech of our generation and will be the key driver of economic development in the future. This also means that it will leave behind a whole host of opportunities for front-leaning businesses and startups to capitalize and scale rapidly. Management already stated that: "hundreds of AI startups" have chosen $NBIS over the Hyperscalers(!). That matters because AI companies can scale from a handful of engineers to category leaders incredibly fast (just look at OpenAI, Midjourney, Elevenlabs, Hugging Face etc.) and the platform they build on early is usually the platform they stick with at scale. Think about it, when you own $NBIS you don’t just own a datacenter story; you get broad exposure to a portfolio of AI startups across agents, multimodal search, drug discovery, robotics, AV stacks, and more. If even a slice of those break out into AI powerhouses, their GPU footprint explodes, and $NBIS rides that demand automatically! When management says that $NBIS aims to become the “AWS of AI infrastructure,” they don’t just mean the biggest provider, they mean the most foundational one. AWS didn’t win because it had the most servers; it won because the world’s largest digital businesses were built on top of it. That’s the same play $NBIS is replicating in AI! The goal isn’t simply to rent out GPUs, it’s to become the infrastructure layer that births the next generation of AI powerhouses. The more these startups grow, the more dependent they become on $NBIS's stack, and that's what being the "AWS of infrastructure" really means! Now, why do they pick $NBIS? Because the stack is purpose-built for AI and removes the friction that slows teams down. Startups get fast provisioning and orchestration (Kubernetes/Slurm-style scheduling that scales from 8 to 8,000 GPUs), high-throughput networking for distributed training (NCCL that actually sings on tuned fabrics), storage layouts that fit the job (object for datasets/checkpoints, blisteringly fast local for throughput), and a ready-to-go runtime (CUDA/NCCL/Triton with NVIDIA AI Enterprise, NIM, NeMo) so engineers are shipping models instead of wrestling drivers. Add clean observability and cost controls you can hand to founders and CFOs, and the first enterprise security review doesn’t stall because $NBIS already checks the boxes (SOC 2 Type II, HIPAA, ISO 27001 and more, plus EU-ready alignment). It’s velocity, not just capacity. This is the advantage of having a company built by founders who understand startups. $NBIS doesn’t guess what early-stage teams need, they’ve lived it! That’s why the product feels tailor-made, almost like a glove-in-hand fit for every AI startup. The platform is built around the real challenges of scaling fast with limited resources, evolving models, and nonstop experimentation. The stack creates real stickiness. - Data gravity: petabytes of datasets and checkpoints live on $NBIS, moving is time consuming and creates serious friction. - Tooling familiarity: container images, launch scripts, cluster configs, CI/CD, all the muscle memory is built here. - Performance tuning: kernels, sharding strategies, and parallelism are tuned to this fabric; you don’t casually re-tune mid-sprint. - Security/procurement: BAAs, DPAs, and internal approvals are done; switching clouds restarts the paper chase. - Commercials: credits -> discounts -> commitments -> enterprise support etc, all leads to the compounding of the relationship. Every step happens on the same tools, same data plane, same ops playbook, no migration tax, no lost weeks. That’s how loyalty forms and why the “AI incubator” dynamic will be the biggest ROI for $NBIS in the future. $NBIS further amplifies this with its startup tiers (Explorer/Builder/Scaler). Early teams get meaningful credits and hands-on help to hit product-market fit; as they grow, pricing, capacity planning, and support scale with them. By the time they’re selling into big enterprises, $NBIS already clears compliance gates and regional requirements, especially powerful in Europe, where rules are tight and getting tighter by the day. Its been apparent from the start, every decision $NBIS makes, has been one step ahead of the competition! While the market is eagerly waiting for the next announcement, $NBIS is quietly building an army of loyal customers who will need more GPUs, more regions, more everything as their products hit scale. It’s a built-in hedge on AI innovation, a broad basket of early bets, and when winners emerge, $NBIS is the default beneficiary because those teams are already all-in on the stack. This is the long game. Build the platform the next wave of AI leaders trusts, then grow with them. That’s how you turn today’s credits into tomorrow’s durable revenue! As management put it themselves, everything so far has just been the preview, we are now preparing for the next 10X growth!🚀🚀🚀

@meeijer I agree, but it has to be a big difference in either conviction or risk-reward. If it's arguable or not in a smaller range then I rather just buy both.

HOT TAKE: If I find a stock with a stronger risk-reward profile, I don’t mind reallocating part of an existing position, even if I’ve only held it for a month or two. The logic’s simple: I’ll always move capital toward higher-conviction, better risk–reward opportunities. Do you agree?

@mvcinvesting Call options/leaps were ridiculously cheap for PYPL. I'm glad I took the opportunity.

JUST IN: $PYPL signs deal with OpenAI to become the first payments wallet integrated into ChatGPT. Starting in 2026, $PYPL users will be able to shop and check out directly within ChatGPT, while merchants will be able to list and sell their products through the platform. The stock is up ~15%.

@EndicottInvests Market is just so weird. It dumps speculative 0 revenue stocks and it confuses Nbis with it, but at the same time its pumping other meme stocks

$NBIS the dip that keeps dipping! Under $100 might be coming.. 👀

@Kross_Roads 26'june calls are juicy on PYPL

$PYPL PayPal ads are going to shock a lot of people next year. They've assembled a great team and the opportunity is immense.

@mvcinvesting That's kinda hilarious...they will probably end the year around 1.1B ARR, so even without the MSFT deal we would easily get that 1,68...

The new Street estimate sits at ~$1.68B. That’s a 91% increase in about five months. 🤯 And let me tell you one thing: $NBIS will still likely crush that number.

@EndicottInvests Ohh, so you are the one pushing up the price of Nbis currently. It's good to know but tell us before you do it next time. Ty.

Bought $NBIS

@mvcinvesting Never change bro. People who are analysing 10 new stocks a month cannot really go deep. It really takes time and effort and often repetition!! of information to truely embrance something. You just can't rush it.

I know many people expect me to share ideas frequently, but the reality is that truly asymmetric opportunities are rare, at least by my standards. As a highly concentrated investor, I need strong conviction before building a meaningful position in a new name.

@EndicottInvests I agree. After q2 we hit $75 on the 1.1 ARR guidance and now after getting a contract bigger than the whole company it still trades "only" at $90. Not to mention only 3 analysts updated their price targets. We seem very early...

Going long $NBIS here feels easier than ever. Revenue can no longer be “speculated” and we now have a base case thanks to $MSFT deal. The deal of course can be terminated but highly unlikely.

@sam_badawi @FunOfInvesting if he starts selling CCs we gonna be fine

@FunOfInvesting You’re getting waayyy too bullish for my handling rn man. We’re cooked

In retrospect, $NBIS CEOs $270.5M pre-planned sale turned out to be the BIGGEST retail shakeout before a massive +50% move only days later. To the Retail investors who panic-sold, the lesson is simple: KNOW WHAT YOU HOLD

@daniel_koss Well, we have no idea how demand-supply will look 5 years from now. Msft became a customer coz they need compute today. But there is no guarantee they wont be able to build it out for themselves 5 years from now. However I agree that the 50% move on Nbis is probably too small.

@blstfl The entire industry is supply-constrained. Demand is not the issue. That's why Microsoft wants to work with Nebius. And as highlighted in the post: this business is sticky af. You think after 5 years and 20B in spend MSFT will be like "ok cool, that's it - peace out"? lol

$NBIS is ridiculously underpriced after a mere 50% jump on the Microsoft deal. It's honestly comical. Just look at the numbers. They got a $17.4-19.4B revenue deal from $MSFT. Market cap only increased by $7.55B. Cloud businesses have INSANE NDR (Net Dollar Retention) of 115-130%. Simply put: Cloud businesses grow very fast just from existing customers alone and are really sticky. Expect recurring revenue. Expect the deal size to expand. Most importantly: 5 years is just what they contracted. Do you realize that Microsoft (the world’s biggest capex spender) is now basically a Nebius customer forever? On this deal alone, investors are basically paying 7–10x earnings, while hyperscalers usually trade at 20–40x. If you think a 50% pump is fair, you're being emotional not rational. It’s like saying 1 + 4 = 1.5, because that’s already a lot. YOU'RE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH! 😜 Please share this post with your investor friends or copy paste the numbers. I don't even want to get credit, I just want people to get the freakin numbers right and not say stupid shit like "oh no, it went 50% up, now I missed it".