๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ

6.1K posts

๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ banner
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๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ

@Agrippa_Inv

แด˜แด‡แด„แดœษดษชแด€ ษดแดษด แดสŸแด‡แด›

Money Printer Katฤฑlฤฑm Mart 2022
1.1K Takip Edilen29.2K Takipรงiler
SabitlenmiลŸ Tweet
๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ
$IREN - Complete A-Z investment case In this post Iโ€™ll cover why I expect this hyper-growth stock to crack $150 over the next 18 monthsโ€”representing a gain of 1150% from its current price of $12 ๐Ÿ“ˆ I went โ€˜All-Inโ€™ this stock, and for good reasonโ€ฆ. ๐Ÿงต
๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ tweet media
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Birk
Birk@Bare_Birkยท
I dont think people actually know that Iren got a 3,4bn contract with Nvidia. The first one NVIDIA has done with a neocloud
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matt@longinvest32

@Bare_Birk @qwertyuipasd11 @grok explain to this guy that iren is nvidias customer not the other way around please

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Late Stage Capitalism
Late Stage Capitalism@GlobalCollapseยท
@ilzmcfly @XCapitalMgmt @Agrippa_Inv @_Sgr_A_Star Why is everyone also assuming that the 60MW is gross power not IT load? If calculated as IT load then the difference between the two contracts is about 20% which is in line with my estimates versus gross which would make it almost double. I think it must be IT load.
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Late Stage Capitalism
Late Stage Capitalism@GlobalCollapseยท
I think the single biggest thing people are missing on $IREN is that GPU rental rates have increased *a lot* since the $MSFT deal. That same deal signed today would be $12B, not $9.7B. The costs have not changed that much, the next deal will be fuel for the stock.
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Dh๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธrmesh Patel
@Agrippa_Inv what say you
๐’ฐ๐“‚๐’ท๐’พ๐“ˆ๐’ถ๐“‚@Umbisam

I strongly believe in hybrid models when scaling into the unknowns ... ie this new AI stratosphere ... at times, particularly if/when you need a ton of capital, you may want to take note of at least some investors preferences market is telling, quite loudly, colo is an appreciated model, as it gives (perception of) stability for much longer than csp (10/15 years) that means higher market cap, easier access to capital and - above all - lower dilution for current shareholders going all in GPU as-a-service seems more ideological than first principled (at least for me & several investors I regularly talk to) ... it's a bet without para-shoots ... closer to reasoned gambling than fundamental investing ... it may turn out to be a huge win, as possibly a dramatic defeat ... 90/10 ... 50/50 ... 10/90 ... nobody knows odds now days ... we'll know in two years maybe I understand NBIS & CRWV seemingly winners in the GPU-only model ... sort of supporting the idea that a vertically integrated GPU as-a-service provider will necessarily win even more ... but that's a wrong take imo !! they seem to win as they are 1yr ahead in the cycle (ahead by leasing DCs here & there instead of building them out/owning) ... their anticipated cash flows are winning (as it happened with MARA & RIOT back in the day, in mining) ... but the business model - beside initial anticipation - is structurally weak and their current market cap proves nothing (they better raise at these levels, in fact). All in all ... GPU as-a-service only is an unproven model and colo is a fantastic tool for smoothing/balancing out upside & downside. No need to prefer one over the other ... just do both. Pretty sure IREN would trade at $100/sh if it had signed a colo deal with MSFT. Or if it would sign a similar size colo-only deal with any top HS in coming weeks/months. My take, in a world of unknowns and having secured a ton of GWs, is to present the market - aspirationally - a 50/50 colo/GPU model. Taking the most out of either. Going all in GPU-only is limiting your many options. For no reasons.

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Frans Bakker
Frans Bakker@FransBakker9812ยท
Added $NBIS here at $213 Long and strong ๐Ÿš€
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Billions777888
Billions777888@Billions777888ยท
There it is they decoded it
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๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ
So what? $IREN was exploring options, which is what any prudent management should be doing. $IREN had an HPC related MOU with Dell back in 2020, shortly after having been founded & a year before they really got into mining. The pre-IPO deck made explicit that they are building a versitile data center platform from day 1, with $BTC mining just being one of the verticals. How much more evidence do you need? Your way of reasoning is very shallow.
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Edge Of Power
Edge Of Power@edge_of_powerยท
Back in 2024 $IREN hired Morgan Stanley for selling SW-1 among on the other options. They terminated the agreement but the bad blood remained. Morgan Stanley isnโ€™t underwriting for Iren and doesnโ€™t have a price target tho itโ€™s working with other miners. So all these tales about AI from the beginning arenโ€™t true. @danroberts0101 is opportunistic. When he realised that he owns land and power he started the AI pivot with Mikeโ€™s help. Thatโ€™s also the reason why he was so slow with engineering and Mirantis acquisition.
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Pei๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿš€โšก๏ธ๐Ÿš—
Anyone who understands IREN from the ground up knows that there was never a so-called AI pivot. IREN was founded to build real-world infrastructures for the ever-expanding digital world, whether for mining BTC or hosting AI workloads, and theyโ€™re just really damn good at building data centers.
Daniel Roberts@danroberts0101

March 2020. ๐Ÿ‘‡ Six years later, the vision is very much alive. @MichaelDell ๐Ÿ‘Š

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mon
mon@moninvestorยท
Hereโ€™s a complete list of all stocks that I've added to my long-term portfolio: 1. $HIMS - Added in 2023, one of my earliest long-term holdings. I've traded it few times after it hit my 10x PT. 2. $IREN - Added in 2024, currently my largest position. 3. $ASTS - Added in 2025, sold later due to concentrated portfolio. 4. $ONDS - Added in 2025. Remained a core long-term holding throughout late 2025. Recently sold out due to change in thesis. 5. $RR - Added in 2025, sold later due to lost confidence. 6. $KRKNF - Added in early March 2026. First addition of the year. I only add a stock to the long-term portfolio if I believe it has 10x potential over 10 years. I've decided to sell all except IREN to keep the portfolio concentrated. This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and note that portfolio holdings can change.
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deadshot
deadshot@dead_sh0ttยท
A short story in 4 parts, brought to none other than @daniel_koss Day 1. Pumps an OTC stock ( $CGEH ) to his paid subscribers near ATH Day 2. Promotes how good of a stock picker he is, claims the OTC stock has 10x upside Day 3. Stock starts to go down, radio silence ensues Day 4. Stock is down 40% from ATH, claims he sold out completely without informing his minions. Called out for pumping a stock and using followers as exit liquidity, immediately blocks anyone pointing this out. Do not allow yourself to be exit liquidity for these retardios
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Daniel Roberts
Daniel Roberts@danroberts0101ยท
March 2020. ๐Ÿ‘‡ Six years later, the vision is very much alive. @MichaelDell ๐Ÿ‘Š
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sigma_male96
sigma_male96@Ahsanullah96ยท
@Agrippa_Inv They should be executing on DC or project financing already at this stage. Infra was never meant to be more equity/quasi-equity than debt. Puzzled as to why, when clearly there is appetite in the market (CIFR/WULF 6-7% secured notes)
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๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ
$IREN's new convertible offering is arguably the strongest one to date. - Size: $2.6b, up to $3b if extension option is exercised - Conversion Premium: 32.5% - Annual Coupon: 1% - Maturity Date: December, 2033 These are incredible terms! The only prior note offering that comes close to this is 'Convert 3', which on paper may look stronger (0% Coupon /42.5% Conversion). But keep in mind, that convert's size is ~1/3 of today's and expires 2 years prior. Generally speaking, the more capital you raise & the further out the maturity date, the worse terms you get. I'm a very happy shareholder today. This offering proves once again that $IREN's finance team is amongst the best in the industry.
๐€๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ tweet media
Frans Bakker@FransBakker9812

$IREN Prices Upsized $2.6 Billion 1% Convertible Senior Notes Due 2033 @IREN_Ltd announced the pricing of its upsized private offering of $2.6 billion in 1.00% convertible senior notes due 2033 (increased from the previously announced $2 billion). Key Terms: - Coupon: 1.00% (paid semi-annually) - Maturity: December 1, 2033 - Initial Conversion Price: ~$73.07 per share (32.5% premium to the $55.15 closing price on May 11, 2026) - Conversion Rate: 13.6848 ordinary shares per $1,000 principal - Capped Calls: Entered with a cap price of $110.30 (100% premium) to reduce dilution upon conversion Proceeds & Use: - Expected net proceeds: $2.57 billion ($2.96 billion if the $400 million option is fully exercised) - ~$174.5 million to fund capped call transactions - Remainder for general corporate purposes and working capital The notes settle on May 14, 2026. This move provides IREN with significant low-cost capital to support its AI cloud and data center growth.

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BitcoinAIGuy
BitcoinAIGuy@BitcoinAIGuyยท
I just got a late night call from Serenity. They/them confessed they were being paid to hate $IREN and begged me to forgive him/her. I said tomorrow will be a new day and there is still plenty of time to go long $IREN for another 10x. Serenity cried. I cried. Arkady cried.
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Brian McArtor
Brian McArtor@BrianMcartorยท
@Agrippa_Inv how come you never hear about convertibles for nbis & crwv; nbis hitting new highs!
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Julian Ciccale
Julian Ciccale@foliotrailยท
@Agrippa_Inv @FransBakker9812 @IREN_Ltd VERY? This is bananas. This is "we are about to deploy at scale and want to pre-fund before customer prepayments arrive on the next round of contracts." It points to confidence in the 2027 contract pipeline.
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Frans Bakker
Frans Bakker@FransBakker9812ยท
$IREN Prices Upsized $2.6 Billion 1% Convertible Senior Notes Due 2033 @IREN_Ltd announced the pricing of its upsized private offering of $2.6 billion in 1.00% convertible senior notes due 2033 (increased from the previously announced $2 billion). Key Terms: - Coupon: 1.00% (paid semi-annually) - Maturity: December 1, 2033 - Initial Conversion Price: ~$73.07 per share (32.5% premium to the $55.15 closing price on May 11, 2026) - Conversion Rate: 13.6848 ordinary shares per $1,000 principal - Capped Calls: Entered with a cap price of $110.30 (100% premium) to reduce dilution upon conversion Proceeds & Use: - Expected net proceeds: $2.57 billion ($2.96 billion if the $400 million option is fully exercised) - ~$174.5 million to fund capped call transactions - Remainder for general corporate purposes and working capital The notes settle on May 14, 2026. This move provides IREN with significant low-cost capital to support its AI cloud and data center growth.
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์žฌ๋ถ•์ด_Jin
์žฌ๋ถ•์ด_Jin@GyujinAAIGยท
์™œ ์ €๋ฒˆ๊ณผ๋Š” ๋‹ค๋ฅด๊ฒŒ ์—”๋น„๋””์•„์™€์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋กœ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋„์›Œ๋†“๊ณ  ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„๋ฅผ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•œ๊ฑธ๊นŒ? ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„๋ฅผ ์“ด ๋ˆ์€ ์–ด๋””๋กœ ๊ฐˆ๊นŒ? ๋‚ด๋…„ sweetwater 1 300mw, h5-6 150mw, air cooled 250mw, canal flat 30mw๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•œ capex๋Š” ์–ผ๋งˆ์ผ๊นŒ? ์ด ์ค‘ gpu capex๋Š” 60ํ”„๋กœ ํŒŒ์ด๋‚ธ์‹ฑ์„ ๋ฐ›๊ณ , ์ผ๋ถ€ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์—์„œ ์„ ๊ธ‰๊ธˆ์„ ๋ฐ›๊ณ  atmํ•œ๋„๋งŒํผ ์ฃผ์‹์„ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•œ๋‹ค๋ฉด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋กœ ์กฐ๋‹ฌํ•ด์•ผํ•˜๋Š” ๊ธˆ์•ก์€ ๋Œ€๋žต ์–ผ๋งˆ์ธ๊ฐ€? (๋‹ค๋งŒ, ๊ณ„์•ฝ์˜ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์™€ ์„ ๊ธ‰๊ธˆ ํผ์„ผํ‹ฐ์ง€์˜ ์ฐจ์ด์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋Š” ๊ธˆ์•ก์€ ๋ณ€๋™์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค) ----- 27๋…„๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„ $2b ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋กœ ์ตœ์†Œ 2๋ฒˆ์€ ๋” ๋ฐ›์•„์•ผํ•˜๋Š” ๊ทธ๋ฆผ์ด ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค ๋” ํ•  ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ๊ณ  ์•ž์œผ๋กœ๋„ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋„์šด ๋‹ค์Œ์— ์ „ํ™˜ ์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•ด์„œ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ ๊ธ‰๋ฝ ๋ฐ˜๋ณต๋˜๋Š” ๊ทธ๋ฆผ์€ ์ž์—ฐ์Šค๋Ÿฝ๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜์˜ฌ๊ฑฐ์ž„ ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„๊ฐ€ ๋ฌด์„œ์šฐ๋ฉด ์ง€๊ธˆ ํ•˜์ฐจํ•˜๋Š”๊ฒŒ ๋งž์Œ. ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ์„ ์‹ซ์–ดํ•ด์„œ ์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ํฌ์„๋ ์ง€ ๊ณตํฌ์— ๋–จ๊ฒŒ ๋˜๊ณ  ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋‹น์—ฐํžˆ ๋–จ์–ด์งˆ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Œ. ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ์‹œ์„ ์„ ์กด์ค‘ํ•ด์•ผํ•จ ๊ทผ๋ฐ $iren ์— ํฐ ๊ฒฐ์‹ฌ์„ ๊ฐ–๊ณ  ํˆฌ์žํ•œ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด๋ผ๋ฉด ํˆฌ์žํ•˜๊ธฐ ์ „์— ๋„๋Œ€์ฒด ๋ฌด์Šจ ์ƒ๊ฐ์œผ๋กœ $iren ์— ํˆฌ์žํ–ˆ๋Š”์ง€ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•ด๋ณด๊ธธ ๋ฐ”๋žŒ ๋งŒ์•ฝ ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„๊ฐ€ ๋ฌด์„œ์›Œ์„œ ๋งค๋„ํ•˜๋Š”๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋ฉด ์• ์ดˆ์— ๊ธฐ์—…, ์„นํ„ฐ ๋ถ„์„์ด ์ œ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์€ ์ƒํƒœ๋ผ๋Š”๊ฑฐ์ž„ ์ € ์ˆ˜๋ฐฑ์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ capex ๊ฐ€ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋Š” ์‚ฌ์—…์—์„œ $iren ์ด ๋ญ” ์ˆ˜๋กœ ์ž๊ธˆ์„ ์กฐ๋‹ฌํ•ด์•ผํ•˜๋‚˜? ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ ๋งค์ถœ์ด ๊ฑฐ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ธฐ์—…๋„ ์•„๋‹ˆ๊ณ  ai ํด๋ผ์šฐ๋“œ ์‚ฌ์—…์€ ์ด์ œ์•ผ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ramp๋ผ ํฐ ๊ธฐ์—ฌ๋ฅผ ํ•  ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ์—†๋Š”๋ฐ ๋”์šฑ์ด ์ด์ „ ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๊ณ ๋Š” $iren ์€ ์Šค๋งˆํŠธํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์ž๋ณธ ์กฐ๋‹ฌํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค ์ €๋ฒˆ์— ํ•˜๋„ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋‚ฎ์„๋•Œ ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•ด์„œ ์š• ๊ฑฐํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋จน์–ด์„œ ์ด๋ฒˆ์—” nvidia ํ„ฐ๋œจ๋ ค์ฃผ๊ณ  60๋ถˆ๊นŒ์ง€ ์˜ฌ๋ฆฐ๋‹ด์— ์ „ํ™˜์‚ฌ์ฑ„ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ–ˆ์Œ ๋•๋ถ„์— ์ „ํ™˜๊ฐ€๋Š” ์˜ฌ๋ผ๊ฐ”๊ณ  capped call ์ ์šฉ ์‹œ $100๊นŒ์ง€๋„ ํฌ์„ ์ƒ์‡„์‹œ์ผœ์ค„๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š” ์ถ”์ธก์ด ๋‚˜์˜ค๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ ์ดˆ์ €๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋กœ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•ด์„œ ํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ž…์žฅ์—์„œ๋„ ๋ถ€๋‹ด์ด ๊ต‰์žฅํžˆ ์ ์Œ ๋นš์ด ๋งŽ์•„์ง€๋ฉด ์žฌ๋ฌด์ œํ‘œ ์—‰๋ง๋˜๋‹ˆ๊นŒ ๊ณ„์•ฝํ• ๋•Œ ์ฑ… ์žกํž ์ผ ์—†๋„๋ก ๋ถ€์ฑ„ ์ž๋ณธ ๋น„์œจ ๋งž์ถฐ์•ผํ•ด์„œ atm๋„ ์ •ํ•ด์ง„ ๋น„์œจ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋Œ๋ฆผ ๋ญ˜ ๋” ํ•ด์ค˜์•ผํ•˜๋‚˜ ์‹ถ์Œ ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์•„์ง๊นŒ์ง€ gpu ํŒŒ์ด๋‚ธ์‹ฑ๋งŒ ํ–ˆ์ง€, ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ ํ˜„๊ธˆ ํ๋ฆ„์„ ๋‹ด๋ณด๋กœ ํ•˜๋Š” ํŒŒ์ด๋‚ธ์‹ฑ ๋“ฑ์˜ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉ์‹์€ ์“ฐ์ง€๋„ ์•Š์Œ ๋‚˜๋Š” $iren ์˜ ai ํด๋ผ์šฐ๋“œ ๋งค์ถœ ์ปจ์„ผ์„œ์Šค ํ•˜ํšŒ, horizon 1์˜ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ธ๋„๋กœ ์ง€์—ฐ ์ด๊ฑธ ํ•˜์ฐจ ์ด์œ ๋กœ ๋“ค๋ฉด ์ดํ•ด๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋Š”๋ฐ ์ž๋ณธ์กฐ๋‹ฌ๋กœ ๊นŒ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ๋Š”๊ฑด ์–ต๊นŒ๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ด„
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Late Stage Capitalism
Late Stage Capitalism@GlobalCollapseยท
@Agrippa_Inv @jiahanjimliu @IRENBULLLL But if they unwind the capped calls but keep the old remaining notes doesn't that increase the eventual cost when those get exercised? I guess it's just cash in hand since the max gain on the capped calls was reached?
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Jim Liu
Jim Liu@jiahanjimliuยท
Was initially confused about $IREN's convertibles but with recovery to $59-$60, the market has accepted that most likely reason is to retire old notes. Currently contract obligations are full funded so this is iether for retiring old notes or funding for SW1 DC buildout. To get SW1 ready for Vera Rubins, DC buildout will likely commence around end of Aug/Sept/Oct this year. Thanks to OF Chat, consensus is that Convertibles will close and be announced as oversubscribed on Wednesday/Thursday.
McFly@ilzmcfly

My opinion on the $IREN converts. They will primarily use them to retire old notes as said in the filing. This is a normal strategy many companies use to retire old notes. Since the stock price is near ATH itโ€™s a good time to announce it incase of any macro pullback. I will wait until pricing to see full details.

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The God Particle
The God Particle@_Sgr_A_Starยท
My best guess is the 2.3B bond will be earmarked as capex for Horizon 5-6 and retrofitting the rest of the 250MW air cooled Childress capacity. Not every turtle makes it out to sea. It's nature - the weak hands will be picked off before they make it. I know I'm making it out to sea, are you?
GIF
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Mike Gold
Mike Gold@4fun1984ยท
@Agrippa_Inv @VFirst999 Bro we would have been back over $70 today if Dan and his retardenness didnโ€™t do this. The guy has one hell of a time destroying momentum. Time after time.
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