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The 2024 US election feels more like 2004! I think it's very likely (even though it's four years away) that the next GOP nominee will fail to hold Trump's electoral coalition together!
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Benjamin Jackson
29.9K posts
The football, the atmosphere and even the commentary, this era is the absolute goat.
ابو@MAA_Gunner
20 years ago today, Arsenal beat Juventus in the home leg of the CL quarter finals with a masterclass from 18 year old Cesc Fabregas. Robert Pires tackled Patrick Vieira for the 1st goal & admitted he had never even tackled Vieira in training before.
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@SCFCJosh96 21 was effectively a home tournament for England
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2021 by an absolute mile.
2024 we spent half the tournament moaning about being shit so reaching a final was seen as a bonus
Waleed@waleedinhoafc
Bias aside, which one hurt more?
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Obviously 2021. If Southgate didn’t shit his pants we win that, Italy were cack & there for the taking. 2024 Spain were much better than us.
Waleed@waleedinhoafc
Bias aside, which one hurt more?
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Italy all day. We were better than them but went too negative.
Spain we were negative as well, but they were just better than us all tournament so it was more hope than expectation.
Waleed@waleedinhoafc
Bias aside, which one hurt more?
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Spurs coach Igor Tudor has been sacked. Brought in to have an impact, he lost 5 in 7.
Spurs remind me of 2022/23 #LUFC side. Players uninterested and increasingly desperate managerial appointments.
Leeds ended that season with Sam Allardyce in charge, who next for Spurs?
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@cvhdavidblues @PremiershipYrs We had a fantastic team on paper 2004-05 but it didn't really click
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@PremiershipYrs That was a proper car crash watch through your fingers season. Got fanciful dreams of being more of a galactico football team but didn’t quite work that way. Tbf things went down after Mark Bowen moved to Blackburn.
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Retro Match of the Day teamsheets.
Birmingham City from February 2006.
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@Socdem_Michael That's before the reduction in the Latino vote.
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This swing alone would be enough to probably guarantee the Dems win the House, even if all other demographics stay similar to 2024. (Which they won’t).
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
Trump approval (ages 18-29 only) Approve: 23% Disapprove: 76% —— Net Approval 🟡 Feb 2025: (-1) 🟤 Dec 2025: (-23) 🔴 Mar 2026: (-53) @QuantusInsights | 3/25-26 | LV
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Help me out here….
I love football, like love it, it’s a huge part of my life, and watching #SaintsFC effects a lot of my life…
So why is it whenever the national team play, I just can’t be bothered, like not interested in watching at all..
Am I alone on this view??
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Shows how humble the man is that Bielsa has absolutely no idea how much he is adored by the Leeds fans. No player or manager in the last 40 years ago (since the Revie era) has had anything like the impact he has had ❤️
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Trump has ZERO leverage anymore. World is sidelining weakened United States.
Faytuks Network@FaytuksNetwork
NEW: India and Russia verbally agree to resume direct sales of Russian LNG to India for the first time since the start of the Ukraine war, violating Western sanctions. Negotiations on the deal expected to conclude in the coming weeks - Reuters
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@BA__Fogel @bloggingsbyboz I don't think she takes military action on Venezuela
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@bloggingsbyboz In what alternate universe is President Harris not dealing with President Maduro?
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@Socdem_Michael He's likely to lose nationally but Rubio has said he won't run if Vance does, and I think Vance runs
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I mean, he’s the nominee unless Trump endorses someone else. Pretty simple. Incumbent VP’s have a massive advantage in a presidential primary if they decide to run for president.
If Trump backs him (like most presidents back their VP), then he’s going to win the nomination and it won’t be close.
Unless we are in a scenario where the economy bottoms out and Trump is in W. Bush sub-30 approval range. Then maybe the Republican donor class and right-wing media revolt and demand a nominee who isn’t anchored to Trump’s unpopularity.
Phil Magness@PhilWMagness
Reasons Vance won't be the nominee in 2028: - His polls are cratering. - He loses head-to-head vs most Dems - even to AOC. - 2026 midterms are going to be a brutal test of his electoral coalition. - He's also losing influence inside the Trump admin. - Being a frontrunner 2.5 years out is a poor predictor of becoming the nominee (see Jeb! in 2016 and Giuliani and Hillary in 2008) All of that belies the weird Postliberal wishcasting about how he's the anointed one to usher in right wing socialist theocracy. And they get very, very mad when you point that out.
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@RobertJMolnar In effect Trump only has 7 months of the branches of government in his favour and it's only a year (if that) until the 2028 election kicks off.
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this is correct
everybody is waiting Trump to be gone....a few years is nothing in geopolitical time
Allies and enemies alike are done with this embarrassment of a clueless dementia ridden dipshit moron fucking muppet worst President in history
Don Winslow@donwinslow
Iran is smart enough to wait out Donald Trump. Just like Iraq did. Just like Afghanistan did. Just like Vietnam did. Oh...and there are mid-terms coming up. Trump and @SecWar have lit a fire they cannot control or win.
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@RobertJMolnar Even if he could run again, his current approvals suggest he would likely lose.
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please for fucks sake, stop with this whole Trump dictator for life bullshit.....he can't run for a 3rd term, no way around it.
Also, if he was as smart as he said he is, he would have put all of these wasted resources to invading and freeing Cuba.....i said it long time ago, easy win.
WE HAVE A FUCKING MILITARY BASE, PERHAPS YOU HEARD OF IT, CALLED GITMO, already there.
An afternoon drive with the Marines there, with full air cover, presto, Cuba is taken
but no....lets start a war with Iran, who fought Iraq for 8 years and didn't fold.....
Tony Garcia@tonygarcia7739
@RobertJMolnar He wants to do something with Cuba, that would be his goal, leave his mark to advance his career but will not run in 28 after this disaster. He will bail out sooner than later! Don't know his career could be salvaged!
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@PhilWMagness @TheFoolishPig Vance likely gets the nomination if he runs but it's very difficult for a non incumbent nominee of the governing party to win.
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@TheFoolishPig Biden did not run as an incumbent VP though. That leaves only Bush
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Reasons Vance won't be the nominee in 2028:
- His polls are cratering.
- He loses head-to-head vs most Dems - even to AOC.
- 2026 midterms are going to be a brutal test of his electoral coalition.
- He's also losing influence inside the Trump admin.
- Being a frontrunner 2.5 years out is a poor predictor of becoming the nominee (see Jeb! in 2016 and Giuliani and Hillary in 2008)
All of that belies the weird Postliberal wishcasting about how he's the anointed one to usher in right wing socialist theocracy. And they get very, very mad when you point that out.
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@TheAngrySaxon22 @ShaunPinnerUA I doubt that even a future Democrat president goes to war with Russia over Ukraine.
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@ShaunPinnerUA No one will do it. We have seen how cowardly even those nearest the war have been and continue to be to this day. There is no reality where anyone goes to war with ruZZia to defend Ukraine from further attacks. It's a completely dead proposal from the outset.
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There is no scenario where the Donald Trump administration goes to war with Russia. None.
So what are “security guarantees” actually worth?
We’ve seen this before, Budapest.
Ukraine gave up its nukes. Got promises, and when it mattered most, those promises didn’t stop Vladimir Putin.
That ship hasn’t just sailed, it sank.
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@btharris93 Also, Trump won't like being a lame duck in 27 and 28
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Makes me wonder what other insane crap Trump is going to do between now and next January, given it's looking likely that the Republicans will lose both Houses of Congress.
Obviously he'll try and steal the midterms, but that's very difficult to do, thankfully.
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
QUINNIPIAC: Generic Ballot polling trend among Independent voters October 2018 🟦 Democrats: 50% (+11) 🟥 Republicans: 39% MARCH 2026 🟦 Democrats: 57% (+31) 🟥 Republicans: 26%
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@RobertJMolnar Second terms are almost always tougher than the first
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this is going to be 2006 midterms....with lame duck GWB
(like Trump today), in a war that nobody approved of at that point, economy in shambles, and the GOP got dog walked demolished down to dog catcher.
will say that I ran one of the only successful GOP statewide wins in the country, not bragging....sort of not bragging
These midterms are toast for the GOP, the House majority, the tiny majority, is cooked....still not sure about the Senate because the map is tough
But Trump is not pulling out of this nosedive
Acyn@Acyn
CNN: Democrats are winning local elections everywhere throughout 2025 and now throughout 2026, and they're doing it all over the map. In ruby red states like Florida, in Georgia, in Mississippi, in Texas, in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The math speaks plainly as day. Democrats have huge enthusiasm behind them right now, and Republicans keep losing in places where just in November of 2024, they were winning big.
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@CraigCrisostom1 @HacknerTyler @DrewSav Also Presidents second terms are usually less successful than the first
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@DrewSav Should be noted that, by this point in Trump's first term, the GOP was still able to flip state legislative seats in specials.
The fact that they have yet to do so this time thus far is a warning sign that their present coalition is maxed out and they have nowhere to go but down
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Republicans have flipped zero state legislative seats in Trump's second term
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