Botond Feledy

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Botond Feledy

Botond Feledy

@botidoki

Brussels-based #ForeignPolicy and #EU expert, affectionate about the rabbithole of #Forecasting and #ThreatAssessment.

Brussels Katılım Haziran 2009
708 Takip Edilen980 Takipçiler
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Szabolcs Panyi
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs·
‼️Here's the result of Western allies letting Hungary increase dependency on Russian energy without limitations. As we reported, the number of Russian citizens building Rosatom's nuclear power plant in Hungary is set to increase from 400 to 1,000 by 2025: vsquare.org/goulash-newsle…
Michael Weiss@michaeldweiss

Orban’s latest move, amid heightened (and well-founded) European fears of Russian sabotage operations: forbes.hu/tarsadalom/oro…

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The Kyiv Independent
The Kyiv Independent@KyivIndependent·
All Kinzhal ballistic missiles fired by Russia at targets in Kyiv have been downed since the U.S. provided Patriot air defense systems in May 2023, Ukrainian Air Force Colonel Serhii Yaremenko said in an interview with Ukrinform published on July 4.
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Igor Merheim-Eyre
Igor Merheim-Eyre@MerheimEyre·
For nearly a decade the disinfo war in Slovakia focused mainly on pro-Russian media & we ignored the role of Orban’s media in peddling its narratives in southern Slovakia. They played their role in the election of Fico, Pelegrini, & they continue to play their divisive role
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs

Viktor Orbán is still peddling disinformation on Slovak PM Robert Fico's assailant, claiming in a radio interview today that "we are dealing with a left-wing, pro-war perpetrator, connecting the assassination with the war is not unjustified". Fico and Smer are also left-wing.🤷‍♂️

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Daniel Szeligowski
Daniel Szeligowski@dszeligowski·
🧵 Over the past three decades, the transatlantic community has paid much more attention to Russia than to anyone else. Far too much. The world does not revolve around Russia, and we should finally stop acting as if Russia was the centre of the universe
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Szabolcs Panyi
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs·
✅ Confirmed by @hvg_hu: Viktor Orbán's new strategic advisory board was informally established today with the participation of the same people that I tweeted about. HVG's article in Hungarian: hvg.hu/itthon/2024030…
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs

💥SCOOP: Some reshuffling is expected in Orbán's staff after the pedophilia scandal that rocket his government and led to the resignation of President @KatalinNovak_HU. For example, according to my sources with ties to the government, there are plans to set up a new Strategic Advisory Board advising the prime minister. It could be partly filled with senior security/intelligence advisors, partly with some "respectable" right-wing figures. Names floated: Károly Papp (currently overseeing intelligence agencies as state secretary at the PM's Cabinet Office), József Kovács (national security advisor), György Bakondi (internal security advisor). Other members would include some names who were runner-ups to succeed Katalin Novák as president, such as senior academic Miklós Maróth, former constitutional court judge and former minister István Stumpf, and former State Audit Office head Árpád Kovács. The idea is that Orbán's image as a strong leader who is always in charge and surrounds himself with serious people should be reinforced after the pedophilia scandal which exposed his government's weaknesses. However, there's another goal, one of my sources told me. Setting up such an advisory board would also indicate serious changes in the political oversight of Hungary's national security agencies, as Papp and Kovács are expected to leave their current (much more important) roles if they would join this new group. They are representatives of the "old guard" – getting rid of them would make way for a new generation of politically more loyal government officials to oversee national security agencies. If the advisory board is indeed set up, it could happen next week – but there are still some tensions around it, my sources told.

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Timothy Snyder
Timothy Snyder@TimothyDSnyder·
6/6 I was thinking of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. What were you thinking of?
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Szabolcs Panyi
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs·
💥Scoop: Visegrád Four Group (🇨🇿🇭🇺🇵🇱🇸🇰) prime ministers are planned to meet in Prague on February 27, government and foreign policy expert sources from multiple V4 countries tell me. It hasn't been announced officially and there's still some uncertainty hence I'm careful with the phrasing. But it's very likely. 🇨🇿PM Petr Fiala previously hinted that such a meeting can only happen if Hungary supported both the EU's financial aid for Ukraine and the 🇸🇪 NATO accession. Since the Hungarian parliament will convene on February 26 to start its spring session, ideally, Viktor Orbán would travel to Prague already after the parliament's confirmation vote. On Sunday, he actually promised that there will be a vote very soon – however, he made similar promises multiple times without delivering. 🍿Prepare your popcorns for the Orbán-Donald Tusk joint presser. (If the meeting is canceled last minute at least you would still have your popcorn.) 📨For more details and scoops from Central Europe, subscribe to @VSquare_Project's Goulash newsletter: vsquare.org/newsletter/ 📭Previous newsletter issues: vsquare.org/category/goula…
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Szabolcs Panyi
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs·
‼️🚫Orbán’s MPs didn’t show up in Hungary’s parliament to vote on 🇸🇪’s NATO accession - no quorum, no vote. Orbán promised to @jensstoltenberg there’d be a vote ASAP. He didn’t keep his word. Meanwhile, ambassadors of NATO allies 🇺🇸🇳🇱🇸🇰🇳🇴🇩🇰 🇪🇪 were present, @Telexhu reports.
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Ragıp Soylu
Ragıp Soylu@ragipsoylu·
NEW: Turkish Parliament to ratify Sweden’s Nato bid later this week, possibly on Tuesday, sources tell me.
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Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦@bayraktar_1love·
Absolutely masterful destruction of the Russian T-72 obr.2022 by Ukrainian FPV drone operator. Krynky Kherson region. Video by the “Birds of Magyar” unit. t.me/robert_magyar/…
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Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦@bayraktar_1love·
/1. Feodosia, Crimea. Strike in the port area. Sounds of explosions and presumably air defence activity is reported.
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Szabolcs Panyi
Szabolcs Panyi@panyiszabolcs·
"The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) said on Dec. 2 that it had requested Ukraine's parliament cancel the permission of lawmaker and ex-President Petro Poroshenko to exit the country due to a planned meeting with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban. The meeting would be used by Russian propaganda, the SBU said, making Poroshenko a "tool in the hands of the Russian special services." Since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Hungary has repeatedly obstructed EU fundsfor Kyiv while opposing sanctions against Russia. Orban, who maintains close ties with the Kremlin, has refused to provide military aid to Ukraine, and said he would not support Ukraine's accession into the EU. Poroshenko said on Dec. 1 that border guards prevented him from leaving the country even though he had previously received an official permission." @KyivIndependent
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NY AG James
NY AG James@NewYorkStateAG·
Donald Trump lied about his net worth on his statements of financial condition to get loans for much better terms than he should have. It's that simple.
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Marcin Palade Statystycznie
Marcin Palade Statystycznie@MarcinPalade·
Frekwencja do godz. 17 wybory 2019 vs wybory 2023 w układzie województw.
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Group-IB Threat Intelligence
On Sunday, #AnonGhost, a well-known #hacktivist group, exploited an API vulnerability in the #RedAlert app, that provides real-time rocket alerts for Israelis. In their exploit, they successfully intercepted requests, exposed vulnerable servers and APIs, and employed Python scripts to send spam messages to some users of the app. According to the group’s chat logs detected by Group-IB’s Threat Intelligence system, they also dispatched fake messages about a “nuclear bomb” #CTI_ISRPAL
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