Brad Davidoff

289 posts

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Brad Davidoff

Brad Davidoff

@brad_D6

From duration & carry to data & compute. Former FI trader gone full-on AI investor.

Harrison, NY Katılım Haziran 2016
440 Takip Edilen99 Takipçiler
Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@Wizardofdigi19 Yeah agree they do need a higher stock price to secure the best financing terms. I think that dynamic may force their hands to a spin.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@Wizardofdigi19 Keep the faith. Look I wish I were up more on paper too but I blame that on Mr Market that always has a hard time valuing two distinct businesses. Not mgmts fault. They just need to keep executing.
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Wizardofdigi
Wizardofdigi@Wizardofdigi19·
Lmao. $GLXY demand is dying fast. 1.4 million shares trading blow 3 million today. No one wants this name. While mgt triples down on their losing strategy.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@PhilGarber5 @BrettErickson28 Sure this radical theological terror cult is smart and the US Admin, CIA, DOD, a STate Dept etc. are stupid. Do you guys really believe this BS or, my guess, you just wanna believe. Incredible!
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
It appears that most everyone has moved on from the “oil well shut-ins” debate. Why? Because Iran is not going to need to shut-in, they have plenty of remaining storage, and it is clear that their oil infrastructure would not “explode” if they even did need to shut-in. One of THE primary reasons we imposed the blockade has proven to be nothing but a farce. It’s time to admit failure and shift strategies, or better yet, negotiate an end to the conflict. No more sunk-cost fallacy.
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
@MartynWW @jacobotweetsnow You’re trying to discount every obvious aspect. Just accept that I obviously know what I’m talking about, or admit that no proof would ever be enough for you.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 Ok educate me, what have I got wrong. I mean it appears you may have TDS so your judgement is clouded sorry to say.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 Iran doesn't exist in vacuum. By keeping Strait closed, they are strangling economies of buyers like China, who isn’t going to sit back and watch its industrial growth tank to help Iran win game of chicken. The pressure on Iran from allies and enemies to open Strait is mounting!
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
Ok so then the Strait stays shut? If countries won’t pay the toll, or if Iran doesn’t get sanctions relief, the Strait will not open. If Iran doesn’t get heavily compensated, the Strait won’t open. Iran can survive far longer than the global economy can, and eventually Iran will be compensated to open the Strait.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 True global supply shock is a big inflation cost for ROW. But for Iran, it's a crisis! The global economy can tap strategic reserves, ration, and reroute supply chains. Iran can’t reroute its entire economy. They are running out of hard cash. Yes it’s that simple.
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
@brad_D6 “It takes time”. Well that’s a non-starter when 12.8M bpd are taken offline alongside 20% of the global fertilizer supply.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 @PhilGarber5 You can't treat a ‘26 reservoir like a 2012 reservoir. S Pars is already suffering from pressure declines. Shutting in /heavily choking wells that are losing pressure risks catastrophic water infiltration. Once water floods these low-pressure wells, the damage is permanent.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 Dude, You can’t fund an economy on a toll booth when you’ve scared away 90% of your customers. Furthermore, any permanent tolling system locks Iran into a multi-year, hot conflict with its consumers (China, India, and S. Korea), completely destroying their diplomatic leverage.
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
@brad_D6 Absolute worst case, Iran would receive FAR more from tolling the Strait, or from sanctions relief. Far, far in excess of their gas exports.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 measuring success of a blockade by whether a regime falls in 90 days is a strawman. Iran was facing massive inflation and a budgetary crisis before the war. Choking off hard currency forces them to burn through their remaining foreign reserves. It’s a war attrition. Takes time.
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
@brad_D6 Ok. And how well has that worked so far? Any concessions being made? Regime being toppled? Even large scale protests? No? Because it’s not gonna happen in a matter of months.
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@BrettErickson28 it doesn’t solve the crisis because Iran's gas infrastructure physically cannot balance that equation without causing widespread economic collapse or destroying its reservoirs.
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
@brad_D6 So my good sir… what happens when production = consumption?
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Brett Erickson
Brett Erickson@BrettErickson28·
@brad_D6 Ok, so you’re saying… everything I said was exactly true…
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Brad Davidoff
Brad Davidoff@brad_D6·
@Lazarus_Capital I want to like this company, but why do they think they need to advertise? Its about execution! And why do they think they need a $6bn ATM to spook investors. Mgmt just keeps waving red flags. I'll stick with NBIS, WULF, CIFR and HUT.
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Lazarus
Lazarus@Lazarus_Capital·
- Hit the ATM for over a billion at $43 dollars. $IREN bulls rejoice - use that $$$ to advertise on the sphere after saying you don’t need a sale team. $IREN bulls rejoice - <$3 on B300s per hr. $IREN bulls rejoice Gotta give props to those sub sellers, they’ve been able to successfully spin any type of news as bullish
IREN@IREN_Ltd

Turns out the next big thing is pretty big. Check out IREN on the Exosphere of @spherevegas this week during #DellTechWorld.

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Shrimp Among Whales
Shrimp Among Whales@Shrimp_a_Whales·
Jefferies trims $GLXY PT to $45 (prev $53)
Shrimp Among Whales tweet media
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