Musaran

4K posts

Musaran

Musaran

@bruno_mailly

Midwit sperg ADHD in rehab. Dabbler, demystifyer. Wannabe multibagger before AI wins.

Aix les bains, France Katılım Mart 2020
100 Takip Edilen157 Takipçiler
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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
.@alojoh publishes excellent financial research, but easily blocks users on valid criticism. Join this group chat to keep sharing insight, avoid blocks, and escape the echo chamber: x.com/i/chat/group_j…
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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@FlerfWatch > possible [] one of many > possibly hollow Oh we doing theory mashup now?
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Flerf Watch
Flerf Watch@FlerfWatch·
Flat Earthers have progressed to the point where they’ve theorized flat Earth is on top of round Earth.
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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@brivael > 2. Des victimes à défendre Envieux suffit, victime ou pas.
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Brivael Le Pogam
Brivael Le Pogam@brivael·
Le socialisme n'est pas une théorie économique. C'est une structure morale qui a besoin de trois choses pour exister : 1. De la rareté à redistribuer 2. Des victimes à défendre 3. Une classe d'intermédiaires pour orchestrer le tout Retirez un seul de ces trois piliers et l'édifice s'effondre. L'IA est en train de retirer les trois en même temps.
Brivael Le Pogam@brivael

Sanders et AOC veulent geler la construction de tous les data centers IA aux États-Unis. Il faut comprendre ce qui se passe vraiment. Ce n'est pas une bataille politique parmi d'autres. C'est la dernière convulsion d'une vision du monde qui a compris, inconsciemment, qu'elle est condamnée. Le socialisme n'est pas une théorie économique. C'est une structure morale qui a besoin de trois choses pour exister : 1. De la rareté à redistribuer 2. Des victimes à défendre 3. Une classe d'intermédiaires pour orchestrer le tout Retirez un seul de ces trois piliers et l'édifice s'effondre. L'IA est en train de retirer les trois en même temps. La rareté d'abord. Pendant 200 ans, l'économie politique a tourné autour d'une question : comment répartir une production limitée ? Marx, Keynes, Piketty — tous bâtissent sur ce postulat. Mais l'IA inverse l'équation. Le coût marginal de l'intelligence tend vers zéro. La production de logiciel, de design, d'analyse, de code, bientôt de matière manufacturée par robotique avancée — tout cela devient quasi-gratuit. Dans un monde d'abondance, la question "qui mérite quoi" perd son sens. Il n'y a plus rien à arbitrer. Les victimes ensuite. L'IA est le plus grand égalisateur d'accès au savoir et aux compétences de l'histoire humaine. Un gamin au fin fond du Bangladesh a aujourd'hui accès au même tuteur que l'héritier d'une famille new-yorkaise. Un développeur solo produit ce qu'une équipe de 20 produisait il y a trois ans. Les barrières s'effondrent. Or sans victimes structurelles, plus de cause à défendre, plus de mandat moral à exercer. Les intermédiaires enfin. C'est le point le plus douloureux pour eux. Le socialisme a toujours eu besoin d'une caste : journalistes-militants, fonctionnaires-experts, ONG-prescriptrices, politiques-redistributeurs. Cette caste vit du fait qu'elle prétend traduire la réalité aux masses. L'IA rend cette traduction obsolète. Tout le monde peut interroger directement la source, vérifier un chiffre, comparer des modèles, simuler une politique publique. Le monopole de l'interprétation est mort. Voilà pourquoi je dis que l'IA est un catalyseur de vérité. Elle ne crée pas la vérité — elle la rend ininterprétable. Les systèmes qui produisent de la valeur deviennent visibles. Ceux qui en captent sans en produire deviennent visibles aussi. Le voile tombe. Et c'est ça qui est insupportable. Pas la perte de pouvoir — la perte de sens. Réaliser que ta vision du monde, ton militantisme, ta carrière entière reposaient sur un édifice qui ne tenait que par la rareté et l'opacité. C'est une blessure narcissique d'une profondeur abyssale. La réaction est mécanique : il faut bloquer le catalyseur. Pas pour des raisons rationnelles (l'argument "énergie" est risible quand on voit leurs positions sur le nucléaire). Pour des raisons existentielles. Il faut empêcher l'avenir d'advenir, parce que l'avenir les efface. 300 lois locales. Un moratoire fédéral. Des moratoires européens (AI Act). Tout le pattern est le même partout : freiner, ralentir, encadrer, taxer. Pas réguler intelligemment — paralyser. Mais ils ont déjà perdu. Et au fond d'eux, ils le savent. La Chine ne s'arrêtera pas. Les Émirats ne s'arrêteront pas. L'Inde, Singapour, l'Argentine de Milei, certains États américains — personne ne s'arrêtera. Bloquer la construction de data centers à San Francisco ne fait que déplacer le centre de gravité. Le seul effet net est d'appauvrir ceux qu'ils prétendent défendre. C'est le rebond du chat mort. Un dernier sursaut avant l'immobilité définitive. PS : tout n'est pas perdu pour eux. La porte est ouverte. Il suffit de comprendre que créer de la valeur est plus gratifiant que la redistribuer, que construire est plus puissant que dénoncer, et que l'entrepreneuriat est la seule forme contemporaine d'action politique qui change réellement le monde. La reconversion est possible. Elle commence par accepter une chose simple : personne n'a besoin de toi pour être sauvé. Mais beaucoup de gens ont besoin de toi pour construire.

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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@elonmusk Feels like the tail is wagging the dog. That our ascribed reach sets our perceived quality. My (modest) reach is inconsistent. Valuable answers can be ignored, mediocre posts can gain traction.
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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
> [poetry] not all that far removed from a game of MadLibs.
Eric S. Raymond@esrtweet

Occasionally I'm a poet. No, seriously. I can compose metric poetry in forms ranging from haiku to alliterative long meter to blank verse to rondeaux and sonnets. I can even improvise in some of these forms. Not all of them. Sonnets are difficult, and I've never quite gotten the hang of formal skaldic meter. Back when I hung out in the Society for Creative Anachronism I used to wander around revels inviting people to give me a topic or an image and I would improvise a poem around it on the spot. I only seldom flubbed this. Usually I improvised in blank verse or heroic long meter, because those forms are relatively easy and can be done on the fly. If I was feeling lazy or uninspired I would drop a haiku or a limerick. This is a skill that can be acquired. What you learn is how to run a particular kind of Markov chain in your head, using conditional probabilities extracted from the poetry you and your listeners have read or heard before. There's more to poetry than just meter, of course. A lot of the rest of it, though is just shifting speech registers - allowing your brain and mouth to use forms of language that you know from exposure to books and songs and movies but don't normally produce. If you can run the Markov chain in a register that is not day-to-day speech, you're going to sound like a poet, because you'll fire the listener's recognizer for "poetry". This will be true even if your content is semantically almost complete nonsense. This is how I know that a lot of what is said about the specialness of poets of poets and poetry is bullshit. Poets are not, by and large, people gifted with special insight into the human condition; they are people who have learned to run a sounds-like-poetry production algorithm not all that far removed from a game of MadLibs. I'm writing this broadside today because of the current flap on Twitter/X about Emily Wilson's translation of the Odyssey. My judgment as an expert in the mechanics of poetry is that it's a terrible translation, and she is a shitty poet - so bad, in fact that I believe I am more technically proficient than she is despite being an amateur who seldom practices the skill nowadays. (I used to poet a lot more when I was younger, because in the right social context it pulled chicks. But intrinsically it just isn't that interesting. I have more challenging and productive uses for my thinking time. But I digress...) I'm not here to talk about Emily Wilson today. I could rant endlessly about how stilted and flat and uninspiring her language is, even before we get to the mangled translation and her toxic political agenda, but I'm after a more general point. You don't have to respect the Emily Wilsons of the world because the label "poet" has been hung on them. They're not as special as the literary culture around them wants you to believe they are. I am a poet, and I am telling you we are *not* the unacknowledged legislators of the world. We know some tricks. Occasionally we can use those tricks to make art. And that is all.

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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
Group chat invites say they are from the group creator, no matter who posts them or who is current head group admin. Plz make it an invite per member (ID in the URL), and allow anonymous invites.
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Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@thanehunt @beffjezos Wondering if they do it on purpose for engagement. They KNOW it will be scrutinized, yet never clarify ahead.
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Thane Hunt
Thane Hunt@thanehunt·
@beffjezos If you watch the whole stream there were instances where it starts missing packages and then it reaches up, nowhere near a chute, nowhere near across its body. The most probable explanation is that it’s mostly autonomous and a human can jump in and rescue it.
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Beff (e/acc)
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·
Everyone who dunked on this saying it was VR headset adjustment is an idiot.
Brett Adcock@adcock_brett

@peteoxenham For cross body reach, the policy lifts its arm to avoid hitting the metal chute. You’ll see this behavior every time it turns like this

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Max Zeff
Max Zeff@ZeffMax·
Musk's lawyer brought a big monitor (maybe 36 inches) into the courtroom. OpenAI's lawyers asked to use it. Musk's lawyers said no. The judge told Musk's lawyers they have to let OpenAi use it. Then OpenAI said it might not be possible to connect their laptops to it.
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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@AllumBokhari > EuroSky, an EU-backed Bluesky clone You have my morbid curiosity.
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Allum Bokhari
Allum Bokhari@AllumBokhari·
Berjon's "peaceful" alternative to kinetic force is EuroSky, an EU-backed Bluesky clone he's involved with. He spent his panel time urging attendees to sign up. The endgame either way: cut Europe off from American platforms.
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Allum Bokhari
Allum Bokhari@AllumBokhari·
🇪🇺 The Europeans have gone insane🇪🇺 At a summit in the UK, a French NGO executive discusses the use of *military force* to compel American tech platforms to follow censorship directives. Moderator: "What do you mean by kinetic methods?" Speaker: "Using the military. Yeah."
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Phil Trubey
Phil Trubey@PTrubey·
We interviewed @adcock_brett during Figure's livestream yesterday and one of the most interesting take aways was that Figure isn't in a hurry to get their bots into customer hands. He said that if they wanted to they could sell thousands of bots right now to do productive work, and I believe him. It would also mean scaling a sales, support and engineering support organization. But Figure (like Tesla) is playing the long game and wants to make the holy grail of AI robotics: A robot you can verbally describe a brand new task it hasn't been trained on and it will then be able to perform it. Or as the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy puts it: "The marketing division of the Sirius Cybernetics Corporation defines a robot as 'Your Plastic Pal Who's Fun to Be With.'" Sorry, couldn't resist. Brett said he sees a path in their roadmap to this, and they have the resources to do the R&D to build an "Apple" level quality product: polished, performant and ready to be used by anyone. My guess is that we're about two years away from this, which happens to be when Tesla's giant Optimus factory will be built and building robots, so Tesla is approximately on the same timeline. In the meanwhile, it'll be fun watching the progress. More info on Brett's interview yesterday. Share and Enjoy! x.com/PTrubey/status…
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Adam Shuaib
Adam Shuaib@adamshuaib·
There is a strange pattern in the lives of outliers that contradicts how people perceive genius: 99% of projects they worked on were failures. High volume is a big clue: hundreds of failed prototypes for every one product that worked. Notebooks full of dead-end theories alongside the one that survived. Patents filed on inventions that went nowhere, vastly outnumbering the ones that changed the world. Side projects abandoned. Companies started and quickly folded. The output of an exceptional mind looks, in raw form, almost indistinguishable from the output of a crazy person. Except that one of the ideas in the pile is correct, and they were willing to be wrong 100 times to find it. Yes these people have a high tolerance for failure, but the crux is an inability to let the embarrassment of a wrong idea stop them from generating new ones. Most people produce one idea, become emotional, defend it and stop. Exceptional minds produce a thousand and let 99% die. To be remembered as a genius, be prepared to spend most of your career looking like an idiot.
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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@Andercot AR should make a come-back for AI assistance.
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Andrew Côté
Andrew Côté@Andercot·
The absolute non-takeoff of VR and AR is probably one of the big upsets in consumer electronics history Pretty much everyone thought this would be huge and it sort of just isn't
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Dogan Ural
Dogan Ural@doganuraldesign·
𝕏 needs a better Explore page
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Alaknár Mordorán
Alaknár Mordorán@Alaknar·
@lauriewired Wait, I thought you could change the format of a cell from "General" to "Text" and that fixes the entire issue...?
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LaurieWired
LaurieWired@lauriewired·
30.9% of genetics papers data are kind of trash because of Excel’s aggressive auto-formatting. Until 2023, there was no global option to disable data conversion. For example, the human SEPT family (1-14) of genes is directly related to cell division and cancer research. I’ll give you one guess as to what that auto-formats to. Yup…turns into a date. Oh, it get’s worse though. Many labs use what are known as RIKEN identifiers. It’s a 10 digit alphanumeric code, kind of like a barcode that identifies a gene sequence. Here’s one: 2310009E13 Uh oh. There’s an “E” in there. Guess what that turns into? A floating point! Excel has a hard limit of 15 significant digits for floats. So, not only did your RIKEN identifier get formatted wrong, but it’s also rounded off to an unrecoverable state. 12.5% of the RIKEN database (Row E) is a disaster. If you know anything about Bioinformatics, you should be losing your mind. Remember, a huge amount of scientific research is meta-analysis. Good luck cross-referencing patterns when ~31% of the data has errors! So basically there’s a giant data hole from 2004-2023, much of which has been standardized into national / official databases, and there’s no good way to fix it.
LaurieWired tweet mediaLaurieWired tweet media
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Oren Litwin
Oren Litwin@OrenLitwin·
Let me rephrase. What is perceiving the data readouts? Something certainly is. The different components of the brain operate in a decentralized fashion, yet the experience of being awake is unified (even if the sense of self does not encompass everything going on in the brain, which we both know that it doesn’t).
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stevo
stevo@stevo9527·
A few predictions (for fun) on the @SpaceX pre-IPO tokens that @bitget / @Gate just dropped 👇 1/ SpaceX will likely issue a public statement on or shortly after secondary trading goes live, explicitly disavowing these tokens and clarifying zero affiliation. 2/ Cease-and-desist letters or even a TRO will follow. SpaceX legal, or even potentially SEC/CFTC, may go after the exchanges directly, and/or separately, go after @joinrepublic as the "upstream token issuer" licensed in the US. (SpaceX has one of the most aggressive legal teams in Silicon Valley when it comes to unauthorized secondary transactions) 3/ Republic would distance themselves from Bitget, publicly clarifying that not all of Bitget's SpaceX inventory was sourced through them; Republic's priority is protecting its US broker-dealer license — expect them to put daylight between themselves and Bitget at the first sign of legal pressure. (One observation supporting this: Republic has not RT'd, replied to, or publicly acknowledged any of Bitget's IPO Prime PR since launch. For a partnership this high-profile, that silence is abnormal.) Possible outcome: expect their SpaceX token to dump on the news — but this could actually be a buy opportunity, unless SpaceX traces the upstream GP and invalidates the underlying shares; Even in that scenario, these CEXs could theoretically guarantee payouts from their own balance sheet to protect user trust. Timeline? Days to weeks, not months. Bitget's secondary trading goes live April 21 — my bet is SpaceX may wait for trading to begin before acting. Letting it go live first creates the strongest legal standing and the most public precedent. Just for fun.. definitely not financial advice... Disclaimer: These are just purely predictions based on patterns I've seen firsthand as a pre-IPO industry veteran. I have zero financial interest or affiliation with Bitget, Gate, Republic, or any other tokenized pre-IPO platform. I actually genuinely admire what everyone is trying to pioneer in this asset class — opening up pre-IPO access to retail which is a vision I believe in. But unfortunately, this may not be the best way to do it.
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Musaran retweetledi
Phil Trubey
Phil Trubey@PTrubey·
It’s because you’re self employed. Woke cancel culture has given people PTSD about revealing too much about their beliefs. It’s probably also why we have the stereotype of the uncle or grandpa who DGAF and just says things. It’s much harder to mount serious repercussions against someone who is retired.
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Eric S. Raymond
Eric S. Raymond@esrtweet·
That was the slop I was fed as a Boomer kid in the 1960s and 1970s. Boomers weren't running things then - we were in our teens to late twenties at the time and wouldn't start to acquire any real power over American institutions for about 10 years yet. It was people 10 and 15 years older than us who were pushing zero population growth and all that crap. Paul Ehrlich, the doyen of the movement, was older than that - he was born in 1932 and a rough contemporary of my father. This is emblematic of one of the things that really annoys me about the thoughtless Boomer hatred that's sloshing around on the Internet. You blame shit on us that's really the thinking and doing of the people who propagandized us. You telescope decades together and grossly oversimplify what went on back then.
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BoiltOwl
BoiltOwl@nealjclark1·
Did boomers also tell millenials to not get married and have children, to smoke weed constantly and become addicted to video games? Seems like you guys only listened to their advice on this one topic
Rafaela Barba@SucurzalDeCielo

What do y’all be talking about? First of all, so many more millennials went to college than boomers because boomers kept drilling into us how essential it was for us to get a degree. And second, college tuition rising was a very calculated policy decision.

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Musaran
Musaran@bruno_mailly·
@esrtweet Graphics displays are next? Then 3D?
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Eric S. Raymond
Eric S. Raymond@esrtweet·
It can be unsettling when you notice that a technical assumption you've been making for 40 years has quietly expired. This happened to me a few minutes ago. I maintain a game called "greed". It's an old-style game from the days of character-cell terminals. Not quite a classic deserving of museum status like Colossal Cave Adventure or nethack, but worth keeping alive because it's still solidly playable. And people still are playing it, because yesterday I got a minor bug report about it. Nothing user-visible, just a silly C build problem. I fixed it. Then, because I'm generally trying to get my old C projects out of C into more modern and safer languages, I tried asking my robot friend to port it to Rust. Which it promptly did. But then I noticed something that irritated me. The Rust code had a bunch of unsafe blocks in it, which went directly against my reasons for moving it to Rust. On further examination, I discovered that it was calling the C curses library to do its screen painting. This is where I have to explain about curses. It's an ancient C library for writing TUIs. It looks in your environment for a variable named TERM, uses its value to dredge a bunch of magic strings out of a system-wide database called "terminfo" that tells it how to manipulate your terminal, and then uses those magic strings for screen painting. On modern systems, TERM is always some variant of a color ANSI terminal. In times past, when people attached a wild variety of character cell terminals to Unix systems rather than just sitting at the console, it could have been lots of other things. Those days are gone, but the habit of always going through terminfo so you can support a couple of hundred terminal types has persisted. I prod robot friend to find me a pure Rust equivalent of curses so I don't have to do unsafe and call C code. It says, yes, there is such a thing and it's called crossterm. I tell it: change this code to use crossterm. Robot friend grinds for a bit, and then tells me it can't do that because I don't have cargo (the Rust package manager) installed. This is because I never write Rust by hand. When I ship programs written in Rust, it's because I ported them from some other language and don't expect to ever touch them again without having a robot to do the code-grinding for me. This is when things get slightly strange. It tells me that instead of porting to crossterm, it has written into the greed Rust source its own little screen-painting backend the implements a subset of curses calls and (this is the important part) assumes it's talking to a color ANSI terminal. Robot friend is not an old Unix hand. It doesn't know the unwritten law of the deep magic that you always go through terminfo because...because you might have to support hundreds of terminal types that no longer exist in this century? I blink. I look at the Rust code for the back end. It is small and elegant. No more unsafe. No more dragging around a bunch of C library code. This is ... the right thing? I push it to the public repository. What sealed the deal is that code, even code in a language as rebarbative as Rust, is wet clay now. If, against all odds I get a bug report that says somebody wants to play greed on something that isn't an ANSI terminal emulator, reinstating full curses support will take a one-sentence prompt to my robot friend and mere minutes. I hadn't had to directly confront before the fact that the entire set of assumptions that made TERM and terminfo a thing are as obsolete as dial-up acoustic modems. Still, the moment when I tossed away one of the ancient laws of Unix coding felt a bit like the universe lurching sideways. Indeed do many things come to pass...
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