
Bryan
501 posts



excited to follow this renovation where they tore out the staircase on the left and are building the modern farmhouse staircase on the right



Important points here. Related: AFAIK our 538 polling aggregate is the only one that methodologically adheres to the Total Survey Error Framework — namely bcuz we explicitly encode non-sampling error that dynamically adjusts to the empirical noise in polls projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/presiden…


2024 Ohio Senate Race: Matt Dolan (R) 38% (+2) Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 36% . Frank LaRose (R) 39% (+1) Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 38% . Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 35% (+2) Bernie Moreno (R) 33% .@EmersonPolling, 438 RV, 10/2-4 emersoncollegepolling.com/ohio-2024-poll…


Statistician here. ⚠️WARNING. This is NOT an accurate use of probability theory ⚠️ We can actually explain this one without any math so read on...







