CDonners
44K posts


🚨🇮🇷 🇮🇱 IRAN’S DESPERATE ATTEMPT TO TERRORIZE While Iran continues to fire indiscriminately at population centers, former IDF spox Jonathan Conricus notes that not a single soldier has been killed by these strikes. The regime is focusing exclusively on civilians, but our air defenses remain excellent. Conricus explains that Israel is now using calculated risk to conserve munitions while learning the enemy’s systems. Eventually, the regime will run out of missiles while we maintain total air supremacy. @JConricus




WSJ GIFT LINK: Trump might end the war without trying to forcibly open Hormuz. It stinks, but this is likely the least bad choice in a situation of all bad options. Ending the U.S. war is a necessary condition, but possibly not a sufficient one, for Iran reopening the strait. I get that it feels irresponsible for the U.S. to simply leave after creating a mess. It’s maddening, but might be for the best. Hear me out. Trump created a global public bad by attacking Iran and prompting the regime to close the strait. It was a colossal mistake that has caused pain in the U.S. and beyond. But cutting U.S. losses in a failed war makes more sense than continued fighting for a lost cause. And if the U.S. keeps fighting, no doubt Iran will continue to threaten the strait. If the U.S. quits the war, that would increase the political pressure on Iran to reopen the strait now that hostilities are over. Iran may try to extract “tolls” and if the Tehran Tollbooth persists after the war, it will be a lasting reminder of U.S. policy failure. But the tolls themselves aren’t that high — $2 million on a VLCC carrying 2 million barrels is just a $1/barrel surcharge, amounting to a 1% tax. Not great, but better than what oil prices are doing now. It would also incentivize Iran to keep traffic moving securely through Hormuz by monetizing safe transit. Yes I know it rewards bad behavior and morally it stinks for an odious regime to profit, but that’s the reality that Trump’s blunderous war has bestowed on us all. There’s a reason most of us don’t worry about Egypt (today) closing Suez or Panama closing its canal — the profit motive is powerful. Overall if Trump ends the war (which he should) with the Tollbooth intact, we are all worse off than we were on February 27, but better off than where we are now, and better than where we could be if the war stretches on for months or years. I know it’s not a satisfying ending but it’s pragmatic and we don’t live in the best of all possible worlds. There is one problem, though: Israel. Trump will almost certainly need to restrain Israel from continuing its war for Iran to reopen the strait. It should be a no-brainer: Israel is the junior partner and Trump should have the leverage to make them stop, given how much military aid the U.S. gives to Israel. But it’s not clear Trump will use it. @defpriorities wsj.com/world/middle-e…



President Trump granted a full pardon to Jewish nursing home operator Joseph Schwartz after he served just three months of a three-year sentence for a nearly $39 million fraud scheme. Federal prosecutors said that Schwartz refused to pay payroll taxes that had been withheld from employees’ wages across 11 states. Schwartz reportedly paid $960,000 to lobbyists Jack Burkman and Jacob Wohl to secure the pardon from the White House. Follow: @AFpost

🇺🇸🇮🇷 'No Kings' protester on Iran: "They have a good leader, the Ayatollah." He also hopes Iran blows up any U.S-related ships in the Strait of Hormuz. What on earth happened to U.S patriotism?



America's Mayor Live (896): President Trump Says US in Serious Discussions with "New" Regime in Iran x.com/i/broadcasts/1…






















