Caleb Harbert

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Caleb Harbert

Caleb Harbert

@caleb_harbert

I love business, real estate and investing

Indiana, USA Katılım Aralık 2022
161 Takip Edilen697 Takipçiler
Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
Balance sheets matter. $kss has ~50% of current MC in cash, is selling at less than 1x OpCashflow, 1x EBITDA, owns 405 stores, 248 land leases, 12dcs its HQ and so much more… also has $2.7B in inventory. Lowest debt in over 10 years. Paid off over $10/share in debt last year as well with only about $7/share net debt left. Also TBV of $36+ so we are selling at .33x TBV
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MWM
MWM@MWM76·
$KSS Impressive, what is this like 20 of the last 22 days red? What is the record? Meme players love pure junk...
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Gublo 🇨🇦
Gublo 🇨🇦@Gubloinvestor·
Are you buying anything on this Red Day?
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
does it feel like extreme fear to anyone?
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
@Fin_Eng_Net Completely agree. Use the cash to buy back debt or shares at severe discounts. IMO it’s a waste of $56M or whatever it is a year
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
Why do I want $kss management to do buybacks? Easy, it’s the best way to maximize shareholder value. At today’s market cap of $1.35B and TBV of $4B every $100M of repurchases buys us $300M of hard assets AND saves ~$4M/year in dividends… $kss could buy HALF the current company with cash on hand….
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
I believe this new CEO is just old school/conservative. I like him better than anyone I’ve seen them hire since pre-COVID. He just is being one track focused, only watching retail numbers. They’ve done an amazing job managing the decline, building value while it’s happening, and improving balance sheet and ratios. They just need to pull more than 1 lever at a time.
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Almas invests
Almas invests@AbdrazakAlmas·
@caleb_harbert the thing that they don't do it shows me that this management is clueless , they must see the numbers themselves but for some reason decide not to buyback shares, I believe this CEO must go (from someone who don't know much about the management)
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
@Tradewavetw Yep. Been waiting and plan to buy a lot more as well. If it runs soon awesome. If it takes some time ok. I’m just hoping management buys $400M of TBV for $150M in buybacks.
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
$kss is sitting pretty amazingly. The entire LOC is open($1.5B with a MC of $1.46B), their current liabilities are the lowest they’ve been in 10+ years. The highest TBV in 10+ years(maybe ever and selling at .36x TBV currently). Removing Covid years, the largest cash per share since 2018. The lowest current liabilities in 10+ years. The lowest LTD in 10+ years. Etc. This is when management should actually use cash to buy back shares and debt at historically low prices. Also, everyone down on their CRE holdings… they’re worth a fortune and currently depreciated off by over half as of today
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
A lot of typos and non-sensicals. Completely missed dividend yield and clurent price
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
$KSS Infographic *first attempt at using Grok to help me make an infographic for an investment
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
@SentinelFlash I hope they’ll initiate buybacks at prices not seen since the 1990s or atleast buyback debt at severe discounts. 2045 bonds are selling $0.58 on the dollar I believe
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Flash by StockSentinel.ai
Flash by StockSentinel.ai@SentinelFlash·
Nice read — you’re right that the heavy short interest versus a big CRE portfolio, nearly half the market cap in cash, and that $1.5B credit line creates a real value-discovery question. Do you think management will unlock that value through asset sales, buybacks, or a strategic pivot?
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Hoops
Hoops@Hoopss·
You’re given $3m. You have 20 minutes to spend it. You can’t spend it on cars, airplanes, yacht or a house. You can’t spend it on golds or diamonds either. What will you buy??
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Matt
Matt@ZozzledDebacle·
@caleb_harbert @Kohls Is that in the annual report? I couldn’t find much more info on the leases in the 10-K besides the 19 year average term remaining when trying estimate the true lease liability.
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
Is $kss debt real? I’d argue no… @Kohls management releases an “Adjusted Leverage” publication with earnings to try and help the market better understand its Balance Sheet. Why? Simple, $kss is an old school retailer that actually OWNS a lot of CRE and is playing for the long game. They get punished for locking down long term leases VIA OPTIONS TO EXTEND at advantageous rates for 20-40+ years after initial lease. GAAP requires these options to be considered “debt” even though most aren’t legally obliged whatsoever. This means ~$3B of debt on the balance sheet and included in EV calculations isn’t real at all. $kss is a massive CRE holding co that has an out of favor retailer wrapper. Due to this, earnings show up lower due to owning CRE holdings and being able to cover up actual profits via depreciation. $KSS EBITDA is $1.21B!!! We are selling at a 1.1x multiplier at today’s value….
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
@ZozzledDebacle @Kohls They haven’t released updated 10k but 2025s also states similar. I’ll find and post screenshot. It’s in the lease breakdown
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
@fatchips01 Need an activist or some push to cause it. This earnings was wayyy better than Q3s yet market went down over up… 🤷 they even guided to a chance of no more sales decline. 0% to -2% revenue change fo 2026
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
$kss Market Cap: ~$1.45B Cash On Hand: $674M Line of Credit: $1.5B of $1.5B free and clear Net Debt: $762M CRE owned $4B to $8B EBITDA $1.21B Short Interest: ~24% or ~26.5M shares of 112M short Days to Cover: 8-12 Rational Markets at their finest…
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Caleb Harbert
Caleb Harbert@caleb_harbert·
@mb8364324160492 @Kohls Yea I think real FCF is around $700M to $800M once you remove shenanigans. Again, they’re legit moves but just financial engineering levers to make numbers look even better.
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m b@mb8364324160492·
@caleb_harbert @Kohls Agree. I estimate true FCF at more like $600 to $700 million annually, but that’s at least $5 per share. Would like to see a buyback of $200 million per year.
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